Monza - Napoli

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

69'		2 - 5	Goal	G. Raspadori
68'		2 - 4	Goal	G. Raspadori
62'		2 - 3	Goal	A. Colpani
61'		1 - 3	Goal	P. Zieliński	K. Kvaratskhelia (Assist)
57'		1 - 2	Goal	M. Politano
55'		1 - 1	Goal	V. Osimhen	F. Anguissa (Assist)
9'		1 - 0	Goal	M. Đurić	A. Zerbin (Assist)

46'		J. Akpa Akpro	Tripping
41'		C. Ngonge	Holding

80'			In:	M. Olivera	Out:	Mário Rui
76'			In:	R. Gagliardini	Out:	V. Carboni
76'			In:	S. Birindelli	Out:	G. Kyriakopoulos
68'			In:	K. Kvaratskhelia	Out:	G. Raspadori
68'			In:	P. Zieliński	Out:	J. Cajuste
55'			In:	J. Akpa Akpro	Out:	W. Bondo
55'			In:	A. Zerbin	Out:	P. Ciurria
55'			In:	C. Ngonge	Out:	M. Politano
54'			In:	J. Akpa Akpro	Out:	W. Bondo
54'			In:	A. Zerbin	Out:	P. Ciurria
27'			In:	Dany Mota	Out:	D. Maldini

Monza - Napoli Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Napoli

Best odds: 1.27

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In a highly-anticipated Serie A clash, Monza will host Napoli at the U-Power Stadium on a serene Sunday, where predictions hint at a potential draw or an away win for the visiting side. The home crowd will be eager to see if their team can defy the odds, while Napoli supporters will be hopeful for a victory to climb up the league table.

Key Players - Monza

Monza, currently sitting at 11th in the league, will be relying on their attacking force to make an impact. Samuele Vignato, with a modest rating of 6.64, has shown his potential to challenge defenses, having taken 6 shots with 4 on target and contributing to the team's scoring efforts. Mirko Marić, another forward, mirrors Vignato's rating and shares the same number of total shots, indicating a possible threat from the duo upfront. On the defensive end, Luca Caldirola stands out with a rating of 6.84, not only for his defensive solidity but also for his contribution to the attack, having scored a goal and provided an assist.

Key Players - Napoli

Napoli, sitting at 9th place, will look towards their Argentine striker Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini to lead the line. With a rating of 6.74 and 9 shots on target out of 25, his aggressive approach could be pivotal. In midfield, Eljif Elmas has been influential, boasting a 6.80 rating and having made key passes that could unlock any defense. On the backline, Leo Skiri Østigård is the rock of Napoli's defense with the highest rating among key players at 6.90, indicating his crucial role in maintaining the team's defensive integrity.

Recent Form

Monza's recent form has been a mixed bag of results, with a sequence of WWDDW from their last five matches, indicating a certain level of consistency. Napoli's form, on the other hand, reads WDDLW, suggesting a slightly less stable performance. Both teams have shown they can secure points, but consistency will be key in this matchup.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimpse into the competitive nature of these fixtures. The last three encounters have seen a goalless draw on December 29, 2023, a surprising 2-0 victory for Monza on May 14, 2023, and a dominant 4-0 win for Napoli on August 21, 2022. This history suggests an unpredictable outcome, with both teams having experienced highs and lows against each other.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, key players' impact, and historical data, the prediction leans towards a double chance: draw or Napoli victory. With both teams having a 45% chance of securing the win and a 10% chance for Monza, the odds are slightly in favor of the visitors. The match is expected to be a tight affair, potentially with fewer than 2.5 goals from each side, as indicated by the under/over predictions.

In the end, it may come down to the performances of the key players. Whether Samuele Vignato and Mirko Marić can penetrate Napoli's defense or if Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini and Eljif Elmas can outshine Monza's backline, led by the steadfast Luca Caldirola. With Napoli's Leo Skiri Østigård anchoring the defense, it will certainly be a challenge for the home side.

The advice for those watching the betting lines is to consider the "Double chance: draw or Napoli" option, reflecting the anticipated close nature of this encounter. Fans and neutrals alike can expect a match full of tactical intrigue, with the potential for moments of individual brilliance to tip the scales.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

53%

47%

Attacking Potential

41%

59%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

35%

65%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

33%

67%

Wins the game

44%

56%

Monza - Napoli Head to Head

07/04	Monza	2 - 4	Napoli
29/12	Napoli	0 - 0	Monza
14/05	Monza	2 - 0	Napoli
21/08	Napoli	4 - 0	Monza

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15