Salernitana - Monza

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

83'		0 - 2	Goal	M. Pessina	M. Đurić (Assist)
78'		0 - 1	Goal	D. Maldini	R. Gagliardini (Assist)

72'		T. Bašić
64'		A. Izzo
63'		A. Izzo
48'		Pablo Marí	Tripping
38'		T. Pasalidis	Tripping

87'			In:	A. Candreva	Out:	S. Nwankwo
82'			In:	V. Carboni	Out:	J. Akpa Akpro
75'			In:	L. Coulibaly	Out:	M. Łęgowski
74'			In:	A. Izzo	Out:	G. Kyriakopoulos
73'			In:	A. Izzo	Out:	G. Kyriakopoulos
73'			In:	L. Coulibaly	Out:	M. Łęgowski
73'			In:	T. Bašić	Out:	B. Dia
67'			In:	Dany Mota	Out:	D. Maldini
67'			In:	Pablo Marí	Out:	L. Caldirola
62'			In:	S. Weissman	Out:	L. Tchaouna
61'			In:	K. Manolas	Out:	J. Boateng
46'			In:	A. Colpani	Out:	W. Bondo

Salernitana - Monza Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Monza

Best odds: 1.49

BET NOW

Loading...

BET NOW

Loading...

As the Italian Serie A enters its 26th round of the regular season, all eyes turn to Stadio Arechi in Salerno, where the struggling Salernitana will face a more stable Monza in a match that carries heavy implications at both ends of the table. With predictions leaning towards Monza, could we see an upset, or will the visitors fortify their mid-table position?

Key Players

For Salernitana, languishing at the bottom of the league, the attacking prowess of Simeon Tochukwu Nwankwo will be crucial. With an average rating of 6.50 and a total of 1 goal from 5 shots, Nwankwo's ability to convert chances will be vital for the home side. Alongside him, Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi, with a rating of 6.58, has shown promise with 7 shots on target and an assist, hinting at his potential to create and finish scoring opportunities.

Monza's hopes may rest on the shoulders of Samuele Vignato, who has demonstrated his attacking intent with a rating of 6.64, and Mirko Marić, who matches his teammate's rating with 6.72. Both forwards have netted 1 goal each, showing they can be a threat. But it's not just Monza's attack that's noteworthy; defender Luca Caldirola, with a rating of 6.84, has been a rock at the back and also contributed to the scoresheet, making him a dual threat.

Recent Form

Salernitana's form has been a cause for concern, with their last five matches resulting in a single draw and four losses (LDLLL). This has left them rooted to the bottom of the table with a mere 13 points. In stark contrast, Monza, currently sitting at 11th place with 30 points, has shown more resilience with a recent win, two draws, and two losses (DDWLL). This difference in form suggests a disparity in confidence levels between the two teams.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a fascinating insight into the encounters between these two clubs. They have faced each other three times, with the most recent match on October 8, 2023, where Monza emerged victorious with a 3-0 win. Interestingly, each team has secured a 3-0 win against the other, indicating that when one side gains the upper hand, they tend to capitalize significantly.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning in favor of Monza, with a 'double chance' recommendation of a draw or Monza victory. The statistical breakdown gives Monza a 45% chance of winning, mirroring the probability of a draw, while Salernitana's chances of clinching a win are slim at 10%. Monza's form is rated at a high 83 out of 100, dwarfing Salernitana's 17, and the head-to-head record further cements Monza as the favorites with an 80% win rate.

Considering the teams' current standings, the form of key players, and historical encounters, the final prediction is a victory for Monza. Salernitana's dire need for points may see them push forward, but Monza's stronger form and defensive solidity, led by Luca Caldirola, should see them through. The advice leans towards a double chance: draw or Monza, with a slight edge for an outright Monza win given the head-to-head dominance and recent form.

In conclusion, while Salernitana will be desperate to claw their way out of the relegation zone, Monza's superior form and the strength of key players such as Samuele Vignato and Mirko Marić in attack, combined with the defensive acumen of Luca Caldirola, make them the favorites to take all three points in this encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

11%

89%

Attacking Potential

38%

63%

Defensive Potential

31%

69%

Poisson Distribution

41%

59%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

25%

75%

Wins the game

28%

73%

Salernitana - Monza Head to Head

24/02	Salernitana	0 - 2	Monza
08/10	Monza	3 - 0	Salernitana
26/02	Salernitana	3 - 0	Monza
13/11	Monza	3 - 0	Salernitana

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15