SC Freiburg - 1.FC Köln

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

72'

1 - 0

Goal

M. Gregoritsch

62'		J. Chabot	Tripping
58'		F. Kainz	Roughing
41'		N. Höfler	Roughing
40'		N. Höfler	Roughing
31'		J. Chabot	Unsportsmanlike conduct
27'		D. Ljubičić	Tripping

76'			In:	K. Sildillia	Out:	L. Kübler
75'			In:	J. Makengo	Out:	N. Weißhaupt
74'			In:	M. Finkgräfe	Out:	R. Carstensen
70'			In:	J. Thielmann	Out:	L. Kilian
66'			In:	L. Waldschmidt	Out:	D. Huseinbašić
66'			In:	V. Grifo	Out:	R. Sallai
66'			In:	L. Höler	Out:	M. Gregoritsch
61'			In:	D. Ljubičić	Out:	L. Maina
61'			In:	F. Kainz	Out:	M. Uth

SC Freiburg - 1.FC Köln Predictions

Prediction: SC Freiburg or draw

Best odds: 1.29

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another thrilling match-up, all eyes are on the Europa-Park Stadion this Sunday, where SC Freiburg will host FC Koln in a crucial Regular Season - 15 encounter. With predictions favoring the home side, a double chance of a win or draw for Freiburg has been suggested, setting the stage for a compelling clash.

Key Players

SC Freiburg's defensive solidity can largely be attributed to Manuel Gulde, whose rating of 6.68 reflects his consistent performances. With a total of 175 passes and a goal to his name, Gulde's presence on the pitch is a reassurance for Freiburg fans. Another linchpin in Freiburg's defense is Philipp Lienhart, boasting a slightly higher rating of 6.82, 549 passes to his credit, and a key pass that shows his ability to initiate play from the back.

On the attacking front, Lucas Höler is a name to watch. With a rating of 6.88, Höler has been involved in 9 key passes and has found the back of the net once, highlighting his role as a critical attacking piece for the home team.

FC Koln, although struggling this season, have their own set of key players to rely on. Linton Maina, a midfielder with a rating of 6.91, has been a creative force, contributing 10 key passes and a goal. Davie Selke stands out as Koln's leading attacker, with a rating of 6.99. Selke's 6 shots on target and 3 goals are testament to his threat in front of goal. Lastly, Gian-Luca Waldschmidt, with the highest rating among his teammates at 7.08, has contributed 2 goals, underlining his importance to the team's offensive endeavors.

Recent Form

SC Freiburg's recent form has been a mixed bag (LDLWL), which is reflected in their current 8th place standing with 14 points. Despite their inconsistent performances, they have shown resilience at home, winning 3 out of 5 matches.

In contrast, FC Koln sits precariously in the relegation zone, ranked 17th with a mere 6 points. Their form has been worrying (DDLWL), and they have yet to secure a win away from home this season, drawing 2 and losing 4 of their away matches.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides favors SC Freiburg, as they have come out on top in the last two encounters. On April 29, 2023, Freiburg edged out Koln with a 1-0 victory at Koln's home ground. The previous meeting on November 6, 2022, saw Freiburg secure a comfortable 2-0 win, asserting their dominance in this fixture.

Prediction

Taking into account the team's forms, key player performances, and historical data, the prediction leans towards SC Freiburg either winning or securing a draw. With a 45% chance of victory and another 45% for a draw, the odds are stacked in their favor. The home advantage, coupled with Freiburg's stronger attacking and defensive stats, gives them the edge over a struggling Koln side.

The prediction also suggests a low-scoring affair, with the goals for SC Freiburg expected to be under 2.5 and under 1.5 for FC Koln. Statistical models such as the Poisson distribution support this, indicating a 76% chance for a home victory against Koln's 24%.

In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the data points towards a SC Freiburg advantage in this Bundesliga clash. With their solid performances at home and the key contributions from players like Manuel Gulde, Philipp Lienhart, and Lucas Höler, Freiburg is poised to either take all three points or at the very least, hold FC Koln to a draw.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

57%

43%

Attacking Potential

70%

30%

Defensive Potential

30%

70%

Poisson Distribution

76%

24%

Stregth H2H

71%

29%

Goals H2H

73%

27%

Wins the game

63%

37%

SC Freiburg - 1.FC Köln Head to Head

04/05	1.FC Köln	-	SC Freiburg
17/12	SC Freiburg	2 - 0	1.FC Köln
29/04	FC Koln	0 - 1	SC Freiburg
06/11	SC Freiburg	2 - 0	FC Koln

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14