Udinese - Cagliari

Regular Season - 25
Bluenergy Stadium
Kickoff: 2024-02-18 13:00

Who will win?

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Udinese - Cagliari Predictions

Prediction: Udinese or draw
Best odds: 1.33

As the Italian Serie A approaches its 25th round of the regular season, all eyes are set on the upcoming clash between Udinese and Cagliari at Bluenergy Stadium. The stakes are high as both teams are fighting to distance themselves from the relegation zone. Predictions are leaning towards a favorable outcome for the home side, but in football, certainty is a luxury. Will Udinese capitalize on their home advantage, or can Cagliari pull off an upset?

Key Players

Udinese's midfield dynamo Oier Zarraga Egaña is set to play a pivotal role. With an average rating of 6.53, his vision and ability to break lines could be the difference-maker. He has already demonstrated his offensive capabilities with 37 total passes and 2 key passes, contributing to a goal this season.

Another crucial figure for Udinese is Martín Ismael Payero, whose midfield presence has been solidified with a 6.71 rating. Payero's 17 shots and 292 total passes, accompanied by 9 key passes and a goal, show he's not afraid to push forward and create chances.

Completing Udinese's trio of key midfielders is Roberto Maximiliano Pereyra, with a team-high rating of 6.78. His 3 goals, 2 assists, and 17 key passes from 371 total passes illustrate his creative influence and goal-scoring threat from the midfield.

For Cagliari, the defense will rely heavily on Gabriele Zappa, whose rating of 6.60 reflects his solid performances. With 545 total passes and 15 key passes, his ability to initiate plays from the back will be crucial.

On the attacking front, Cagliari will look to Gianluca Lapadula Vargas to lead the line. Despite a modest rating of 6.61, his determination and 6 total shots could pose a threat to Udinese's defense.

Midfielder Antoine Makoumbou will also be key for Cagliari, boasting a rating of 6.65. His 653 total passes and 11 key passes suggest he's a central figure in Cagliari's strategy to control the midfield battle.

Recent Form

Udinese's recent form has been less than inspiring, with a string of draws and losses (DLLDL) leaving them at the 16th spot with 19 points. Their struggle to find consistent winning form has been evident, with a -14 goal difference over the season.

Cagliari, sitting at 18th with a similar point tally and a -17 goal difference, have also had their share of challenges (LLWDD). Their recent form, however, has been marginally better, which could give them a psychological edge going into this match.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record offers a mixed bag of results. The most recent encounter on November 1, 2023, saw Cagliari take a narrow 2-1 victory over Udinese. Prior to that, the teams battled to a goalless draw on September 17, 2023. This suggests a tightly contested history that could influence the upcoming fixture.

Prediction

The prediction for this clash is leaning towards a Udinese win or draw. The statistics back up this forecast, with a 45% chance of a home win and an equal percentage for a draw. Cagliari's chances are seen as significantly lower, with only a 10% probability of an away win.

The advice for bettors is a "Double chance: Udinese or draw," considering both teams' forms and the critical importance of the match in the context of their league standings. With Udinese's key players like Zarraga Egaña, Payero, and Pereyra likely to impact the game, and Cagliari's reliance on Zappa, Lapadula Vargas, and Makoumbou, the match promises to be a closely contested affair.

In conclusion, while the match could go either way, the odds favor a result that would see Udinese either securing all three points or at least one. Cagliari will not make it easy, but the home side's slight edge in form and the support of their fans at Bluenergy Stadium might just tip the scales in their favor.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

63%
38%

Attacking Potential

50%
50%

Defensive Potential

65%
35%

Poisson Distribution

67%
33%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

71%
29%

Wins the game

61%
39%

Udinese - Cagliari Head to Head

Serie A standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter players, news and schedule Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 59 79
2 AC Milan players, news and schedule AC Milan 31 21 5 5 60 34 26 68
3 Juventus players, news and schedule Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 20 59
4 Bologna players, news and schedule Bologna 31 16 10 5 45 25 20 58
5 AS Roma players, news and schedule AS Roma 31 16 7 8 56 35 21 55
6 Atalanta players, news and schedule Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 22 50
7 Napoli players, news and schedule Napoli 31 13 9 9 48 38 10 48
8 Lazio players, news and schedule Lazio 31 14 4 13 37 34 3 46
9 Torino players, news and schedule Torino 31 11 11 9 31 29 2 44
10 Fiorentina players, news and schedule Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 8 43
11 Monza players, news and schedule Monza 31 11 9 11 34 41 -7 42
12 Genoa players, news and schedule Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce players, news and schedule Lecce 31 6 11 14 26 48 -22 29
14 Udinese players, news and schedule Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Empoli players, news and schedule Empoli 31 7 7 17 25 47 -22 28
16 Verona players, news and schedule Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
17 Cagliari players, news and schedule Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
18 Frosinone players, news and schedule Frosinone 31 6 8 17 38 61 -23 26
19 Sassuolo players, news and schedule Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
20 Salernitana players, news and schedule Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15