Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		2 - 1	Goal	V. Muriqi
76'		1 - 1	Goal	Álvaro García
48'		1 - 0	Goal	Antonio Sánchez

90'		Abdón Prats	Unsportsmanlike conduct
41'		Dani Rodríguez	Roughing
39'		V. Muriqi	Tripping
1'		M. Nastasić	Roughing

87'			In:	Pep Chavarría	Out:	A. Rațiu
84'			In:	Jaume Costa	Out:	Toni Lato
79'			In:	Antonio Sánchez	Out:	Samú Costa
79'			In:	Omar Mascarell	Out:	N. Radonjić
68'			In:	A. Espino	Out:	Pep Chavarría
68'			In:	Kike Pérez	Out:	Unai López
62'			In:	Darder	Out:	Manu Morlanes
62'			In:	P. Ciss	Out:	Ó. Trejo
62'			In:	Sergio Camello	Out:	Raúl de Tomás
46'			In:	Nacho Vidal	Out:	Abdón Prats

Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Prediction: Mallorca or draw

Best odds: 1.34

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Prediction: Under 3.5

Best odds: 1.15

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As the sun sets on another thrilling weekend of La Liga action, all eyes turn to Estadi Mallorca Son Moix where Mallorca will battle it out against Rayo Vallecano. With predictions leaning towards a tight contest, it's a game that could go either way. Will Mallorca seize the advantage on their home turf, or will Rayo Vallecano upset the odds? Let's delve into the key players and stats that could shape this pivotal match-up.

Key Players - Mallorca

Mallorca's hopes may rest heavily on the shoulders of their Canadian forward, Cyle Christopher Larin. Larin, with a rating of 6.68, has been crucial for his side, boasting 19 shots on target from a total of 42 attempts. Despite only netting twice, his presence in the box is always a concern for defenders.

In the midfield, Antonio Sánchez Navarro is the engine that keeps Mallorca ticking. His impressive 292 passes and 9 key passes, combined with a 6.68 rating, show his importance in linking play and creating chances. With one assist to his name, Navarro's vision could be the key to unlocking Rayo Vallecano's defense.

Not to be overlooked is Javier Llabrés Exposito, another attacker who has managed to find the back of the net once this season. With a rating of 6.70, he may not be the most prolific scorer, but his work rate and ability to find space can never be underestimated.

Key Players - Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano's midfield maestro, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, with a rating of 6.56, has been a consistent performer. His 5 shots on target and 219 completed passes illustrate his dual threat of creating and finishing chances. Though he has only scored once, his contributions are more than just about goals.

On the attacking front, Jorge de Frutos Sebastián carries a similar rating of 6.61. His 5 shots on target from 10 attempts and his creative prowess have been vital for Vallecano, even if his goal tally stands at just one.

The experience of Radamel Falcao García Zárate cannot be ignored. Despite a modest season with only one goal, his 6.63 rating and reputation as a clinical finisher mean he's always a threat. His knack for being in the right place at the right time could prove decisive in tight encounters.

Recent Form

Mallorca's recent form reads like a rollercoaster ride - LDDLW - showing a team struggling for consistency. However, their home form has been more stable, with only 2 losses in 11 games. Rayo Vallecano's form is slightly better with LDWLW, but their away record is mixed, winning and losing 4 games each out of 12.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides offers interesting insights. Their last encounter on September 30, 2023, ended in a 2-2 draw at Rayo Vallecano's home ground. Before that, Mallorca enjoyed a comfortable 3-0 victory on June 4, 2023, and even earlier on August 27, 2022, they secured a 2-0 win away from home. This history suggests that Mallorca has had the upper hand in recent meetings.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key player performances, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a Mallorca win or draw. The predictions also suggest a low-scoring affair, with less than 3.5 goals being highly probable. With Mallorca's home advantage and their recent dominance over Rayo Vallecano, the odds favor them to either secure all three points or at least a share of the spoils.

In conclusion, expect a tightly contested match where Mallorca's key players like Cyle Christopher Larin and Javier Llabrés Exposito could make the difference. Rayo Vallecano will rely on the likes of Enrique Pérez Muñoz and Jorge de Frutos Sebastián to disrupt the home side's plans. But with Mallorca's strong home record and the prediction model's advice, the final verdict is a double chance for Mallorca to win or draw and under 3.5 goals in the match.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

33%

67%

Attacking Potential

33%

67%

Defensive Potential

43%

57%

Poisson Distribution

46%

54%

Stregth H2H

71%

29%

Goals H2H

69%

31%

Wins the game

49%

51%

Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano Head to Head

11/02	Mallorca	2 - 1	Rayo Vallecano
30/09	Rayo Vallecano	2 - 2	Mallorca
04/06	Mallorca	3 - 0	Rayo Vallecano
27/08	Rayo Vallecano	0 - 2	Mallorca

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13