Real Madrid - Villarreal

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

68'		4 - 2	Goal	L. Modrić
64'		3 - 2	Goal	Brahim Díaz	Fran García (Assist)
55'		2 - 2	Goal	José Luis Morales	Ramon Terrats (Assist)
54'		2 - 1	Goal	José Luis Morales	Ramon Terrats (Assist)
37'		2 - 0	Goal	Rodrygo	Lucas Vázquez (Assist)
25'		1 - 0	Goal	J. Bellingham	L. Modrić (Assist)

67'		J. Bellingham	Roughing
67'		Adrià Alti	Holding

46'			In:	F. Mendy	Out:	Fran García
46'			In:	Gerard Moreno	Out:	A. Sørloth
46'			In:	Raúl Albiol	Out:	Jorge Cuenca
35'			In:	D. Alaba	Out:	Nacho
34'			In:	D. Alaba	Out:	Nacho
29'			In:	Álex Baena	Out:	Ramon Terrats

Real Madrid - Villarreal Predictions

Prediction: Real Madrid

Best odds: 1.08

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As the La Liga season heats up, all eyes turn to the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu where league leaders Real Madrid look to cement their position at the top against a struggling Villarreal side. Predictions lean heavily towards a Real Madrid victory, but with football's unpredictable nature, could there be a twist in the tale?

Key Players

Real Madrid's stellar performance this season can be attributed to some standout individuals. Brahim Abdelkader Díaz, the dynamic midfielder, has been a creative force with a rating of 6.78, contributing one goal and three key passes. His ability to unlock defenses will be crucial in this encounter.

The attacking prowess of José Luis Sanmartín Mato, commonly known as Joselu, has been invaluable. With a rating of 6.91, his 15 shots on target and five goals make him a significant threat upfront for the Madridistas.

Not to be overshadowed, Vinícius José Paixão de Oliveira Júnior, better known as Vinícius Júnior, has dazzled with a 7.00 rating, scoring two goals and providing a spark on the wings with his speed and flair.

Villarreal's hopes may rest on the shoulders of their top performers. José Luis Morales Nogales, with a rating of 6.77, has been a bright spot in their campaign, scoring four goals. His pace and finishing could pose a threat on the counter-attack.

Alexander Sørloth, the towering attacker, has a rating of 6.79 and leads the team with six goals. His physical presence and aerial ability could trouble the Madrid defense.

Finally, the defensive solidity of Jorge Cuenca Barreno, rated at 6.98, will be vital if Villarreal is to withstand the relentless Madrid attack. His passing from the back has been a key feature of Villarreal's build-up play.

Recent Form

Real Madrid's form has been impressive, with their last five games reading WWWDW. Sitting at the top with 38 points, they have been formidable at home, unbeaten in their seven home fixtures. Villarreal, on the other hand, have had a mixed bag of results with DWLLW in their last five outings. Sitting at 12th with 16 points, they have struggled for consistency this season.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters tell an interesting story. The last match at the Bernabéu saw Villarreal snatch a thrilling 3-2 victory against Real Madrid on April 8, 2023. However, Real Madrid returned the favor with the same scoreline at Villarreal's home on January 19, 2023. Earlier in the same month, Villarreal edged out a 2-1 win. These results suggest that Villarreal have had recent success against the league leaders, adding an intriguing subplot to the upcoming match.

Prediction

Despite Villarreal's recent head-to-head advantage, the prediction for this match leans heavily towards Real Madrid. The combination of their strong form, home advantage, and key players like Joselu and Vinícius Júnior in fine form, it's hard to bet against them. The prediction model gives a 45% chance for a home win and another 45% for a draw, leaving only a 10% probability for an away victory.

Moreover, the advice suggests a "Double chance: Real Madrid or draw," highlighting the confidence in Real Madrid not losing this fixture. With Real Madrid's defense rated at 83% against Villarreal's 17%, it's expected that the home side will be able to contain Villarreal's attack while posing their own threats.

In conclusion, the match at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu is set to be a compelling encounter with Real Madrid favored to either win or secure a draw. It promises to be a showcase of talent, strategy, and perhaps, a few surprises.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

73%

27%

Attacking Potential

61%

39%

Defensive Potential

85%

15%

Poisson Distribution

85%

15%

Stregth H2H

38%

62%

Goals H2H

46%

54%

Wins the game

65%

35%

Real Madrid - Villarreal Head to Head

18/05	Villarreal	-	Real Madrid
17/12	Real Madrid	4 - 1	Villarreal
08/04	Real Madrid	2 - 3	Villarreal
19/01	Villarreal	2 - 3	Real Madrid
07/01	Villarreal	2 - 1	Real Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13