Real Madrid - Girona

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

61'		5 - 0	Goal	Rodrygo
54'		4 - 0	Goal	J. Bellingham
36'		3 - 0	Goal	J. Bellingham	Vinícius Júnior (Assist)
35'		2 - 0	Goal	J. Bellingham	Vinícius Júnior (Assist)
6'		1 - 0	Goal	Vinícius Júnior

76'		F. Mendy	Roughing
68'		Yan Couto	Tripping
68'		Aleix García	Tripping
22'		Juanpe	Tripping
21'		Juanpe	Tripping

78'			In:	Vinícius Júnior	Out:	A. Güler
78'			In:	F. Mendy	Out:	Fran García
77'			In:	Vinícius Júnior	Out:	A. Güler
77'			In:	F. Mendy	Out:	Fran García
70'			In:	Iván Martín	Out:	J. Solís
70'			In:	V. Tsyhankov	Out:	Valery
70'			In:	A. Dovbyk	Out:	C. Stuani
70'			In:	Rodrygo	Out:	Joselu
70'			In:	T. Kroos	Out:	L. Modrić
57'			In:	J. Bellingham	Out:	Brahim Díaz
46'			In:	Portu	Out:	Pablo Torre

Real Madrid - Girona Predictions

Prediction: Real Madrid or draw

Best odds: 1.17

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In one of the most anticipated clashes of the La Liga season, second-placed Real Madrid will host table-toppers Girona at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu this coming Saturday. With just one point separating the two giants, predictions are tilting towards a Real Madrid edge, yet the possibility of a draw cannot be dismissed in this neck-to-neck race for supremacy.

Key Players

Real Madrid's firepower is personified in the likes of Juan Miguel Latasa Fernández Layos, whose presence on the pitch has been marked by his 25 shots and 2 goals. His teammate, José Luis Sanmartín Mato, known as Joselu, has been pivotal in the attack, boasting a total of 5 goals from 27 attempts and contributing 2 assists. Not to be overlooked, Lucas Vázquez Iglesias, with a rating of 7.01, has been instrumental in the midfield, creating chances with 11 key passes and securing a goal himself.

Girona, on the other hand, has its own set of aces, including Valery Fernández Estrada, a defender with a keen eye for goal, having found the net twice. The attacking prowess of Cristhian Ricardo Stuani Curbelo, with a commendable 7 goals to his name, cannot be underestimated. And in defense, Yan Bueno Couto has been a rock, assisting 5 times and contributing a goal, showcasing his versatility and importance to the team.

Recent Form

Real Madrid's recent form has been nothing short of impressive, with a string of five consecutive wins that speak volumes of their championship mettle. They've been dominant on their home turf, remaining unbeaten, which sets the stage for a fierce contest.

Conversely, Girona has been consistent, with an almost equally impressive record, marked by three wins and two draws in their last five outings. Their unbeaten streak away from home this season adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides have seen varied outcomes. Their last meeting on September 30, 2023, ended in a comfortable 3-0 victory for Real Madrid. However, Girona had previously turned the tables with a 4-2 win over Madrid in April of the same year. Their duel in October 2022 ended in a 1-1 stalemate, indicating that past results have been unpredictable when these two titans clash.

Prediction

The prediction for this match is a tough call, with Real Madrid slightly favored with a "Double chance: Real Madrid or draw" according to the analysis. The home advantage and their unyielding form at the Bernabéu could be the deciding factors. A victory for Madrid would see them leapfrog Girona to the top spot, but the visitors have shown resilience and will not make it easy.

The statistical edge in form and poisson distribution leans towards Real Madrid, with a 58% form rating against Girona's 42%. The defensive stats also tip in favor of the home side, which could be critical in a match that promises to be tightly contested. The goal predictions suggest a low-scoring affair, with both teams expected to score fewer than 2.5 goals.

In conclusion, while Real Madrid are the favorites, Girona's performance this season has been nothing short of spectacular, setting the stage for a thrilling encounter. Expect a tactical battle with moments of individual brilliance, particularly from the key players highlighted. The final prediction: a hard-fought match with a strong possibility of a Real Madrid win or draw.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

54%

46%

Attacking Potential

47%

53%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

61%

39%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

56%

44%

Wins the game

53%

47%

Real Madrid - Girona Head to Head

10/02	Real Madrid	4 - 0	Girona
30/09	Girona	0 - 3	Real Madrid
25/04	Girona	4 - 2	Real Madrid
30/10	Real Madrid	1 - 1	Girona

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13