Monza - Fiorentina

• Goals
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• Substitutions

7'

0 - 1

Goal

L. Beltrán

88'		D. D'Ambrosio	Unsportsmanlike conduct
86'		M. Kayode	Holding
73'		J. Akpa Akpro	Roughing
72'		J. Akpa Akpro	Roughing
68'		Y. Mina	Roughing
33'		Pablo Marí	Unsportsmanlike conduct
33'		L. Beltrán	Unsportsmanlike conduct

84'			In:	A. Duncan	Out:	L. Amatucci
84'			In:	J. Ikoné	Out:	R. Sottil
83'			In:	G. Kyriakopoulos	Out:	S. Birindelli
79'			In:	Dany Mota	Out:	S. Vignato
77'			In:	Arthur	Out:	R. Mandragora
61'			In:	A. Colpani	Out:	V. Carboni
56'			In:	A. Barák	Out:	Y. Mina
46'			In:	Pedro Pereira	Out:	Lorenzo Colombo
46'			In:	R. Gagliardini	Out:	P. Ciurria
46'			In:	L. Beltrán	Out:	M'Bala Nzola

Monza - Fiorentina Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Fiorentina

Best odds: 1.61

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In the heart of Monza, an intriguing Serie A clash is set to unfold as the home side Monza prepares to lock horns with Fiorentina. With predictions favoring a potential win or draw for Monza, the anticipation around the U-Power Stadium is palpable. The stage is set for a thrilling encounter where strategy, form, and individual brilliance will all play their part.

Key Players - Monza

Monza's recent upturn in form can be attributed to several standout performers. Among them is Samuele Vignato, an attacker whose contributions have been vital. With a rating of 6.63, Vignato has proven his worth, managing 4 shots on target from 6 attempts and being instrumental in build-up play with 115 total passes. Another key figure in the attack is Mirko Marić, with a slightly higher rating of 6.70. Marić has shown his eye for goal with 1 shot finding the net and has been a creative force with 4 key passes to his name.

Not to be overlooked is the influence of midfielder Valentín Carboni. Carboni boasts a rating of 6.84 and has contributed to Monza's cause with 1 goal and 1 assist, showcasing his ability to impact the game from the midfield.

Key Players - Fiorentina

Fiorentina's attacking prowess comes from the likes of Christian Michael Kouamé Kouakou, who has been a consistent threat in front of goal. With a 6.63 rating, Kouamé has taken 9 shots, 3 of which have been on target. Another forward making waves is M'Bala Nzola, whose 6.69 rating is justified by his 2 assists and 1 goal from 8 shot attempts.

Lucas Beltrán, a key attacker with a 6.73 rating, has also shown his worth by contributing 1 goal and 1 assist. His ability to find space and create opportunities has been crucial for Fiorentina's offensive unit.

Recent Form

Monza's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. This shows a team that has resilience and the ability to grind out results when necessary. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has seen a bit more inconsistency, with their last five outings yielding 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Both teams are closely matched in the league standings, with Fiorentina just edging Monza with a 3-point lead and a slightly better goal difference.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides provide a glimpse into their competitive history. Their most recent clash on April 23, 2023, saw Monza emerge victorious with a 3-2 win. Prior to that, the teams faced off on January 4, 2023, and played out a 1-1 draw. These results suggest a closely fought rivalry, with neither team able to claim outright dominance.

Prediction

Taking into account the form of key players, recent performances, and head-to-head history, this match is poised to be a tightly contested affair. The predictions lean towards Monza having the edge, with a "double chance" of a win or draw. The balance of probabilities, considering both teams' strengths and vulnerabilities, suggests that Monza could capitalize on their home advantage to secure at least a point.

Expect Samuele Vignato and Valentín Carboni to be influential for Monza, while Fiorentina will look towards Christian Michael Kouamé Kouakou and M'Bala Nzola to spearhead their attack. With a 45% chance of a home win and another 45% for a draw, the odds are tipped slightly in Monza's favor.

In conclusion, the prediction for this encounter is a Monza win or draw. This outcome would not only reflect the statistical analysis but also the resilience and tactical acumen displayed by Monza in recent outings. Fans can expect a competitive match where moments of individual brilliance could very well decide the outcome.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

33%

67%

Attacking Potential

36%

64%

Defensive Potential

30%

70%

Poisson Distribution

59%

41%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

45%

55%

Wins the game

42%

58%

Monza - Fiorentina Head to Head

11/05	Fiorentina	-	Monza
22/12	Monza	0 - 1	Fiorentina
23/04	Monza	3 - 2	Fiorentina
04/01	Fiorentina	1 - 1	Monza

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15