Sassuolo - Napoli

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

75'		1 - 6	Goal	K. Kvaratskhelia
51'		1 - 5	Goal	K. Kvaratskhelia	V. Osimhen (Assist)
47'		1 - 4	Goal	V. Osimhen	K. Kvaratskhelia (Assist)
41'		1 - 3	Goal	V. Osimhen	M. Politano (Assist)
31'		1 - 2	Goal	V. Osimhen	M. Politano (Assist)
29'		1 - 1	Goal	Amir Rrahmani
17'		1 - 0	Goal	U. Račić

80'			In:	S. Lobotka	Out:	L. Dendoncker
77'			In:	Ruan Tressoldi	Out:	M. Kumbulla
77'			In:	N. Bajrami	Out:	G. Defrel
76'			In:	V. Osimhen	Out:	G. Simeone
76'			In:	H. Traorè	Out:	P. Zieliński
62'			In:	Amir Rrahmani	Out:	Natan
62'			In:	M. Politano	Out:	G. Raspadori
57'			In:	J. Doig	Out:	F. Missori
56'			In:	U. Račić	Out:	C. Volpato

Sassuolo - Napoli Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Napoli

Best odds: 1.31

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As the Serie A action heats up, the upcoming clash between Sassuolo and Napoli at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore is one to watch closely. With predictions favoring Napoli for a win or draw, let's dive into the details that could sway this match in either direction, from the key players who will be instrumental to their team's performance to the historical data that hints at possible outcomes.

Key Players

Sassuolo, currently sitting at a precarious 17th place in the league, will heavily rely on the prowess of their midfield maestro, Nedim Bajrami. With a rating of 6.64 and a total of 227 passes this season, Bajrami's ability to control the midfield and create opportunities will be crucial. Alongside him, Cristian Volpato, another midfielder with a rating of 6.72 and 12 key passes, will need to step up and support Bajrami in the creative department. Lastly, the contributions of Matheus Henrique de Souza, who has notched up two goals and an assist, will be vital for Sassuolo's chances of an upset.

For Napoli, sitting more comfortably in 9th place, the spotlight will be on Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho, a midfielder with a solid rating of 6.68 and a tally of two goals. His aggressive playstyle is evident from his 28 total shots this season. In the attacking third, Giovanni Pablo Simeone Baldini, with a rating of 6.74, has the potential to break through Sassuolo's defense. Lastly, the influence of midfielder Eljif Elmas, who boasts the highest rating among the key players at 6.80, cannot be underestimated, given his balanced approach to both defense and attack.

Recent Form

Sassuolo's form has been less than ideal, with their last five games resulting in a single draw and four losses (LDLLL). Their struggle to secure points is reflected in their negative goal difference of -16 and their position just above the relegation zone. In contrast, Napoli has been inconsistent but still holds a better record (DLWDW), which includes two wins in their last five matches. This form has allowed them to maintain a positive goal difference of +5.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head encounters, Napoli has had the upper hand in recent matches. They have won the last three games against Sassuolo with scores of 2-0, 2-0, and a commanding 4-0 victory. These results not only demonstrate Napoli's dominance over Sassuolo but also suggest a psychological edge going into the upcoming match.

Prediction

The predictions and statistics lean towards a Napoli advantage, with a 50% chance of either a win or draw for the visitors. The poisson distribution also favors Napoli with a 67% chance over Sassuolo's 33%. Additionally, the head-to-head record is heavily skewed in Napoli's favor with a 93% win rate in recent meetings. The total percent indicator further cements Napoli's superiority at 78.5% against Sassuolo's 21.7%.

Taking into account the recent form of both teams, their key players' performances, and their historical matchups, the prediction is a double chance: draw or Napoli victory. While Sassuolo will be fighting to avoid the drop and may show resilience at home, Napoli's stronger squad depth and past encounters suggest they will leave Reggio Emilia with at least a point. Expect a tightly contested match, but with Napoli's key players like Eljif Elmas and Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho likely tipping the scales in their favor.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

11%

89%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

25%

75%

Poisson Distribution

32%

68%

Stregth H2H

7%

93%

Goals H2H

16%

84%

Wins the game

24%

77%

Sassuolo - Napoli Head to Head

28/02	Sassuolo	1 - 6	Napoli
27/08	Napoli	2 - 0	Sassuolo
17/02	Sassuolo	0 - 2	Napoli
29/10	Napoli	4 - 0	Sassuolo

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15