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Real Betis - Alaves Predictions
As the sun sets on a balmy Sunday evening in Sevilla, the stage is set at the Estadio Benito Villamarín for a captivating La Liga showdown. The home side, Real Betis, is poised to lock horns with Alaves in what promises to be a battle rich with tactical nuances and individual brilliance. With predictions leaning towards a favorable outcome for the Verdiblancos, fans and pundits alike are bracing for a match that could tilt the scales of the league standings.
Key Players
Real Betis boasts a trio of attacking talents who could prove pivotal in unlocking the Alaves defense. Ayoze Pérez Gutiérrez, with a rating of 6.93 and a keen eye for goal, has already found the net 4 times this season. His 14 shots on target from 34 attempts and his creative prowess, evidenced by his 22 key passes, make him a constant threat.Not to be overshadowed, Willian José da Silva stands as Betis' top scorer with 6 goals. His impressive 6.89 rating and ability to find space in the box, taking 24 shots with 13 on target, could be the key to breaking down Alaves' defense. Meanwhile, Assane Diao Diaoune, though not as prolific, adds another layer to Betis' attack with 2 goals and a solid 6.69 rating.
Alaves, on the other hand, will rely on their defensive stalwart Aleksandar Sedlar, rated at 6.75. His calm presence and ability to play out from the back, with 402 passes to his name, could be crucial in stifling Betis' forwards. Upfront, Abderrahmane Rebbach, though scoring just once, has shown flashes of brilliance with a 6.71 rating and could pose a sporadic threat on the counter.
Recent Form
Real Betis' form has been a mixed bag, with a record of WLWLD in their last five games. Despite this inconsistency, they have maintained a strong presence at home, losing only once in 11 outings. Alaves, with a slightly better recent record of LWWWD, will be looking to capitalize on their recent upturn in form to climb further away from the relegation zone.Head-to-Head History
Past encounters provide a glimpse into the potential dynamics of the upcoming match. The two sides last met on January 6, 2024, where Alaves edged out a narrow 1-0 victory over Betis. Before that, on October 8, 2023, they shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw. These tight contests suggest that the upcoming fixture could be another close encounter.Prediction
Taking into account the form of key players, recent performances, and historical matchups, the prediction tilts in favor of Real Betis. With a 45% chance of victory according to the pundits and a "double chance" advice leaning towards a Betis win or draw, the home side seems well-positioned to secure points. The statistical analysis, including a 55.8% total percent home advantage, further cements Betis as the favorites.However, football is a game of fine margins, and Alaves' recent form should not be discounted. With a 10% chance of an away win, they could surprise the home crowd if Betis fails to convert their chances. Yet, the home side's attacking prowess, led by the likes of Ayoze Pérez and Willian José, combined with Alaves' struggle to find the back of the net consistently, suggests that Betis is likely to come out on top.
In conclusion, expect Real Betis to either secure a win or at the very least, hold Alaves to a draw, solidifying their position in the upper half of the table as they push for a European spot. The prediction stands — a double chance for Real Betis to either win or draw, with a potential for goals to be at a premium, given the under 2.5 goals forecast for both teams.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Real Betis - Alaves Head to Head
| 18/02 | Real Betis |
0 - 0 | Alaves |
| 06/01 | Alaves |
1 - 0 | Real Betis |
| 08/10 | Alaves |
1 - 1 | Real Betis |
La Liga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 66 | 20 | 46 | 75 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 67 |
| 3 |
Girona
|
30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 65 |
| 4 |
Athletic Club
|
30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 56 |
| 5 |
Atletico Madrid
|
29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 55 |
| 6 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 |
Las Palmas
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 |
Alaves
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 25 |
| 19 |
Granada CF
|
29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 14 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
30 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 13 |
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