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Regular Season - 27
Kickoff: 2024-03-02 18:45
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Torino - Fiorentina Predictions
Prediction: Torino or draw
Best odds: 1.39
As the Italian Serie A heats up, football enthusiasts around the globe are eagerly anticipating the upcoming clash between Torino and Fiorentina at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. With both teams locked in a battle for upper-table positions, predictions and speculations are rife about the outcome of this encounter. Will Torino capitalize on their home advantage, or will Fiorentina upset the odds? Let's delve into the key players and statistics that may sway this match's fate before we settle on a detailed prediction.
Key Players - Torino
Torino's campaign has seen some standout performances, particularly from their midfield maestro, Nemanja Radonjić. With a rating of 6.71 and a knack for creating chances, his contribution will be pivotal in breaking down Fiorentina's defense. Up front, Arnaldo Antonio Sanabria Ayala has been a reliable force, boasting a rating of 6.76 and netting 3 goals this season. His ability to convert chances will be crucial. In the heart of the park, Ivan Ilić, with a team-high rating of 6.91 and 2 assists, will look to control the tempo and orchestrate play.Key Players - Fiorentina
Fiorentina will rely heavily on their attacking prowess, with Luka Jović leading the line. Despite missing specific statistics, his 5 goals this season speak volumes about his goal-scoring capabilities. Supporting him is M'Bala Nzola, who has a rating of 6.72 and has been involved in 4 goals. In midfield, the vision and creativity of Rolando Mandragora, with a rating of 6.77, could be the key to unlocking Torino's defense.Recent Form
Torino has shown consistency in their recent outings, with a form guide of WDDWD. Their ability to grind out results, especially at home, where they have only lost once this season, makes them formidable opponents. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results with a form guide of DLWLL. Their away form has been less than convincing, which could play into Torino's hands.Head-to-Head History
Historically, the encounters between these two have been closely contested. In their last meeting on December 29, 2023, Fiorentina edged out a 1-0 victory over Torino. However, the two matches prior to that saw a 1-1 draw and a 2-1 win for Fiorentina, indicating a slight edge for the Viola in recent matchups. Torino's last win came on January 21, 2023, with a narrow 1-0 away victory, showcasing their ability to take points off Fiorentina.Prediction
Given Torino's solid form and home record, coupled with Fiorentina's struggles on the road, the prediction leans towards a Torino win or draw. The predictions give Torino a 45% chance of a win and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving only a 10% possibility for a Fiorentina win. The advice suggests a "Double chance: Torino or draw," which seems a safe bet considering the circumstances.Torino's defense, rated at 80% to Fiorentina's 20%, suggests they are less likely to concede, while the attacking stats favor Fiorentina at 62% to Torino's 38%. However, with the overall total percent home advantage at 61.3% against 38.7% for the away side, it's clear that Torino is expected to at least secure a point from this encounter.
In conclusion, while Fiorentina will not make it easy and will rely on key players like Luka Jović and Rolando Mandragora to make an impact, Torino, with the likes of Nemanja Radonjić and Arnaldo Antonio Sanabria Ayala, seems poised to come out of this match with a positive result. Expect a tight game, with Torino likely to edge it or hold Fiorentina to a draw.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
67%
33%
Attacking Potential
38%
62%
Defensive Potential
67%
33%
Poisson Distribution
60%
40%
Stregth H2H
50%
50%
Goals H2H
64%
36%
Wins the game
58%
42%
Torino - Fiorentina Head to Head
| 02/03 | Torino |
0 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 29/12 | Fiorentina |
1 - 0 | Torino |
| 21/05 | Torino |
1 - 1 | Fiorentina |
| 01/02 | Fiorentina |
2 - 1 | Torino |
| 21/01 | Fiorentina |
0 - 1 | Torino |
Serie A standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 73 | 14 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 68 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 59 |
| 4 |
Bologna
|
31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 58 |
| 5 |
AS Roma
|
31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 50 |
| 7 |
Napoli
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 48 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 43 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
30 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 28 |
| 15 |
Empoli
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 |
Verona
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
| 18 |
Frosinone
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 |
Sassuolo
|
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 25 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 15 |
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