Sassuolo - Empoli

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

77'		2 - 2	Goal	G. Ferrari	N. Bajrami (Assist)
64'		1 - 2	Penalty	M. Niang
54'		1 - 1	Penalty	A. Pinamonti
11'		0 - 1	Goal	S. Luperto	R. Marin (Assist)

57'		M. Cancellieri	Roughing
56'		M. Cancellieri	Roughing
54'		A. Ismajli	Roughing
10'		D. Boloca

88'			In:	M. Cancellieri	Out:	G. Pezzella
88'			In:	L. Cacace	Out:	M. Destro
88'			In:	N. Cambiaghi	Out:	B. Bereszyński
80'			In:	V. Kovalenko	Out:	S. Bastoni
69'			In:	C. Volpato	Out:	S. Mulattieri
68'			In:	C. Volpato	Out:	S. Mulattieri
55'			In:	A. Cerri	Out:	M. Niang
46'			In:	D. Boloca	Out:	N. Bajrami

Sassuolo - Empoli Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Empoli

Best odds: 1.80

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As the Serie A season heats up, a critical clash looms on the horizon with Sassuolo hosting Empoli at the MAPEI Stadium. With both teams hovering near the relegation zone, this match carries significant weight for their survival hopes. The predictions suggest a tight encounter, with Empoli slightly favored to either win or secure a draw. But will the key players step up to defy the odds, or will the stats hold true? Let's dive into the players who could tip the scales and examine the teams' recent form and history to carve out a prediction that might just surprise you.

Key Players

For Sassuolo, the spotlight will be on Nedim Bajrami, a midfielder with a keen eye for the game. With a rating of 6.64, Bajrami has contributed one goal and has been crucial in creating chances, evidenced by his 9 key passes. Joining him in midfield is Cristian Volpato, whose creativity has resulted in 12 key passes and a rating of 6.72, signaling his potential to unlock Empoli's defense. Matheus Henrique de Souza, with a rating of 6.76, is another one to watch, having notched two goals and an assist, showing he can be a threat both in orchestrating play and in front of the net.

Empoli counters with their own set of game-changers. Emanuel Quartsin Gyasi, an attacker with a 6.58 rating, has been involved in the buildup, taking 9 shots and making 5 key passes. His ability to find space could be vital. Francesco Caputo, a seasoned striker, leads the team's scoring charts with 3 goals and has a 6.71 rating. His experience could prove decisive in such a high-stakes match. Finally, Jacopo Fazzini, a midfielder boasting the highest rating among the key players at 6.89, has already contributed a goal and an assist and will be essential in both breaking down Sassuolo's defense and tracking back to support his own.

Recent Form

Sassuolo's recent form has been a cause for concern, with only one win in their last five matches (DLLLW), leaving them at the 17th spot with 20 points. Their home record doesn't inspire much confidence either, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses. Empoli sits just a notch above, in the 16th position with 21 points, and their form has been marginally better (WDDWL). The away side has shown resilience on the road, with a slightly better away record than Sassuolo's home statistics.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two sides have been evenly matched. Their most recent duel ended in a thrilling 4-3 victory for Sassuolo on Empoli's turf on November 26, 2023. Prior to that, Sassuolo also clinched a 2-1 win at home on April 30, 2023. However, Empoli had a 1-0 victory over Sassuolo on November 5, 2022. This historical backdrop sets the stage for another potentially close contest.

Prediction

Taking into account the key players' impact, recent form, and the head-to-head record, this match is poised to be a nail-biter. The predictions lean towards Empoli, with a "Double chance: draw or Empoli" being the advice given, and the percentages slightly favoring the away side at 54.3% over the home side's 45.7%. The match could very well hinge on the performances of players like Nedim Bajrami, Francesco Caputo, and Jacopo Fazzini.

Considering all factors, the prediction is a hard-fought draw, with both teams scoring. The attacking prowess of Sassuolo's midfield, combined with Empoli's slightly superior form, suggests that the teams might cancel each other out. Expect a strategic battle in the midfield, with both sides wary of conceding too much ground in their fight for Serie A survival.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

10%

90%

Attacking Potential

27%

73%

Defensive Potential

20%

80%

Poisson Distribution

57%

43%

Stregth H2H

60%

40%

Goals H2H

60%

40%

Wins the game

39%

61%

Sassuolo - Empoli Head to Head

24/02	Sassuolo	2 - 3	Empoli
26/11	Empoli	3 - 4	Sassuolo
30/04	Sassuolo	2 - 1	Empoli
05/11	Empoli	1 - 0	Sassuolo

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15