Salernitana - AC Milan

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		2 - 2	Goal	L. Jović	O. Giroud (Assist)
63'		2 - 1	Goal	A. Candreva
42'		1 - 1	Goal	F. Fazio	A. Candreva (Assist)
17'		0 - 1	Goal	F. Tomori

74'		N. Gyömbér	Tripping
72'		P. Mazzocchi	Roughing
71'		P. Mazzocchi	Roughing
44'		G. Kastanos	Tripping
35'		Rafael Leão	Holding

78'			In:	G. Kastanos	Out:	A. Martegani
78'			In:	P. Mazzocchi	Out:	D. Bronn
78'			In:	L. Tchaouna	Out:	Jovane Cabral
70'			In:	I. Bennacer	Out:	L. Jović
70'			In:	C. Pulišić	Out:	S. Chukwueze
65'			In:	F. Tomori	Out:	A. Florenzi
62'			In:	L. Pirola	Out:	N. Gyömbér
48'			In:	B. Dia	Out:	C. Ikwuemesi
46'			In:	S. Kjær	Out:	J. Šimić

Salernitana - AC Milan Predictions

Prediction: Draw or AC Milan

Best odds: 1.15

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Prediction: Over 1.5

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As the anticipation builds for the upcoming Serie A clash between the struggling Salernitana and the formidable AC Milan, predictions are tilting in favor of the visitors. With the match slated for a Friday evening at Stadio Arechi in Salerno, fans and pundits alike are eager to see if Salernitana can defy the odds or if AC Milan will solidify their position in the league standings.

Key Players

For Salernitana, the spotlight falls on Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi, an attacker whose performance could be pivotal in this encounter. With a modest rating of 6.65, Ikwuemesi's contribution in front of goal has been limited, but his potential to create chances can't be overlooked. Alongside him, Boulaye Dia, with a higher rating of 6.73, has been more prolific, netting 4 goals and proving to be a more significant threat with his higher shots on target rate. The midfield engine, Grigoris Kastanos, with a 6.88 rating, also carries the hopes of the home side, contributing both in terms of goals and creative playmaking.

AC Milan's prospects rest on the shoulders of their attacking talent. Although details are sparse, Lorenzo Colombo has already found the back of the net thrice this season. The Swiss attacker Noah Arinzechukwu Okafor carries a rating of 6.58, and while his goal tally isn't overwhelming, his presence on the pitch can't be underestimated. In defense, the player simply known as "NA" has a solid rating of 6.86 and has proven to be a reliable part of AC Milan's backline, contributing not just defensively but also offensively with a goal to his name.

Recent Form

Salernitana's form has been less than inspiring, with their last five games resulting in two losses, a win, and two draws. This erratic performance has left them languishing at the bottom of the league table, with a concerning goal difference of -19. AC Milan, on the other hand, has had a more positive run, with two wins, two draws, and a single loss, keeping them in the hunt for Champions League qualification.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimmer of hope for the underdogs, as the last encounter between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw on March 13, 2023. However, AC Milan edged out Salernitana in their January 4, 2023, meeting with a narrow 2-1 victory. The historical data suggests that while AC Milan has the upper hand, Salernitana has shown they can hold their own against the Milanese giants.

Prediction

The prediction for this match points towards an AC Milan victory or a draw, with a strong recommendation for a double chance bet favoring the away side. The odds are stacked against Salernitana, with a zero percent home win prediction compared to a 50 percent chance for either a draw or an AC Milan win. The total percent confidence leans heavily towards AC Milan at 67.3% against Salernitana's 32.7%.

In terms of goals, the experts suggest a low-scoring affair for Salernitana, predicting under 2.5 goals for the home team. Conversely, AC Milan is expected to fare slightly better, with a prediction of under 3.5 goals. The form, attacking strength, and defensive capabilities all favor AC Milan, with the visitors holding a 64 percent advantage in form and a 62 to 38 percent lead in attacking strength over Salernitana.

Considering these factors, the final prediction is a win or a draw for AC Milan. Salernitana will need to harness the full potential of their key players, like Ikwuemesi and Dia, to disrupt the odds. Meanwhile, AC Milan will rely on the likes of Okafor and their unnamed defensive stalwart to secure a result that reflects their higher league standing and pushes them closer to their Champions League ambitions. The stage is set for what could be a tactical battle or a display of AC Milan's superiority in Serie A.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

29%

71%

Attacking Potential

35%

65%

Defensive Potential

33%

67%

Poisson Distribution

24%

76%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

36%

64%

Wins the game

30%

71%

Salernitana - AC Milan Head to Head

25/05	AC Milan	-	Salernitana
22/12	Salernitana	2 - 2	AC Milan
13/03	AC Milan	1 - 1	Salernitana
04/01	Salernitana	1 - 2	AC Milan

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15