Real Madrid - Almeria

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		3 - 1	Goal	Dani Carvajal	J. Bellingham (Assist)
77'		2 - 1	Goal disallowed: Offside
67'		2 - 2	Goal	Vinícius Júnior
56'		1 - 2	Penalty	J. Bellingham
43'		0 - 2	Goal	Edgar González
1'		0 - 1	Goal	L. Ramazani

90'		J. Bellingham	misses next match
90'		E. Camavinga	Roughing
90'		Dani Carvajal	Unsportsmanlike conduct
84'		Edgar González	Foul
75'		Álex Pozo	Roughing
64'		D. Lopy
53'		L. Ramazani	Holding

85'			In:	L. Robertone	Out:	Gonzalo Melero
83'			In:	Sergio Arribas	Out:	Lázaro
83'			In:	T. Kroos	Out:	E. Camavinga
70'			In:	L. Ramazani	Out:	Adri Embarba
70'			In:	Marezi	Out:	L. Suárez
70'			In:	Marc Pubill	Out:	Álex Pozo
70'			In:	F. Valverde	Out:	Dani Ceballos
46'			In:	Rodrygo	Out:	Joselu
46'			In:	Nacho	Out:	Brahim Díaz
46'			In:	F. Mendy	Out:	Fran García

Real Madrid - Almeria Predictions

Prediction: Real Madrid

Best odds: 1.18

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In the heart of Madrid, at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, a David versus Goliath battle is set to unfold in La Liga's 21st round of the regular season. The home side, Real Madrid, sits comfortably at the summit of the league table, while their challengers, Almeria, are entrenched at the bottom, fighting for survival. The clash is poised to be a tactical showdown, but with predictions shrouded in mystery, the outcome of this game is eagerly anticipated by fans and analysts alike.

Key Players

For Real Madrid, the spotlight will undoubtedly fall on José Luis Sanmartín Mato, also known as Joselu. His impressive tally of 5 goals, coupled with a rating of 6.84, marks him as a formidable threat upfront. His ability to convert chances, with 15 shots on target from 27 attempts, will be crucial for the home side.

In midfield, the creativity and diligence of Lucas Vázquez Iglesias cannot be overstated. With a rating of 7.04, his contributions in both defense and attack, including 2 assists from 11 key passes, make him an invaluable asset for Los Blancos.

Another key figure is Aurélien Djani Tchouaméni, whose midfield presence has been felt throughout the season. With a rating of 7.12, Tchouaméni's defensive acumen and ability to dictate the pace of the game will be vital in controlling the midfield battle.

Almeria, on the other hand, will rely heavily on their defensive stalwart Kaiky Fernandes Melo. Despite his team's struggles, Kaiky has managed a rating of 6.53 and will be essential in organizing the backline to withstand Real Madrid's attacking prowess.

The defensive responsibilities also fall on the shoulders of Sergio Akieme Rodríguez, who boasts a rating of 6.62. His ability to contribute to both defense and attack, with 2 goals to his name, could be a game-changer.

Upfront, Largie Ramazani is Almeria's beacon of hope. With a rating of 6.75, 2 goals, and 4 assists, his pace and skill will be pivotal in Almeria's counter-attacks.

Recent Form

Real Madrid's form has been nothing short of exceptional, with their last five games yielding 4 wins and a draw. Their dominance is further highlighted by their impressive goal difference of +29. Almeria, in stark contrast, have struggled to find their footing, as reflected in their last five outings that resulted in 3 losses and 2 draws.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams provides further insight into what can be expected. Real Madrid has come out on top in their last three encounters, with the most recent match ending in a 3-1 victory for the capital side. The scores from their previous meetings on August 19, 2023, and April 29, 2023, also tilt in favor of Real Madrid, with 3-1 and 4-2 wins, respectively.

Prediction

Considering the form, the head-to-head history, and the caliber of key players, the prediction leans heavily towards a Real Madrid victory. Their attacking firepower, led by the likes of Joselu and Lucas Vázquez, combined with the midfield control exerted by Tchouaméni, should prove too much for an Almeria side that has shown tenacity but lacks the overall quality to withstand such an assault.

Almeria will need heroic performances from Kaiky and Akieme in defense, and the ingenuity of Ramazani upfront, to stand any chance of taking points from this fixture. However, the overwhelming evidence suggests a comfortable win for the hosts.

The final prediction for this La Liga encounter is a commanding victory for Real Madrid. With their eyes set on maintaining their lead at the top, expect them to seize control of the game early and not look back.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

87%

13%

Attacking Potential

75%

25%

Defensive Potential

75%

25%

Poisson Distribution

92%

8%

Stregth H2H

100%

0%

Goals H2H

76%

24%

Wins the game

81%

19%

Real Madrid - Almeria Head to Head

21/01	Real Madrid	3 - 2	Almeria
19/08	Almeria	1 - 3	Real Madrid
29/04	Real Madrid	4 - 2	Almeria
14/08	Almeria	1 - 2	Real Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13