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Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Predictions
As the Bundesliga gears up for another electrifying clash, all eyes turn to the Stadion An der Alten Försterei where Union Berlin is set to host Borussia Dortmund on a chilly Saturday afternoon. With predictions leaning towards an away victory, the encounter promises to be a battle of wits and tactics, with key players tipped to make a significant impact.
Key Players Union Berlin looks to their frontline, particularly Mikkel Kaufmann Sørensen, whose performance could be pivotal. With a rating of 6.50 and a keen eye for goal, Sørensen's ability to convert chances will be crucial for the home team's success. In defense, Leonardo Bonucci stands tall with a rating of 6.53, commanding the backline with 237 passes to his name this season. The attacking prowess of David Datro Fofana cannot be ignored either, with his aggressive play reflected in 13 shots on target and a total goal tally that Union Berlin will hope to increase.
Borussia Dortmund, sitting comfortably in fourth place, will rely on the youthful exuberance of Youssoufa Moukoko, whose rating of 6.70 and three goals make him a threat that Union Berlin must contain. Defensively, the experience of Niklas Süle and Mats Julian Hummels will be vital. Süle's impressive pass completion and Hummels' ability to contribute offensively with two goals to his name add depth to Dortmund's tactical approach.
Recent Form
Union Berlin's recent form has been a mixed bag with an inconsistent run of WWDLW. Despite their 12th place standing and a negative goal difference, their home record shows resilience and potential for upsets. Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, has been in fine form with a sequence of DWDWW, indicating a team finding its rhythm at the right moment. The Champions League berth is within reach, and Dortmund will be eager to consolidate their position.Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between the two sides tells a tale of Dortmund's dominance. The previous encounters have seen Dortmund come out on top twice, with scores of 4-2 and 2-1 in the most recent meetings. However, Union Berlin has shown they can cause an upset, as evidenced by their 2-0 win at home in 2022, proving that past statistics may not always predict future outcomes.Prediction
The match prediction points towards a victory for the visitors. Borussia Dortmund, with a 45% chance of winning, seem to have the upper hand against Union Berlin's 10%. The predicted goals for Dortmund stand at an aggressive -3.5, suggesting a game where they could potentially dominate. The advice leans towards Dortmund as the winner, bolstered by their superior form (52% to Union Berlin's 48%), attacking strength (73% to 27%), and defensive capabilities (60% to 40%).Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player analysis, the prediction gears towards a Borussia Dortmund win. The match is expected to be a showcase of tactical nous from both sides, with Dortmund's attacking flair and defensive solidity giving them the edge. Union Berlin will not make it easy, especially at home, but the odds are in favor of the away team to come out on top in this Bundesliga encounter.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund Head to Head
| 02/03 | Union Berlin |
0 - 2 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 07/10 | Borussia Dortmund |
4 - 2 | Union Berlin |
| 08/04 | Borussia Dortmund |
2 - 1 | Union Berlin |
| 16/10 | Union Berlin |
2 - 0 | Borussia Dortmund |
Bundesliga standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 69 | 19 | 50 | 76 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 80 | 36 | 44 | 60 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 34 | 30 | 60 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 53 |
| 5 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 53 |
| 6 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 36 |
| 10 |
FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 33 |
| 11 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 29 |
| 13 |
Borussia Monchengladbach
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 |
Vfl Bochum
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
| 16 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 |
1.FC Köln
|
28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 |
SV Darmstadt 98
|
28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 14 |
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