Udinese - Sassuolo

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

88'		2 - 3	Penalty	D. Berardi
75'		2 - 2	Penalty	D. Berardi
74'		2 - 1	Penalty	D. Berardi
55'		2 - 0	Goal	R. Pereyra
36'		1 - 0	Goal	L. Lucca	R. Pereyra (Assist)

90'		A. Masina	Foul
90'		R. Pereyra	Foul
59'		M. Payero	Tripping
58'		M. Payero
20'		M. Pedersen	Holding

90'			In:	Walace	Out:	Domingos Quina
90'			In:	L. Lucca	Out:	I. Success
89'			In:	A. Laurienté	Out:	E. Ceïde
88'			In:	A. Laurienté	Out:	E. Ceïde
77'			In:	F. Ebosele	Out:	A. Masina
72'			In:	M. Pedersen	Out:	S. Mulattieri
71'			In:	H. Kamara	Out:	K. Ehizibue
56'			In:	D. Boloca	Out:	C. Volpato

Udinese - Sassuolo Predictions

Prediction: Udinese or draw

Best odds: 1.39

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Prediction: Over 1.5

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In the picturesque city of Udine, a football match that could shift the balance in the lower half of the Serie A table is set to unfold at the Bluenergy Stadium. The encounter between a struggling Udinese and a slightly better-placed Sassuolo promises to be a riveting clash, with predictions favoring the home side to either win or share the spoils. But as any football fan knows, the game is not played on paper, and the key players' performances on the pitch will ultimately determine the outcome.

Key Players - Udinese

For Udinese, the spotlight shines on Lorenzo Lucca, whose towering presence in attack has been crucial. With a rating of 6.64 and the ability to turn a game on its head, Lucca's 2 goals and 14 shots are a testament to his threat in front of goal. Alongside him, Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin, with a rating of 6.98, brings a blend of experience and flair. Although Thauvin has netted just once, his 15 shots and 13 key passes suggest he's due a breakthrough. In the midfield, Lazar Vujadin Samardžić has been a revelation, boasting a 7.28 rating. His 17 key passes and 2 goals from midfield provide a creative spark that could ignite Udinese's attack.

Key Players - Sassuolo

Sassuolo's hopes may rest on the shoulders of Nedim Bajrami, a midfielder with a knack for finding space and creating chances, as indicated by his 6.83 rating and 9 key passes. Abdoulrahmane Harroui complements Bajrami in the middle of the park, with a 6.87 rating and an eye for goal, having scored twice this season. The sharpshooter of the team, Andrea Pinamonti, leads the line with a 6.89 rating and is Sassuolo's top scorer with 5 goals, making him the one to watch for the Udinese defense.

Recent Form

Udinese's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games reading DLDWD. They sit precariously at 16th in the league, with only 1 win, 9 draws, and 4 losses. Their ability to draw games, however, shows a resilience that could prove vital in this encounter. Sassuolo, just one place above in the standings, have a record of LWDLD, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses. Both teams need a win to create some breathing space from the relegation zone, making this match all the more critical.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record tilts dramatically in favor of Udinese, who have not lost to Sassuolo in their last two meetings. The most recent clash ended in a 2-2 draw on February 12, 2023, while the game before that saw Udinese triumph with a 3-1 victory on September 11, 2022. This historical edge could give Udinese the psychological advantage going into the game.

Prediction

Considering the recent form, key players, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards a positive result for Udinese. The home advantage, combined with their ability to eke out results even when not winning, suggests that they might have enough to either win or draw. The prediction model gives Udinese a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of drawing, leaving Sassuolo with only a 10% chance of taking all three points. Furthermore, the advice of 'Double chance: Udinese or draw' seems prudent, especially when factoring in the 85% head-to-head home advantage for Udinese.

In conclusion, while the game could be tight, the stats and past performances suggest that Udinese will likely emerge from this match with at least a point, if not all three. Expect key contributions from players like Lorenzo Lucca and Florian Thauvin for Udinese, while Andrea Pinamonti will look to breach the home side's defenses for Sassuolo. The stage is set for a Serie A showdown that could have significant implications for the season's relegation battle.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

56%

44%

Attacking Potential

40%

60%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

39%

61%

Stregth H2H

85%

15%

Goals H2H

65%

35%

Wins the game

56%

44%

Udinese - Sassuolo Head to Head

01/04	Sassuolo	1 - 1	Udinese
17/12	Udinese	2 - 2	Sassuolo
12/02	Udinese	2 - 2	Sassuolo
11/09	Sassuolo	1 - 3	Udinese

Serie A standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	30	25	4	1	73	14	59	79
2	AC Milan	31	21	5	5	60	34	26	68
3	Juventus	30	17	8	5	44	24	20	59
4	Bologna	31	16	10	5	45	25	20	58
5	AS Roma	31	16	7	8	56	35	21	55
6	Atalanta	29	15	5	9	54	32	22	50
7	Napoli	31	13	9	9	48	38	10	48
8	Lazio	31	14	4	13	37	34	3	46
9	Torino	31	11	11	9	31	29	2	44
10	Fiorentina	29	12	7	10	42	34	8	43
11	Monza	31	11	9	11	34	41	-7	42
12	Genoa	30	8	11	11	32	37	-5	35
13	Lecce	31	6	11	14	26	48	-22	29
14	Udinese	30	4	16	10	29	45	-16	28
15	Empoli	31	7	7	17	25	47	-22	28
16	Verona	30	6	9	15	27	40	-13	27
17	Cagliari	30	6	9	15	30	51	-21	27
18	Frosinone	31	6	8	17	38	61	-23	26
19	Sassuolo	31	6	7	18	36	59	-23	25
20	Salernitana	31	2	9	20	25	64	-39	15