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RB Leipzig - VfL Wolfsburg Predictions
As the Bundesliga season edges towards a thrilling climax, RB Leipzig is set to lock horns with VfL Wolfsburg at the Red Bull Arena this Saturday. With the predictions heavily favoring the home side, let's delve into the intricate details that could decide the fate of this encounter.
Key Players
RB Leipzig's European ambitions are fueled by their midfield maestro, Emil Peter Forsberg, whose vision and creativity have been pivotal. With a rating of 6.71, Forsberg has managed to notch up 2 goals and an assist, with a commendable tally of 6 key passes. Another vital cog in Leipzig's setup is Timo Werner, matching Forsberg's rating and adding 2 goals to his name. Werner's ability to stretch defenses with his pace could prove crucial.Not to be overshadowed, Kevin Kampl stands out with his 6.80 rating, orchestrating the play with 890 passes, including 13 key passes, and adding a goal to his tally. His control and distribution will be essential in breaking down Wolfsburg's defenses.
On the visitors' side, Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás leads the line with a 6.62 rating, contributing a goal and showing his threat with 8 shots on target. In defense, Rogério Oliveira da Silva stands firm with a 6.64 rating, and his resilience will be tested against Leipzig's potent attack. Finally, Maximilian Marcus Philipp brings versatility and a 6.65 rating to Wolfsburg's forward line.
Recent Form
RB Leipzig has been in impressive form, securing 3 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches. Their recent slip-up in the form of a loss does little to tarnish their otherwise consistent performance. With 50 points and a +28 goal difference, they stand 5th in the league, eyeing a promotion to the Europa League group stages.VfL Wolfsburg, in contrast, finds themselves in a precarious position at 14th, with a recent form that reads like a cry for improvement: a win followed by two losses and two draws. Their struggle for consistency is evident, with 28 points and a -11 goal difference.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record provides a mixed bag of results. The most recent clash on November 25, 2023, saw Wolfsburg edge out Leipzig with a 2-1 victory. However, Leipzig had previously bested Wolfsburg 3-0 on February 18, 2023, signaling that they have the capability to dominate this matchup.Prediction
Taking into account the current form, head-to-head history, and key players' impact, the prediction leans heavily towards an RB Leipzig victory. The home side boasts a 70% total win probability, with their attacking force and defensive prowess rated at 63 and 71, respectively. Wolfsburg, trailing with a 30% win probability, will need to summon an exceptional performance to upset the odds.Leipzig's recent home form shows a formidable fortress at the Red Bull Arena, winning 9 out of 14 home games and conceding only 10 goals. In contrast, Wolfsburg has struggled on the road, with 8 losses in 14 away games. The statistics and form suggest a clear advantage for Leipzig.
The predictions also foresee a low-scoring affair for Wolfsburg, with an expected goal tally of under 1.5, while Leipzig might struggle to exceed 3.5 goals. The advice stands firm: Winner: RB Leipzig, with a balanced approach likely to keep the scoreline modest.
In conclusion, while football always has room for surprises, the data points to a strong likelihood of RB Leipzig consolidating their position in the top tier of the Bundesliga with a win over VfL Wolfsburg. The visitors will have to defy the odds and their own form to take anything away from the Red Bull Arena this Saturday.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
RB Leipzig - VfL Wolfsburg Head to Head
| 13/04 | RB Leipzig |
- | VfL Wolfsburg |
| 25/11 | VfL Wolfsburg |
2 - 1 | RB Leipzig |
| 31/10 | VfL Wolfsburg |
1 - 0 | RB Leipzig |
| 18/02 | VfL Wolfsburg |
0 - 3 | RB Leipzig |
| 27/08 | RB Leipzig |
2 - 0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
Bundesliga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 60 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 60 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 |
Borussia Monchengladbach
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Vfl Bochum
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
| 16 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 |
1.FC Köln
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 14 |
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