Monza - AC Milan

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		3 - 2	Goal	W. Bondo	D. Maldini (Assist)
88'		2 - 2	Goal	C. Pulišić
65'		2 - 1	Goal	O. Giroud	C. Pulišić (Assist)
45'		2 - 0	Goal	Dany Mota	A. Carboni (Assist)
45'		1 - 0	Penalty	M. Pessina

83'		M. Gabbia	Tripping
76'		W. Bondo	Unsportsmanlike conduct
76'		Dany Mota	Handling
53'		L. Jović	Elbowing
52'		L. Jović	Elbowing
50'
50'		L. Jović	Elbowing
45'		M. Pessina	Roughing
33'		M. Đurić	Tripping

83'			In:	A. Florenzi	Out:	Y. Musah
81'			In:	Dany Mota	Out:	D. Maldini
81'			In:	A. Colpani	Out:	Pedro Pereira
66'			In:	V. Carboni	Out:	W. Bondo
66'			In:	M. Đurić	Out:	Lorenzo Colombo
55'			In:	I. Bennacer	Out:	O. Giroud
54'			In:	I. Bennacer	Out:	O. Giroud
46'			In:	Y. Adli	Out:	T. Reijnders
46'			In:	N. Okafor	Out:	Rafael Leão
46'			In:	S. Chukwueze	Out:	C. Pulišić
43'			In:	M. Di Gregorio	Out:	A. Sorrentino

Monza - AC Milan Predictions

Prediction: AC Milan

Best odds: 1.27

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In a highly anticipated Serie A clash, the predictions are tilting in favor of visiting side AC Milan as they prepare to face Monza at the U-Power Stadium this Sunday. With the league heating up, every match is critical, and this encounter could have significant implications on the standings, especially with Milan eyeing the Champions League spots and Monza battling for mid-table security.

Key Players

Monza will be looking to their attacking line to make an impact, with Samuele Vignato expected to play a pivotal role. Vignato has shown his ability to be a threat in front of goal, with a rating of 6.63, and his 4 shots on target from 6 attempts indicate a sharp eye for goal. Alongside him, Mirko Marić, with a rating of 6.72, will be essential in breaking down Milan's defense. His 5 shots total and 79 passes show his involvement in the team's offensive play. Not to be overlooked, Dany Mota Carvalho, with a rating of 6.78, will also be a crucial figure, having already taken 18 shots this season.

AC Milan, on the other hand, boasts the talents of Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor, whose 6.65 rating and 3 goals make him a vital cog in their attacking machinery. In defense, Jan-Carlo Šimić stands out with a rating of 6.83, contributing not only to the team's solid backline but also to their offensive set-pieces with a goal to his name. The midfield mastery of Ruben Ira Loftus-Cheek, rated at 6.96, cannot be underestimated either. His 368 passes and 10 shots total reflect his all-around contribution to the team's play.

Recent Form

Monza's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a DWLLW pattern. This inconsistency has left them in the 12th spot, with 29 points. AC Milan, in contrast, seems to be hitting their stride at the right moment, with an impressive WDWWW in their last five outings, placing them 3rd with 49 points.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams leans heavily in favor of AC Milan. The last three encounters have seen Milan come out on top, with the most recent match on December 17, 2023, ending in a convincing 3-0 victory for the Rossoneri. Prior to that, Milan secured a narrow 1-0 win at Monza's home ground on February 18, 2023, and a more comfortable 4-1 win on October 22, 2022.

Prediction

The predictions suggest that AC Milan is the favorite to come away with at least a point from this fixture. The advice leans towards a "Double chance: draw or AC Milan," with a 50% chance for both outcomes. The statistical analysis gives Milan a 68.2% total advantage over Monza's 31.8%, echoing the sentiment that the visitors are more likely to dominate the match.

Considering the recent form of both teams, the strength of Milan's squad, and their historical dominance over Monza, the prediction is for AC Milan to either win or secure a draw. The attacking prowess of players like Okafor and the midfield stability provided by Loftus-Cheek are expected to be crucial in navigating Monza's defense. Meanwhile, Monza will hope that Vignato and Mota Carvalho can harness their attacking skills to upset the odds.

In conclusion, while Monza will be looking to leverage their home advantage and secure a surprise result, the quality and form of AC Milan suggest they will be the team walking away from the U-Power Stadium with a positive result, maintaining their push for a top spot in Serie A.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

28%

72%

Attacking Potential

14%

86%

Defensive Potential

47%

53%

Poisson Distribution

38%

62%

Stregth H2H

0%

100%

Goals H2H

18%

82%

Wins the game

29%

71%

Monza - AC Milan Head to Head

18/02	Monza	4 - 2	AC Milan
17/12	AC Milan	3 - 0	Monza
18/02	Monza	0 - 1	AC Milan
22/10	AC Milan	4 - 1	Monza

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15