Salernitana - Empoli

Regular Season - 24
Kickoff: 2024-02-09 09:45

Who will win?

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Salernitana - Empoli Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Empoli
Best odds: 1.57

In a pivotal clash at the bottom of the Serie A table, Salernitana will host Empoli at Stadio Arechi this Friday, with both teams desperate to secure points in their fight against relegation. As the predictions lean towards an Empoli advantage, with a "double chance: draw or Empoli" suggested, the match promises to be a tense affair with both sides acutely aware that every point counts.

Key Players

Salernitana's hopes may hinge on the performances of their attacking trio. Simeon Tochukwu Nwankwo, with a rating of 6.55 and a record of 2 shots on target from 4 attempts, will need to be clinical in front of goal. Alongside him, Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi, with a rating of 6.57, 6 shots on target, and 1 assist, could be a game-changer with his creative play. Loum Tchaouna, another forward, brings a rating of 6.61 to the table, contributing 2 assists and showcasing his ability to create opportunities.

Empoli, not to be outdone, have their own set of key players. Roberto Piccoli, although his rating stands at 6.30, has netted 3 goals, making him a significant threat. Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, with a 6.56 rating, has managed 3 shots on target and could be crucial in unsettling Salernitana's defense. Lastly, midfielder Tommaso Baldanzi, the highest-rated among them at 6.66, has taken 5 shots on target and created 13 key passes, indicating his potential to influence the game from the midfield.

Recent Form

Salernitana's recent form is a cause for concern, with a string of losses (LLLWD) leaving them languishing at the bottom of the table with only 12 points. Empoli, while not faring much better, have managed to secure a win and a draw in their last five games (DWLLD), giving them a slight edge in morale.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record tilts heavily in Empoli's favor. In their last meeting on September 27, 2023, Empoli emerged victorious with a 1-0 win. The previous encounter on May 8, 2023, also saw Empoli defeating Salernitana 2-1. The teams shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw back on September 5, 2022, suggesting that while Empoli has the upper hand, Salernitana can put up a fight.

Prediction

Taking into account the critical stats and the form of key players, the prediction tilts towards an Empoli win or draw. With a 45% probability for both outcomes, the match could very well end in a stalemate or see Empoli snatching the three points. Salernitana's struggle at home this season, winning only once in 11 games, further compounds their challenges. Empoli, with a balanced attack and defense rating, seems better positioned to exploit Salernitana's vulnerabilities.

The advice for those looking to wager on this match is a "Double chance: draw or Empoli," reflecting the uncertainty but also the potential for Empoli to capitalize on their slightly better form and head-to-head record. With a total percentage favoring Empoli at 61.2% compared to Salernitana's 39.2%, the numbers suggest a tough night ahead for the home team.

In conclusion, while Salernitana will be fighting tooth and nail to climb out of the relegation zone, the odds and Empoli's recent performances indicate they might have enough to either hold Salernitana to a draw or take all three points back home. All eyes will be on key players like Roberto Piccoli and Tommaso Baldanzi to see if they can tip the scales in Empoli's favor.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

17%
83%

Attacking Potential

44%
56%

Defensive Potential

43%
57%

Poisson Distribution

50%
50%

Stregth H2H

15%
85%

Goals H2H

38%
63%

Wins the game

35%
66%

Salernitana - Empoli Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15