Napoli - Cagliari

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• Substitutions

75'		2 - 1	Goal	K. Kvaratskhelia	V. Osimhen (Assist)
72'		1 - 1	Goal	L. Pavoletti	Zito Luvumbo (Assist)
69'		1 - 0	Goal	V. Osimhen	Mário Rui (Assist)

85'		Mário Rui	Roughing
63'		T. Augello	Tripping
45'		V. Osimhen	Foul
45'		Amir Rrahmani	Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'		E. Goldaniga	Tripping
45'		L. Pavoletti	Unsportsmanlike conduct

82'			In:	V. Osimhen	Out:	G. Gaetano
79'			In:	E. Goldaniga	Out:	G. Lapadula
68'			In:	G. Oristanio	Out:	Zito Luvumbo
68'			In:	N. Nández	Out:	G. Zappa
67'			In:	G. Oristanio	Out:	Zito Luvumbo
67'			In:	N. Nández	Out:	G. Zappa
59'			In:	J. Cajuste	Out:	G. Raspadori
59'			In:	Natan	Out:	Mário Rui
46'			In:	A. Petagna	Out:	A. Obert
46'			In:	J. Jankto	Out:	A. Deiola

Napoli - Cagliari Predictions

Prediction: Napoli or draw

Best odds: 1.07

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As the excitement builds for the upcoming Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, all eyes are on the predictions that suggest a favorable outcome for the home side. With the match set to unfold at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Napoli, the question on everyone's mind is whether Napoli will solidify their position for European competition or if Cagliari can cause an upset and escape the relegation zone.

Key Players

Napoli's hopes are pinned on Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini, whose grit as an attacker has been evident despite the team's fluctuating form. With a rating of 6.69, Simeone has managed to get 6 shots on target from 10 attempts, though he'll be looking to improve his goal tally beyond the single goal he's scored so far.

In the midfield, Eljif Elmas has been a consistent performer for Napoli, with a rating of 6.71. His vision and passing ability have been crucial, contributing 92 total passes and 4 key passes, which have been instrumental in creating scoring opportunities.

Defensively, Leo Skiri Østigård has been a rock at the back with a rating of 7.04. His contributions are not just limited to defense; Østigård has also been involved in the attack, with 1 goal to his name from his sole shot on target.

For Cagliari, Gaetano Pio Oristanio is a key midfielder to watch. With a 6.62 rating and a total of 7 key passes, he's shown he can be a threat, especially with his ability to take shots from a distance, having 3 shots on target from 8 attempts.

Nahitan Michel Nández Acosta, another midfielder, has been a bright spot for Cagliari, with a 6.72 rating, providing 1 assist and maintaining a strong presence with 219 total passes and 12 key passes.

Lastly, Benito Nicolas Viola has contributed both in terms of passing and scoring, with 1 goal and 1 assist to his name. His performance will be critical if Cagliari hopes to defy the odds.

Recent Form

Napoli's recent form has been a mixed bag with results reading 'LWLWD' in their last five games, indicating some inconsistency. They currently sit on the 5th spot with 24 points, equal to AS Roma but behind due to goal difference.

Cagliari, on the other hand, finds themselves in a precarious position at 19th place with only 10 points. Their recent form 'LDLWW' shows signs of improvement, but they are still deep in the relegation battle.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams is not provided in the data, but it is clear from the predictions that Napoli has been the dominant side in previous encounters. This historical edge could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

The predictions heavily favor Napoli, with a 45% chance of winning and another 45% chance of a draw. Cagliari's chances of an away win are slim, at just 10%. The advice leans towards a 'Double chance: Napoli or draw', indicating that Napoli is unlikely to lose this encounter.

The statistical analysis, including the Poisson distribution, also backs Napoli with a 67% chance of winning at home compared to Cagliari's 33% away. Furthermore, Napoli's home form and Cagliari's away form suggest that the home side is in a much stronger position.

In conclusion, the detailed prediction points to a strong possibility of Napoli either winning or securing a draw. Given their superior form, home advantage, and the strength of key players like Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini, Eljif Elmas, and Leo Skiri Østigård, Napoli is expected to come out on top or at the very least, maintain their unbeaten home record against Cagliari. Cagliari will need standout performances from Gaetano Pio Oristanio, Nahitan Michel Nández Acosta, and Benito Nicolas Viola to disrupt Napoli's plans. However, the odds are stacked against them, and it would take a significant upset to overturn the predictions.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

46%

54%

Attacking Potential

40%

60%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

67%

33%

Stregth H2H

85%

15%

Goals H2H

75%

25%

Wins the game

61%

40%

Napoli - Cagliari Head to Head

25/02	Cagliari	1 - 1	Napoli
16/12	Napoli	2 - 1	Cagliari

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15