Napoli - Genoa

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		1 - 1	Goal	C. Ngonge	G. Di Lorenzo (Assist)
47'		0 - 1	Goal	M. Frendrup

54'		G. Di Lorenzo
51'		J. Vásquez
42'		K. Kvaratskhelia	Unsportsmanlike conduct
26'		L. Østigård	Tripping

90'			In:	S. Sabelli	Out:	G. Cittadini
90'			In:	R. Malinovskyi	Out:	K. Strootman
83'			In:	A. Guðmundsson	Out:	Vítinha
76'			In:	G. Simeone	Out:	G. Raspadori
75'			In:	M. Retegui	Out:	C. Ekuban
75'			In:	Junior Messias	Out:	R. Malinovskyi
66'			In:	P. Mazzocchi	Out:	M. Olivera
61'			In:	H. Traorè	Out:	J. Lindstrøm
61'			In:	M. Politano	Out:	C. Ngonge
59'			In:	H. Traorè	Out:	J. Lindstrøm
59'			In:	M. Politano	Out:	C. Ngonge
46'			In:	L. Østigård	Out:	Natan

Napoli - Genoa Predictions

Prediction: Napoli or draw

Best odds: 1.16

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As the excitement builds for the upcoming Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, all eyes are on the potential outcomes and key players who will shape the match at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. With predictions hinting at a favorable outcome for the home side, let's delve into the specifics that could lead Napoli to secure a win or at least a draw, and why the goal tally might stay under 3.5.

Key Players - Napoli

Napoli's performance this season has been a rollercoaster, and as they gear up to face Genoa, they will rely heavily on their midfield dynamo, Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho. With a rating of 6.68, his ability to control the game's tempo and his impressive tally of 386 total passes will be crucial in breaking down Genoa's defenses.

Upfront, Napoli will count on the prowess of Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini, whose rating of 6.69 reflects his threat in the attacking third. Though he's netted only once this season, his 6 shots on target from 12 attempts show he's knocking on the door of more goals.

Eljif Elmas, another key midfielder with a rating of 6.80, has proven his worth with 2 goals and a solid presence in the midfield. His 6 shots on target from as many attempts indicate a precision that could be decisive in the upcoming match.

Key Players - Genoa

Genoa's hopes will be pinned on their own midfield maestro, Morten Thorsby, who has a rating of 6.61. His contribution of 1 assist and 163 total passes will be vital for Genoa to create scoring opportunities.

In terms of creative force, Ruslan Malinovskyi stands out with a rating of 6.79. His 2 goals, 1 assist, and 7 key passes indicate his ability to change the course of a game.

Defensively, Mattia Bani has been a rock at the back for Genoa. With a rating of 6.82, his defensive prowess, coupled with his unexpected goal-scoring ability, could prove to be a thorn in Napoli's side.

Recent Form

Napoli's recent form has been inconsistent, as reflected in their last five games (DWLDL), leaving them at 9th on the table. Meanwhile, Genoa has shown more stability, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings (DWWDD), which could give them a psychological edge.

Head-to-Head History

The historical data between these two sides points to a competitive edge for Napoli. Their last encounter on September 16, 2023, ended in a 2-2 draw, demonstrating the closely matched nature of these teams.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, key player matchups, and historical data, the prediction leans towards a Napoli win or draw. The home advantage and the individual quality of players like Folorunsho, Simeone, and Elmas should give Napoli the edge they need. However, Genoa's recent form and key players like Thorsby and Malinovskyi cannot be underestimated.

The prediction suggests a low-scoring affair, with the game expected to feature fewer than 3.5 goals. This aligns with both teams' recent goal-scoring records and defensive statistics. The advice for those looking to place bets would be a combo double chance: Napoli or draw and under 3.5 goals.

In conclusion, while the match promises to be a tight contest, Napoli, with the support of their home crowd and key players in good form, are tipped to come out on top in this encounter, albeit by a slender margin.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

47%

53%

Attacking Potential

44%

56%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

53%

47%

Stregth H2H

71%

29%

Goals H2H

74%

26%

Wins the game

57%

44%

Napoli - Genoa Head to Head

17/02	Napoli	1 - 1	Genoa
16/09	Genoa	2 - 2	Napoli

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15