Sevilla - Atletico Madrid

• Goals
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15'

1 - 0

Goal

Isaac Romero

L. Ocampos (Assist)

76'		Y. En-Nesyri	Foul
70'		Suso	Unsportsmanlike conduct
27'		A. Witsel	Roughing
26'		A. Witsel	Roughing

88'			In:	D. Sow	Out:	Joan Jordán
88'			In:	Y. En-Nesyri	Out:	Adrià Pedrosa
84'			In:	Samuel Lino	Out:	Rodrigo Riquelme
78'			In:	Isaac Romero	Out:	É. Lamela
66'			In:	A. Witsel	Out:	Reinildo
65'			In:	Jesús Navas	Out:	Juanlu Sánchez
65'			In:	Óliver Torres	Out:	Suso
64'			In:	Jesús Navas	Out:	Juanlu Sánchez
64'			In:	Óliver Torres	Out:	Suso
61'			In:	Koke	Out:	Á. Correa
60'			In:	Koke	Out:	Á. Correa
46'			In:	Pablo Barrios	Out:	N. Molina
46'			In:	Álvaro Morata	Out:	M. Depay

Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Atletico Madrid

Best odds: 2.21

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As the La Liga season heats up, the upcoming clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán promises to be a tantalizing encounter. With the predictions tilting in favor of the visitors, let's dive into the details that could make or break the game for both teams.

**Key Players**

Sevilla, currently struggling in the 16th position, will heavily rely on their defensive stalwart José Ángel Carmona Navarro, whose rating of 6.48 reflects his importance to the side. With 158 total passes and a key goal to his name, Carmona's presence on the pitch is vital for Sevilla's defense. Upfront, Rafael Mir Vicente and Youssef En-Nesyri will be expected to lead the attack, with En-Nesyri boasting 5 goals and Mir contributing key passes that could unlock Atletico's defense.

On the other side, Atletico Madrid will count on their attacker Memphis Depay, who has a rating of 6.79 and has netted 3 goals this season. His creativity and goal-scoring ability will be crucial for Atletico. Rodrigo Riquelme Reche, with a rating of 6.82 and 2 assists, is expected to orchestrate the midfield. In defense, Nahuel Molina Lucero stands out with a rating of 6.83, contributing both defensively and offensively with 2 goals and 2 assists.

Recent Form

Sevilla's recent form has been a cause for concern, with a string of losses and a solitary draw in their last five games. The team has struggled to find consistency, and their position near the relegation zone is a testament to their struggles.

Contrastingly, Atletico Madrid has been in fine form, securing four wins in their last five matches. Their only blemish came in a recent loss, but their overall performance has kept them in the hunt for a Champions League spot, sitting at third in the league.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams has been dominated by Atletico Madrid, as evidenced by their recent encounters. On January 25, 2024, Atletico edged out Sevilla with a 1-0 victory. The previous year, on December 23, 2023, and March 4, 2023, Atletico Madrid won with the same scoreline and a resounding 6-1 victory, respectively. Sevilla's last home game against Atletico on October 1, 2022, ended in a 2-0 defeat, showing that Atletico has had the upper hand in recent times.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form of both teams, their head-to-head record, and the key players' performances, the prediction leans heavily towards an Atletico Madrid victory. The statistical analysis suggests a strong likelihood of Atletico Madrid not only winning but also doing so with a significant goal difference, with predictions indicating fewer than 1.5 goals for Sevilla and fewer than 3.5 goals for Atletico Madrid.

Given the 50% likelihood of an Atletico win and a 50% chance for a draw, as per the predictions, the scales are tipped in favor of the visitors. The form of both teams supports this, with Atletico's 92 form rating dwarfing Sevilla's 8. Moreover, Atletico boasts a stronger attack and defense, as shown by their 69% attack and 71% defense ratings compared to Sevilla's 31% and 29%, respectively.

In conclusion, while football is unpredictable, the data and recent performances suggest that Atletico Madrid is the clear favorite to take all three points. Expect a strong showing from their key players, particularly Memphis Depay and Nahuel Molina Lucero, as they look to secure a victory and strengthen their Champions League aspirations.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

29%

71%

Attacking Potential

40%

60%

Defensive Potential

33%

67%

Poisson Distribution

34%

66%

Stregth H2H

7%

93%

Goals H2H

15%

85%

Wins the game

26%

74%

Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Head to Head

11/02	Sevilla	1 - 0	Atletico Madrid
25/01	Atletico Madrid	1 - 0	Sevilla
23/12	Atletico Madrid	1 - 0	Sevilla
04/03	Atletico Madrid	6 - 1	Sevilla
01/10	Sevilla	0 - 2	Atletico Madrid

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13