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Monza - AS Roma Predictions
As the Italian Serie A gears up for another weekend of thrilling football, the focus shifts to the U-Power Stadium in Monza where the home team is set to clash with the mighty AS Roma. With predictions hinting at a possible win or draw for the visitors, fans are on the edge of their seats, eager to see if Monza can defy the odds or if Roma will cement their position in the upper echelons of the league standings.
Key Players
Monza's hopes may rest heavily on the shoulders of their attacking duo, Samuele Vignato and Mirko Marić. Vignato, with a rating of 6.64, has demonstrated his capacity to threaten the goal, boasting 4 shots on target from 6 attempts. Marić, on the other hand, has a slightly higher rating of 6.72 and has shown his creative edge with 5 key passes, though both forwards have netted just one goal apiece. Defensively, Luca Caldirola stands out with a rating of 6.84, contributing one assist and showing his reliability with 1199 passes.AS Roma's lineup features the dynamic Renato Júnior Luz Sanches in the midfield, who brings a rating of 6.62 and has completed 58 passes along with 3 key passes. Upfront, Sardar Azmoun mirrors his Monza counterparts with a single goal and a rating of 6.73. The defensive solidity can be attributed to Rasmus Nissen Kristensen, who has not only defended well but also contributed to the attack with one assist and a rating of 6.75.
Recent Form
Monza's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two draws, one win, and two losses. Their inconsistency is reflected in their 11th place standing with 30 points, a negative goal difference, and a form home rating of 40.AS Roma, sitting comfortably at 6th place with 41 points, boasts a better recent record with three wins and one loss in their last four matches. Their form away rating of 60 indicates a stronger performance on the road compared to Monza's home form.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between the two sides reveals a clear advantage for AS Roma. They have won two of the last three encounters, including a narrow 1-0 victory in their most recent match on October 22, 2023. The other matches include a 1-1 draw on May 3, 2023, and a convincing 3-0 win for Roma on August 30, 2022. This historical edge, alongside the current form, suggests that Roma has the psychological advantage going into the match.Prediction
Taking into account the form of key players, the recent performances of both teams, and their head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards AS Roma either securing a win or coming away with a draw. The statistical analysis gives Roma a total percent advantage of 66.2% over Monza's 34%. The advice points towards a double chance: draw or AS Roma, with a 45% chance for both outcomes.The match could potentially be a low-scoring affair, with predictions suggesting under 2.5 goals for both teams. With AS Roma showing a stronger attacking prowess and a slightly better defensive record, they are the favorites to either win or hold Monza to a stalemate.
In conclusion, while Monza will look to leverage their home advantage and the skills of players like Samuele Vignato and Luca Caldirola, AS Roma appears to have the upper hand with a more consistent form and players like Rasmus Nissen Kristensen providing stability at the back. Fans can anticipate a tightly contested match, but the numbers suggest that AS Roma will likely extend their dominance over Monza this Saturday.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Monza - AS Roma Head to Head
Serie A standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 73 | 14 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 |
Bologna
|
31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 |
Napoli
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 48 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 43 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
30 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 28 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 |
Verona
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 15 |
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