SC Freiburg - VfB Stuttgart

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

74'		1 - 3	Goal	M. Mittelstädt
45'		1 - 2	Goal	L. Kübler	V. Grifo (Assist)
7'		0 - 2	Goal	C. Führich	D. Undav (Assist)
3'		0 - 1	Goal	D. Undav

72'		M. Mittelstädt	Foul
45'		M. Eggestein	Foul
41'		M. Ginter	Tripping
22'
21'
18'		M. Röhl

76'			In:	C. Führich	Out:	J. Leweling
76'			In:	E. Millot	Out:	Mahmoud Dahoud
73'			In:	J. Makengo	Out:	C. Günter
73'			In:	N. Höfler	Out:	M. Gregoritsch

SC Freiburg - VfB Stuttgart Predictions

Prediction: SC Freiburg or draw

Best odds: 1.70

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In a tantalizing Bundesliga encounter, SC Freiburg is set to host VfB Stuttgart at the Europa-Park Stadion on a brisk Saturday afternoon. With predictions leaning towards a Freiburg advantage, fans are bracing for a match that could either solidify Freiburg's place in the top half of the table or propel Stuttgart closer to the summit.

Key Players

The home side boasts a midfield maestro in Merlin Röhl, whose contributions have been vital for Freiburg. With a rating of 6.78, Röhl's ability to create opportunities is evident from his 9 key passes, and his defensive work is just as crucial, having made 238 total passes this season. Alongside him, Noah Raphael Weißhaupt mirrors Röhl's rating and adds creativity, with 14 key passes to his name. Both midfielders have found the net once this season, showcasing their threat from the middle of the park.

The attacking impetus for Freiburg could come from Ritsu Doan, who also carries a 6.85 rating. With 14 shots and 8 on target, Doan will be a player Stuttgart's defense will need to watch closely.

VfB Stuttgart, on the other hand, has its own set of aces. Silas Katompa Mvumpa, an attacker with a 6.82 rating, has shown his prowess in front of goal with 3 goals from 12 shots. His teammate, Luca Pfeiffer, stands out with a 7.01 rating, having taken 24 shots and assisting 3 goals, making him a significant threat.

The Stuttgart defense is anchored by Dan-Axel Zagadou, who has been a rock with a 7.19 rating. His presence is felt all over the pitch with 1027 passes, showcasing his importance in both defense and initiating attacks.

Recent Form

SC Freiburg's recent form reads as a mixed bag with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five games, reflecting a resilient but inconsistent side. VfB Stuttgart, currently sitting higher in the table at third place, has had a slightly rougher patch with two losses, a win, and two draws. Their Champions League promotion spot is a testament to their overall season performance, but recent form suggests vulnerability.

Head-to-Head History

The historical clashes between these two sides have been a rollercoaster. Their most recent encounter saw a dominant VfB Stuttgart thrash Freiburg with a resounding 5-0 victory on September 2, 2023. However, the two previous meetings were in favor of Freiburg, with them winning 2-1 at home on February 11, 2023, and securing a 1-0 victory away on August 20, 2022. This suggests that while Stuttgart can be explosive, Freiburg has often found the formula to edge past their opponents.

Prediction

The prediction for this match leans towards a SC Freiburg win or at least a draw, with the double chance odds favoring them. Their home record is formidable, having lost only once at the Europa-Park Stadion this season. The form of key players like Röhl, Weißhaupt, and Doan will be crucial in determining the outcome.

On the flip side, Stuttgart's away record is less convincing, with five losses in nine games. However, the attacking threat posed by Mvumpa and Pfeiffer, coupled with Zagadou's defensive prowess, cannot be underestimated.

Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player matchups, the final prediction points to a tight contest with Freiburg having the edge. Expect a strong showing from the home side, but with Stuttgart's quality, a draw is also a distinct possibility. The advice leans towards a "Double chance: SC Freiburg or draw," with a close eye on the under 2.5 goals market, given the predicted tight nature of the game.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

54%

46%

Attacking Potential

47%

53%

Defensive Potential

53%

47%

Poisson Distribution

58%

42%

Stregth H2H

80%

20%

Goals H2H

50%

50%

Wins the game

57%

43%

SC Freiburg - VfB Stuttgart Head to Head

03/02	SC Freiburg	1 - 3	VfB Stuttgart
02/09	VfB Stuttgart	5 - 0	SC Freiburg
11/02	SC Freiburg	2 - 1	VfB Stuttgart
20/08	VfB Stuttgart	0 - 1	SC Freiburg

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14