Rayo Vallecano - Cadiz

Regular Season - 27
Kickoff: 2024-03-02 05:15

Who will win?

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Rayo Vallecano - Cadiz Predictions

Prediction: Rayo Vallecano or draw
Best odds: 1.20
Prediction: Under 3.5
Best odds: 1.17

As the La Liga season progresses, the upcoming match between Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz at the Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid holds significant weight in the fight for survival. Predictions suggest a tight clash with a lean towards a home win or draw, with experts advising a combo double chance for Rayo Vallecano or draw and under 3.5 goals. The spotlight shines on key players who could tip the scales in this crucial encounter.

Key Players

For Rayo Vallecano, the midfield creativity hinges on Enrique Pérez Muñoz, whose vision and passing could unlock Cadiz's defense. With a rating of 6.52, his contribution of one goal and five key passes from 276 total passes shows his influence in the middle of the park. In the attacking third, Jorge de Frutos Sebastián, with a 6.56 rating, has shown promise with six shots on target from 11 attempts. His ability to create chances will be vital for Rayo Vallecano. However, it's the experience of Radamel Falcao García Zárate, with a rating of 6.57, that could be the deciding factor. Despite scoring just one goal, his predatory instincts in front of goal are well-known.

Cadiz, on the other hand, will rely on the midfield tenacity of Federico San Emeterio Díaz, rated at 6.55, who will need to disrupt Rayo's rhythm to give his team a chance. Meanwhile, the flair and goal threat of Darwin Daniel Machís Marcano, with the highest rating of 6.63 among his teammates, could prove crucial. His three goals and nine key passes make him a dangerous prospect for any defense. At the back, Lucas Pires Silva, with a solid rating of 6.74, will be instrumental in thwarting Rayo's attacking forays.

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano's recent form has been less than ideal, with a string of draws and losses (DLLLD) leaving them in the 14th position with 25 points. Their struggle to convert games into wins is evident in their -11 goal difference. Cadiz, sitting in the relegation zone at 18th with just 17 points, has a similar story of missed opportunities and a concerning -20 goal difference, as reflected in their recent form (LLDDL).

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record offers little in the way of dominance for either side. Their last meeting on September 27, 2023, ended in a goalless draw, while Cadiz edged out a 1-0 victory earlier that year on February 25. However, Rayo Vallecano had a significant 5-1 win over Cadiz back on October 22, 2022, suggesting they can be explosive when in form.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' recent form, individual talent, and the pressure of the situation, the prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair with Rayo Vallecano having the edge. The key players like Enrique Pérez Muñoz, Jorge de Frutos Sebastián, and Radamel Falcao for Rayo Vallecano, and Federico San Emeterio Díaz, Darwin Machís, and Lucas Pires Silva for Cadiz, will need to step up to make a significant impact.

Given the defensive challenges both teams have faced, a strategic and cautious approach is expected. The predictions suggest a double chance for Rayo Vallecano to win or draw, coupled with an expectation of under 3.5 goals for the match. This tactical battle, where midfield control and defensive solidity will be paramount, is likely to end with Rayo Vallecano seizing a narrow victory or the teams sharing the spoils in a draw. Fans can anticipate a tense match where every pass and shot could sway the outcome and, potentially, the course of their season.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

40%
60%

Attacking Potential

67%
33%

Defensive Potential

46%
54%

Poisson Distribution

59%
41%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

62%
38%

Wins the game

54%
46%

Rayo Vallecano - Cadiz Head to Head

La Liga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid players, news and schedule Real Madrid 30 23 6 1 66 20 46 75
2 Barcelona players, news and schedule Barcelona 30 20 7 3 61 34 27 67
3 Girona players, news and schedule Girona 30 20 5 5 62 36 26 65
4 Athletic Club players, news and schedule Athletic Club 30 16 8 6 50 28 22 56
5 Atletico Madrid players, news and schedule Atletico Madrid 29 17 4 8 54 34 20 55
6 Real Sociedad players, news and schedule Real Sociedad 30 13 10 7 43 31 12 49
7 Real Betis players, news and schedule Real Betis 30 10 12 8 36 36 0 42
8 Valencia players, news and schedule Valencia 29 11 8 10 32 32 0 41
9 Osasuna players, news and schedule Osasuna 30 11 6 13 36 43 -7 39
10 Villarreal players, news and schedule Villarreal 29 10 8 11 47 51 -4 38
11 Getafe players, news and schedule Getafe 30 9 11 10 37 43 -6 38
12 Las Palmas players, news and schedule Las Palmas 30 10 7 13 29 33 -4 37
13 Alaves players, news and schedule Alaves 30 8 8 14 26 36 -10 32
14 Sevilla players, news and schedule Sevilla 30 7 10 13 37 44 -7 31
15 Mallorca players, news and schedule Mallorca 30 6 13 11 25 35 -10 31
16 Rayo Vallecano players, news and schedule Rayo Vallecano 30 6 12 12 25 38 -13 30
17 Celta Vigo players, news and schedule Celta Vigo 30 6 10 14 32 44 -12 28
18 Cadiz players, news and schedule Cadiz 30 4 13 13 21 40 -19 25
19 Granada CF players, news and schedule Granada CF 29 2 8 19 30 59 -29 14
20 Almeria players, news and schedule Almeria 30 1 10 19 28 60 -32 13