Monza - Verona

Regular Season - 24
Kickoff: 2024-02-11 13:00

Who will win?

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Monza - Verona Predictions

Prediction: Monza or draw
Best odds: 1.32

As the Italian Serie A gears up for another thrilling encounter, the spotlight falls on U-Power Stadium in Monza, where the local side prepares to take on Verona. With predictions favoring a win or draw for Monza, the anticipation is palpable. But will the home advantage and the form of key players tilt the scales, or will Verona defy the odds and secure much-needed points?

Monza's Key Players

The home side's hopes will rest heavily on the shoulders of their attacking trio. Samuele Vignato, with a rating of 6.63, has been a consistent performer, managing to put 4 shots on target from a total of 6 attempts. Although his goal contribution stands at one, his presence on the pitch has been vital.

Joining him in the attack is Mirko Marić, who has a slightly higher rating of 6.72. Marić's 5 shot attempts and a goal to his name prove that he can be a threat, albeit needing to sharpen his finishing skills.

The most promising of the trio is Dany Mota Carvalho, with a rating of 6.78. His 8 shots on target from 18 attempts and a goal scored highlight his potential to be a game-changer for Monza.

Verona's Key Players

Verona will rely on the services of their midfielder Darko Lazović, who boasts a rating of 6.58. Lazović's contribution is more creative, with 8 key passes to his name, although he has only managed to find the back of the net once.

Upfront, Thomas Henry stands out with a 6.83 rating and two goals. His presence in the box and ability to convert chances will be crucial for Verona as they seek to upset the home side.

The standout player for Verona, however, is Cyril Ngonge, who has been in fine form with a rating of 6.99. With 6 goals from 28 shots and two assists, Ngonge is the main offensive threat that Monza will need to contain.

Recent Form

Monza's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two wins, two losses, and a draw. Currently sitting at 12th in the league with 28 points, they have shown both resilience and vulnerability.

Verona, on the other hand, is struggling in the 16th spot, only two places above the relegation zone. Their form has been worrisome, with only one win in their last five matches, accompanied by two draws and two losses.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides suggest a dominance by Monza. The last three meetings have seen Monza win twice, including a convincing 3-1 victory on November 5th, 2023, and a 2-0 win on November 6th, 2022. The other match ended in a 1-1 draw on March 12th, 2023.

Prediction

Considering the form of key players and recent performances, the prediction leans towards a Monza victory or a draw. The home side's attacking prowess, particularly the influence of Dany Mota Carvalho, could prove decisive. Verona will not go down without a fight, especially with Cyril Ngonge in their ranks, but they might find it tough to break down Monza's defense.

The statistics suggest that a low-scoring affair is likely, with predictions hinting at under 2.5 goals for Monza and under 1.5 for Verona. The double chance of Monza winning or drawing seems to be the safest bet, with a 45% chance for both outcomes.

In summary, expect a closely contested match where Monza's home advantage and the form of their key attackers could edge them over the line, while Verona will need to punch above their weight to secure points on the road. The final verdict: Monza to either win or secure a draw, with the match not expected to be a high-scoring thriller.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

64%
36%

Attacking Potential

45%
55%

Defensive Potential

44%
56%

Poisson Distribution

62%
38%

Stregth H2H

88%
13%

Goals H2H

75%
25%

Wins the game

63%
37%

Monza - Verona Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15