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SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
As the Bundesliga season progresses, the anticipation builds for a thrilling encounter between SC Freiburg and table-toppers Bayer Leverkusen at the Europa-Park Stadion. With the home side looking to improve their standing and the visitors aiming to solidify their top spot, predictions are swirling with possibilities. Will Leverkusen's dominant form prevail, or will Freiburg cause an upset on their home turf?
Key Players
For SC Freiburg, the midfield dynamism of Merlin Röhl will be crucial. With a rating of 6.53, his ability to drive the team forward is evident from his 3 assists and 11 key passes this season. The defensive solidity comes from Manuel Gulde, whose rating of 6.78 reflects his reliability at the back, contributing not only with clearances but also chipping in with a goal. Noah Raphael Weißhaupt, another midfielder, has shown his worth with a rating of 6.79, 2 assists, and a goal, showcasing his all-around contribution to Freiburg's campaign.Bayer Leverkusen's attacking prowess is embodied by Adam Hložek, who has managed to make a significant impact with a rating of 6.76 and a goal to his name. The midfield force of Nathan Adewale Temitayo Tella cannot be overlooked, with his impressive rating of 7.03, 4 goals, and an assist. Amine Adli is another key attacker for the away side, with a rating of 7.04, 3 assists, and 2 goals, making him a threat Freiburg must carefully manage.
Recent Form
SC Freiburg's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games showing a pattern of DLLLW. This inconsistency has left them in 8th place, with 29 points and a goal difference of -11. On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen has been nothing short of impressive, boasting a WWWWD record in their last five outings. Sitting comfortably at the summit of the Bundesliga with 61 points and a formidable goal difference of +43, Leverkusen's form is a stark contrast to that of their upcoming opponents.Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between these two sides provides a glimpse into their competitive history. Their most recent clash on October 29, 2023, saw Bayer Leverkusen edge out a 2-1 victory at home. Prior to that, on February 26, 2023, the teams fought to a 1-1 draw. However, SC Freiburg can draw confidence from their September 3, 2022, encounter where they secured a 3-2 win against Leverkusen, proving they have the capability to surprise the league leaders.Prediction
Given the contrasting forms of both teams and Leverkusen's unblemished away record, the prediction leans towards an away victory. While SC Freiburg will have the advantage of playing at home and could leverage their key players like Merlin Röhl and Noah Raphael Weißhaupt, Leverkusen's Nathan Adewale Temitayo Tella and Amine Adli are expected to be instrumental in their team's performance.The outcome of this match may not be as straightforward as the statistics suggest. Freiburg's desire to climb the table coupled with their home crowd support could fuel a spirited display. Nonetheless, Leverkusen's superior quality and consistency this season make them the favorites to take all three points. The final prediction sees Bayer Leverkusen continuing their march towards the title with a hard-fought victory over SC Freiburg, further cementing their status at the top of the Bundesliga.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head
| 17/03 | SC Freiburg |
2 - 3 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 29/10 | Bayer Leverkusen |
2 - 1 | SC Freiburg |
| 26/02 | SC Freiburg |
1 - 1 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 03/09 | Bayer Leverkusen |
2 - 3 | SC Freiburg |
Bundesliga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 60 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 60 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 |
Borussia Monchengladbach
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Vfl Bochum
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
| 16 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 |
1.FC Köln
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 14 |
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