Union Berlin - 1.FC Köln

Regular Season - 16
Kickoff: 2023-12-20 16:30

Who will win?

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Union Berlin - 1.FC Köln Predictions

Prediction: Union Berlin or draw
Best odds: 1.26

As Union Berlin prepares to host FC Koln at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei on a chilly Wednesday evening, the Bundesliga is bracing for a clash that could significantly alter the course of the relegation battle. With both teams locked on 10 points, the predictions hint at a slight edge for the home side, suggesting a win or at least a draw for Union Berlin. But will the key players step up, or will the match throw up an unexpected twist?

Union Berlin's Key Players

Union Berlin's season has been less than stellar, but certain individuals have shown glimpses of brilliance that could prove vital in this encounter. Leonardo Bonucci, with his defensive prowess, has been a steadying force at the back. Boasting a rating of 6.58, Bonucci has made 178 passes and even contributed a goal, making him an essential piece of Union's defensive jigsaw. Upfront, Theoson-Jordan Siebatcheu is the man to watch. With a rating of 6.81, Siebatcheu has been involved in 5 shots on target and has netted 2 goals, alongside providing an assist.

Another key figure in Union's lineup is Danilho Raimundo Doekhi, whose rating of 7.01 is a testament to his defensive solidity. Doekhi has not only defended but also contributed offensively with a goal, and his ability to initiate plays from the back with 346 passes could be crucial.

FC Koln's Key Players

On the other side, FC Koln also have their own set of aces. Linton Maina, a midfielder with a rating of 6.85, has been involved in both scoring and creating chances. With 5 shots on target and 1 goal to his name, Maina's capacity to break through Union's defense could be a game-changer. The attacking impetus for Koln has been shouldered by Davie Selke, who has been the most prolific with 4 goals from 7 shots on target. His rating of 6.95 underlines his importance to the team's forward line.

Another player who could make a significant impact is Gian-Luca Waldschmidt. With a rating of 7.07, Waldschmidt has been a consistent threat in front of goal, converting 2 out of his 11 shots on target. His creativity is also noteworthy, having made 240 passes and 9 key passes.

Recent Form

The recent form of both teams paints a picture of struggle and desperation. Union Berlin's last five games read 'WDLLL', indicating a team that has tasted victory but is mostly familiar with defeat. FC Koln's form isn't much brighter, with 'DWLDD' suggesting a slightly more resilient side but still far from being at their best.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides adds an interesting layer to the narrative. Their last encounter on March 4, 2023, ended in a goalless draw, while Union Berlin edged out Koln with a 1-0 victory on September 11, 2022. These tight contests indicate that there's little to separate the two teams historically.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning towards Union Berlin, with a 45% chance of winning and another 45% for a draw, leaving FC Koln with a meager 10% chance of taking all three points. The stats back up Union's slight advantage, especially considering their home form and the strong head-to-head record they boast, with an 85% win rate against Koln's 15%.

Given the importance of the match in the context of the relegation battle, and the form of key players like Leonardo Bonucci, Theoson-Jordan Siebatcheu, and Danilho Raimundo Doekhi for Union, and Linton Maina, Davie Selke, and Gian-Luca Waldschmidt for Koln, the stage is set for a tightly contested match.

The final prediction? Expect Union Berlin to leverage their home advantage and come out with at least a point from this encounter. The advice is a 'Double chance: Union Berlin or draw', with the home side likely to avoid defeat against a Koln team that has struggled for consistency. With both teams desperate to climb away from the relegation zone, this match could very well be decided by moments of individual brilliance or costly errors.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

44%
56%

Attacking Potential

67%
33%

Defensive Potential

25%
75%

Poisson Distribution

62%
38%

Stregth H2H

85%
15%

Goals H2H

67%
33%

Wins the game

58%
42%

Union Berlin - 1.FC Köln Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14