Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid

Regular Season - 25
Kickoff: 2024-02-18 03:00

Who will win?

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Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid Predictions

Prediction: Real Madrid
Best odds: 1.66

As the sun sets over Madrid, the stage is set for an electrifying La Liga clash at Estadio de Vallecas, where the underdogs Rayo Vallecano will face the might of the league leaders, Real Madrid. With predictions heavily favoring the visitors, let's delve into the key players who could be game-changers and analyze the recent form and head-to-head history to see if there's potential for an upset or if Real Madrid will solidify their top spot.

Key Players for Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano's struggle to climb the league table could be turned around by the likes of Enrique Pérez Muñoz, a midfielder with a rating of 6.56. His ability to break through defenses is evident from his 5 key passes and a goal to his name. Alongside him, Jorge de Frutos Sebastián, an attacker with a 6.61 rating, is known for his agility and has contributed with 5 shots on target and a goal. The iconic Radamel Falcao García Zárate, despite a rating of 6.63, remains a threat upfront with his experience and knack for finding the net, having already scored once this season.

Key Players for Real Madrid

Real Madrid's stellar performance this season can be attributed to their formidable attacking lineup. Juan Miguel Latasa Fernández Layos, with a rating of 6.79, has been a revelation, scoring twice and showing his potential with 11 shots on target. The lethal José Luis Sanmartín Mato, better known as Joselu, boasts a rating of 6.93, having found the back of the net 7 times and providing 2 assists. Not to forget Lucas Vázquez Iglesias, a versatile midfielder with a 7.01 rating, who has been instrumental with his 2 assists and a goal, showcasing his importance to the team's dynamics.

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano's form has been inconsistent, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches (LDLWL), leaving them at the 14th spot with 24 points. They have struggled at home, winning just once in 10 games. In stark contrast, Real Madrid's recent form reads like the script of a champion (WWWWW), sitting comfortably at the top with 57 points. Their away record is particularly impressive, with 9 wins in 12 outings.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimmer of hope for Rayo Vallecano, with the last match at Real Madrid's home ending in a goalless draw on November 5, 2023. However, Real Madrid secured a narrow victory in the previous encounter on May 24, 2023, with a 2-1 scoreline. Looking further back, Rayo Vallecano managed to surprise Real Madrid with a 3-2 win on November 7, 2022. Despite this, the overall trend favors Real Madrid.

Prediction

With the predictions pointing towards a Real Madrid victory and a staggering 70.2% probability of an away win, it's hard to bet against the league leaders. The analysis suggests Real Madrid's attacking prowess, led by Joselu and Lucas Vázquez, could be too much for Rayo Vallecano's defense. The prediction also leans towards a high-scoring affair, with Real Madrid expected to outscore their hosts.

In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the data and form guide indicate that Real Madrid should emerge victorious in this encounter. Rayo Vallecano will need a monumental effort from players like Enrique Pérez Muñoz and Jorge de Frutos to disrupt the visitors' rhythm. However, the final prediction is a strong win for Real Madrid, as they continue their march towards the league title.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

7%
93%

Attacking Potential

20%
80%

Defensive Potential

33%
67%

Poisson Distribution

13%
87%

Stregth H2H

29%
71%

Goals H2H

42%
58%

Wins the game

24%
76%

Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid Head to Head

La Liga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid players, news and schedule Real Madrid 25 19 5 1 53 16 37 62
2 Barcelona players, news and schedule Barcelona 26 17 6 3 56 34 22 57
3 Girona players, news and schedule Girona 25 17 5 3 54 32 22 56
4 Atletico Madrid players, news and schedule Atletico Madrid 25 16 3 6 50 26 24 51
5 Athletic Club players, news and schedule Athletic Club 25 14 7 4 45 23 22 49
6 Real Sociedad players, news and schedule Real Sociedad 26 10 10 6 35 26 9 40
7 Real Betis players, news and schedule Real Betis 25 9 12 4 28 25 3 39
8 Valencia players, news and schedule Valencia 25 10 6 9 29 29 0 36
9 Las Palmas players, news and schedule Las Palmas 25 10 5 10 25 25 0 35
10 Getafe players, news and schedule Getafe 26 8 10 8 33 38 -5 34
11 Osasuna players, news and schedule Osasuna 25 9 5 11 29 36 -7 32
12 Alaves players, news and schedule Alaves 26 7 8 11 25 32 -7 29
13 Villarreal players, news and schedule Villarreal 26 7 8 11 38 48 -10 29
14 Rayo Vallecano players, news and schedule Rayo Vallecano 25 5 10 10 22 33 -11 25
15 Sevilla players, news and schedule Sevilla 25 5 9 11 30 37 -7 24
16 Mallorca players, news and schedule Mallorca 26 4 12 10 23 34 -11 24
17 Celta Vigo players, news and schedule Celta Vigo 25 4 8 13 27 37 -10 20
18 Cadiz players, news and schedule Cadiz 25 2 11 12 15 35 -20 17
19 Granada CF players, news and schedule Granada CF 25 2 8 15 27 49 -22 14
20 Almeria players, news and schedule Almeria 25 0 8 17 23 52 -29 8