Salernitana - AS Roma

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

70'		1 - 2	Goal	G. Kastanos	L. Tchaouna (Assist)
66'		0 - 2	Goal	L. Pellegrini	R. Karsdorp (Assist)
51'		0 - 1	Penalty	P. Dybala

87'		A. Candreva	Diving
84'		P. Dybala
45'		L. Pellegrini
43'		N. Pierozzi	Tripping

88'			In:	L. Pellegrini	Out:	Dean Huijsen
79'			In:	N. Pierozzi	Out:	A. Zanoli
78'			In:	S. El Shaarawy	Out:	N. Zalewski
73'			In:	S. Nwankwo	Out:	C. Ikwuemesi
73'			In:	N. Gyömbér	Out:	M. Lovato
71'			In:	P. Dybala	Out:	H. Aouar
62'			In:	J. Sambia	Out:	A. Martegani
62'			In:	T. Bašić	Out:	G. Kastanos

Salernitana - AS Roma Predictions

Prediction: Draw or AS Roma

Best odds: 1.19

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In the upcoming Serie A clash, the underdogs Salernitana are set to host the formidable AS Roma at Stadio Arechi. The predictions are in, hinting at a potential triumph for the visitors, but in football, the outcome is never set in stone. Will the home side defy the odds or will Roma solidify their mid-table position?

Key Players

For Salernitana, the spotlight shines on their attacking force. Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi, with a rating of 6.67, is a player to watch, having managed to put 3 shots on target from a total of 9 attempts and contributing 1 assist. His agility and knack for creating opportunities will be crucial for the home team.

Another key figure in the Salernitana lineup is Boulaye Dia, who boasts the highest total goals for the team with 4. With a rating of 6.68, his ability to find the back of the net could be a game-changer. Dia's keen eye for goal, paired with 8 shots on target, makes him a significant threat to Roma's defense.

Not to be overlooked, Simeon Tochukwu Nwankwo, also known as "Simy", adds to the attacking prowess with a rating of 6.70. Though he has scored only once, his physical presence and hold-up play could be pivotal in bringing teammates into the game.

AS Roma's midfield maestro, Renato Júnior Luz Sanches, rated at 6.62, will be essential in dictating the pace of the game. His vision and passing accuracy can unlock Salernitana's defense and set up scoring opportunities for his team.

Upfront for Roma, Sardar Azmoun is another player to keep an eye on. With a rating of 6.73 and a total of 2 shots on target, Azmoun will be looking to improve his goal tally and prove why he's a key asset to the team.

Lastly, Roma's defensive stalwart, Rasmus Nissen Kristensen, not only contributes to the backline with a solid rating of 6.75 but also adds to the offense with 1 goal and 1 assist. His versatility and ability to contribute on both ends of the pitch make him an invaluable player for the visitors.

Recent Form

Salernitana's struggle this season is evident, currently sitting at the bottom of the table with only 12 points. Their recent form reads LLWDL, reflecting their inconsistency and inability to secure victories. With a -23 goal difference, their defense and attack need to step up to escape the relegation zone.

AS Roma, on the other hand, occupies the 9th spot with 29 points. Their form has been mixed with LDLWL, suggesting a lack of consistency that they'll be eager to rectify. With a positive goal difference of +8, they have the capability to outscore opponents but need to find a more stable rhythm.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been relatively balanced recently, with two draws and a narrow 1-0 victory for Roma in their last three meetings. On August 20, 2023, and May 22, 2023, both games ended in 2-2 stalemates, while Roma managed to edge out Salernitana with a 1-0 win on August 14, 2022.

Prediction

The predictions are favoring AS Roma with a 45% chance of victory, echoing the sentiment of a "Double chance: draw or AS Roma". The statistical analysis suggests that Roma has the upper hand, especially when it comes to head-to-head history, with an 85% win rate in recent encounters.

Given both teams' form and the quality within Roma's ranks, it is likely that the visitors will either win or secure a draw. However, football is known for its unpredictability, and Salernitana will be fighting with everything they have to cause an upset.

In conclusion, the prediction leans towards a win or draw for AS Roma, with the visitors expected to capitalize on their superior form and historical advantage. Nonetheless, Salernitana's key players might still influence the match, ensuring an intriguing contest awaits.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

36%

64%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

43%

57%

Poisson Distribution

38%

62%

Stregth H2H

15%

85%

Goals H2H

31%

69%

Wins the game

36%

65%

Salernitana - AS Roma Head to Head

29/01	Salernitana	1 - 2	AS Roma
20/08	AS Roma	2 - 2	Salernitana
22/05	AS Roma	2 - 2	Salernitana
14/08	Salernitana	0 - 1	AS Roma

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15