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Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions
As the Bundesliga heats up, a tantalizing clash looms on the horizon with Union Berlin set to host the table-toppers Bayer Leverkusen at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei this coming Saturday. The predictions are in, and they point towards an exciting match with the potential for a dominant performance from the visiting team.
Key Players
For Union Berlin, the spotlight falls on Brenden Russell Aaronson, a midfielder who has shown glimpses of brilliance this season. With a rating of 6.41, his contribution in the midfield is pivotal, and his 140 total passes and 8 key passes show his influence in distributing the ball. Up front, Mikkel Kaufmann Sørensen will be expected to lead the line and add to his tally of 1 goal, while the defensive stalwart Leonardo Bonucci with a rating of 6.53, will need to marshal the backline effectively to keep Leverkusen's potent attack at bay.Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, boasts a formidable attacking force including Adam Hložek, whose rating of 6.76 underlines his status as a key player. His 5 shots on target from 9 attempts highlight his efficiency in front of goal. In the midfield, Nathan Adewale Temitayo Tella has been a revelation, with a 7.03 rating, 1 assist, and 4 goals to his name, making him a significant threat. Amine Adli complements the attack, contributing 2 goals and 3 assists, and his overall rating of 7.04 reflects his importance to the team.
Recent Form
Union Berlin's form has been a mixed bag with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five outings. They have shown resilience at home with a 50% win rate, but Leverkusen's away record is impeccable with 9 wins and 2 draws. The contrasting forms of both teams set the stage for a compelling contest.Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record leans heavily in favor of Bayer Leverkusen. In their most recent encounter on November 12, 2023, Leverkusen thrashed Union Berlin with a 4-0 victory. The previous two matches also saw Leverkusen dominate, with a 5-0 win and a goalless draw, signaling a tough challenge ahead for the home side.Prediction
Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction suggests a clear advantage for Bayer Leverkusen. The statistical analysis backs this up, with a 50% likelihood of an away win and Leverkusen's players showing superior form and attacking prowess. Union Berlin will have to put up a staunch defense and hope their key players can make a significant impact to upset the odds.The poisson distribution also favors an away victory, attributing a whopping 81% probability to Leverkusen, compared to just 19% for Union Berlin. The goals prediction indicates a tough day for the home team, with Leverkusen expected to outscore them comfortably.
In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the data points towards a victory for Bayer Leverkusen. Union Berlin will need to deliver an exceptional performance to thwart the league leaders, but Leverkusen's form and firepower make them the strong favorites to walk away with all three points in this Bundesliga showdown.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head
| 06/04 | Union Berlin |
- | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 12/11 | Bayer Leverkusen |
4 - 0 | Union Berlin |
| 29/04 | Union Berlin |
0 - 0 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 06/11 | Bayer Leverkusen |
5 - 0 | Union Berlin |
Bundesliga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 60 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 60 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 |
Borussia Monchengladbach
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Vfl Bochum
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
| 16 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 |
1.FC Köln
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 14 |
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