Lecce - Frosinone

Regular Season - 16
Kickoff: 2023-12-16 13:00

Who will win?

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Lecce - Frosinone Predictions

Prediction: Lecce or draw
Best odds: 1.34

As the Italian Serie A heats up, the upcoming clash between Lecce and Frosinone on a crisp Saturday afternoon at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare promises to be a thrilling encounter. With the league's analysts tipping Lecce as the favorites, suggesting a "Double chance: Lecce or draw," fans are eager to see if the home side can capitalize on their advantage or if Frosinone will defy the odds.

Key Players

Lecce's hopes will rest on the shoulders of their attacking talent, Federico Di Francesco, who boasts a rating of 6.70. With his keen eye for goal and ability to take on defenders, Di Francesco's contribution could be pivotal. In midfield, Hamza Rafia stands out with his impressive passing accuracy, having completed 212 passes this season, including 6 key passes. His performance in the center of the park could be a game-changer for Lecce.

Frosinone will look towards Marco Brescianini, a midfielder with a knack for breaking up plays and initiating attacks. Despite his rating of 6.49, his contributions in the midfield cannot be understated. Upfront, Walid Cheddira, with a rating of 6.66, will be crucial for Frosinone's offensive efforts, having already bagged a goal and an assist this season. Defensively, Pol Mikel Lirola Kosok, with his rating of 6.87, brings stability and the ability to contribute to the attack, making him a dual threat.

Recent Form

Lecce's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two draws and three losses. This inconsistency sees them sitting at 13th in the league with 16 points. Their home record, however, paints a slightly better picture, with three wins and three draws from eight games.

Frosinone, positioned just two spots ahead at 11th with 18 points, have had a see-saw pattern in their recent outings, alternating between losses and wins. Their away form has been a concern, with no wins, two draws, and five losses. This could be a significant factor coming into this match.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record is not available for this preview, but Lecce's higher percentage in the head-to-head comparison (80% to Frosinone's 20%) suggests they have been the dominant side in previous encounters.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' recent form, key player performances, and the predictions provided, this match is likely to be tightly contested. Lecce, with the support of their home crowd and the presence of key players like Federico Di Francesco and Hamza Rafia, may have the edge. Frosinone will need Walid Cheddira and Pol Mikel Lirola Kosok to step up if they want to secure an elusive away win.

The prediction leans towards a Lecce victory or a draw, with a less than 2.5 goals threshold for both teams. Given the defensive records and the attacking prowess of both sides, it’s expected to be a low-scoring affair. The statistics suggest a 45% chance for either a Lecce win or a draw, and only a 10% chance for a Frosinone victory.

In conclusion, the match is anticipated to end in favor of the home side, with a strong possibility of a draw. Lecce's ability to leverage their home advantage and the form of their key players should see them through, but as with any football match, surprises are always around the corner. The final advice: Double chance for Lecce or draw seems to be the most prudent prediction for this Serie A encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

36%
64%

Attacking Potential

58%
42%

Defensive Potential

47%
53%

Poisson Distribution

63%
37%

Stregth H2H

80%
20%

Goals H2H

75%
25%

Wins the game

60%
40%

Lecce - Frosinone Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15