Rayo Vallecano - Valencia

Regular Season - 18
Kickoff: 2023-12-19 17:00

Who will win?

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Rayo Vallecano - Valencia Predictions

Prediction: Rayo Vallecano or draw
Best odds: 1.38

As the La Liga season heats up, Rayo Vallecano and Valencia prepare to lock horns at the Estadio de Vallecas on a chilly Tuesday evening in Madrid. With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings, the predictions are hinting at a clash that could swing either way. Will Rayo Vallecano leverage their home advantage, or will Valencia snatch the points on their travels? The stats suggest a tight encounter, but let's delve deeper into the key players and recent form to unravel this football conundrum.

Key Players

Rayo Vallecano's midfield maestro, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, has been a consistent performer, boasting a rating of 6.58. With a keen eye for a pass, he has completed 118 passes this season, with 4 being key to creating scoring opportunities. His contribution will be pivotal in unlocking the Valencia defense.

Upfront, Tiago Manuel Dias Correia, better known as Bebé, brings a direct threat with his pace and power. His 6.68 rating is justified by his 2 goals from 5 shots on target, indicating his efficiency in front of goal.

Rayo's attack is further bolstered by the experienced Radamel Falcao, whose predatory instincts have netted him 1 goal this season. Despite a modest return, his presence and movement could be key in unsettling the Valencia backline.

For the visitors, Francisco Pérez Martínez, with a rating of 6.68, has been a revelation in midfield. His impressive tally of 3 assists from 10 key passes shows his ability to carve open defenses, and he will be the one to watch in creating chances for Valencia.

At the back, Mouctar Diakhaby has stood tall with a team-high rating of 6.90. His defensive prowess and threat on set pieces, having scored 1 goal, make him a dual threat.

The midfield engine for Valencia is powered by Javier Guerra Moreno, whose 7.00 rating tops the charts for his team. With 3 goals and 1 assist, his contributions from midfield could prove decisive.

Recent Form

Rayo Vallecano's form has been inconsistent, with their last five games yielding a mix of results: LDLDD. Sitting at 11th place with 19 points, their home record hasn't been formidable, but they will be eager to improve it.

Valencia, on the other hand, has had a slightly better run with LDLWD in their last five outings. They share the same points tally but sit two places above Rayo due to a better goal difference. Their away form has been less than impressive, which they will hope to address in this matchup.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between the two sides provides a glimpse into their evenly matched nature. The last encounter on April 3, 2023, ended in a 1-1 draw, demonstrating their competitive spirit. Before that, Rayo Vallecano edged Valencia 2-1 on September 10, 2022, which will surely be on the minds of the players and fans alike.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key players, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a Rayo Vallecano win or draw. With 45% chances for both a home win and a draw, compared to Valencia's 10% for an away victory, the odds are tipped in Rayo's favor. The prediction also suggests a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals for both teams.

Given Rayo's home advantage and the form of key players like Enrique Pérez Muñoz and Radamel Falcao, coupled with Valencia's struggles on the road, a double chance favoring Rayo Vallecano or a draw seems a prudent bet. However, the unpredictable nature of football means Valencia's key men like Francisco Pérez Martínez and Javier Guerra Moreno could turn the tide.

In conclusion, expect a tightly contested match with Rayo Vallecano likely to edge it or share the spoils with Valencia. The stage is set for a fascinating La Liga encounter under the Madrid skies.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

50%
50%

Attacking Potential

40%
60%

Defensive Potential

53%
47%

Poisson Distribution

49%
51%

Stregth H2H

75%
25%

Goals H2H

64%
36%

Wins the game

55%
45%

Rayo Vallecano - Valencia Head to Head

La Liga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid players, news and schedule Real Madrid 30 23 6 1 66 20 46 75
2 Barcelona players, news and schedule Barcelona 30 20 7 3 61 34 27 67
3 Girona players, news and schedule Girona 30 20 5 5 62 36 26 65
4 Athletic Club players, news and schedule Athletic Club 30 16 8 6 50 28 22 56
5 Atletico Madrid players, news and schedule Atletico Madrid 29 17 4 8 54 34 20 55
6 Real Sociedad players, news and schedule Real Sociedad 30 13 10 7 43 31 12 49
7 Real Betis players, news and schedule Real Betis 30 10 12 8 36 36 0 42
8 Valencia players, news and schedule Valencia 29 11 8 10 32 32 0 41
9 Osasuna players, news and schedule Osasuna 30 11 6 13 36 43 -7 39
10 Villarreal players, news and schedule Villarreal 29 10 8 11 47 51 -4 38
11 Getafe players, news and schedule Getafe 30 9 11 10 37 43 -6 38
12 Las Palmas players, news and schedule Las Palmas 30 10 7 13 29 33 -4 37
13 Alaves players, news and schedule Alaves 30 8 8 14 26 36 -10 32
14 Sevilla players, news and schedule Sevilla 30 7 10 13 37 44 -7 31
15 Mallorca players, news and schedule Mallorca 30 6 13 11 25 35 -10 31
16 Rayo Vallecano players, news and schedule Rayo Vallecano 30 6 12 12 25 38 -13 30
17 Celta Vigo players, news and schedule Celta Vigo 30 6 10 14 32 44 -12 28
18 Cadiz players, news and schedule Cadiz 30 4 13 13 21 40 -19 25
19 Granada CF players, news and schedule Granada CF 29 2 8 19 30 59 -29 14
20 Almeria players, news and schedule Almeria 30 1 10 19 28 60 -32 13