Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

45'

1 - 0

Goal

D. Doekhi

K. Volland (Assist)

85'		J. Roussillon	Tripping
45'

82'			In:	R. Gosens	Out:	J. Roussillon
81'			In:	A. Král	Out:	P. Jaeckel
80'			In:	Rogério	Out:	A. Sarr
80'			In:	M. Svanberg	Out:	Y. Gerhardt
75'			In:	L. Majer	Out:	R. Baku
75'			In:	K. Paredes	Out:	V. Černý
74'			In:	L. Majer	Out:	R. Baku
74'			In:	K. Paredes	Out:	V. Černý
70'			In:	B. Hollerbach	Out:	M. Kaufmann
59'			In:	K. Volland	Out:	B. Aaronson
59'			In:	A. Schäfer	Out:	A. Laïdouni
46'			In:	M. Jenz	Out:	C. Zesiger

Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg Predictions

Prediction: Union Berlin or draw

Best odds: 1.78

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another exciting weekend, the spotlight turns to the Stadion An der Alten Försterei where Union Berlin is set to clash with VfL Wolfsburg. With predictions leaning towards an away advantage, fans are eager to see if the underdogs can defy the odds or if Wolfsburg will solidify their mid-table standing.

Key Players

Union Berlin's hopes may hinge on the experienced shoulders of their defender, Leonardo Bonucci. With a rating of 6.47, Bonucci's defensive prowess and leadership will be crucial. On the offensive front, Mikkel Kaufmann Sørensen and Benedict Hollerbach, both attackers with a knack for finding the back of the net, could be game-changers for the home side.

On the other side, VfL Wolfsburg boasts their own defensive stalwart in Rogério Oliveira da Silva, whose consistency will be vital in keeping Union Berlin's forwards at bay. In attack, the spotlight shines on Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás and Maximilian Marcus Philipp, both of whom have the potential to exploit any lapse in Union Berlin's defense.

Recent Form

Union Berlin's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in DWLWD. They currently sit uncomfortably at 15th in the league, just above the relegation zone. Their home record, however, offers a glimmer of hope, with three wins out of eight.

Wolfsburg, sitting at 11th, have had a similarly inconsistent run with DDLWL in their last five outings. Their away form has been less than stellar, with only two wins in ten matches. However, their overall goal difference and points suggest a slight edge over their hosts.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two teams has been evenly matched. Their last encounter on September 16, 2023, saw Wolfsburg edge out a 2-1 victory. Before that, a 1-1 draw on March 12, 2023, and two wins for Union Berlin, 2-1 and 2-0, on January 31 and September 18, 2023, respectively, show that both teams have had their share of triumphs and setbacks in this fixture.

Prediction

The predictions are leaning towards an away win or draw for VfL Wolfsburg, with a recommendation for a combo double chance: draw or Wolfsburg and under 3.5 goals. The statistical breakdown gives Wolfsburg a slight edge in attack, with a 63% attack strength over Union Berlin's 38%. However, Union Berlin holds a marginal advantage in defense, with a 56% rating against Wolfsburg's 44%.

The poisson distribution, which measures the probability of scoring, is almost even, with Union Berlin at 53% and Wolfsburg at 47%. This, combined with the head-to-head record, suggests a tight contest is on the cards.

When it comes to goals, the predictions suggest a low-scoring affair, with under 3.5 goals being highly likely. The home and away goal statistics also point towards a match where defenses could dominate, with under 1.5 goals for Union Berlin and under 2.5 for Wolfsburg.

Taking all factors into account, the final prediction is a draw or a narrow win for VfL Wolfsburg, with a strong possibility of the match featuring fewer than four goals. This encounter is poised to be a tactical battle, with key players on both sides likely to influence the outcome in subtle yet significant ways.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

56%

44%

Attacking Potential

25%

75%

Defensive Potential

64%

36%

Poisson Distribution

53%

47%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

55%

45%

Wins the game

51%

50%

Union Berlin - VfL Wolfsburg Head to Head

10/02	Union Berlin	1 - 0	VfL Wolfsburg
16/09	VfL Wolfsburg	2 - 1	Union Berlin
12/03	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Union Berlin
31/01	Union Berlin	2 - 1	VfL Wolfsburg
18/09	Union Berlin	2 - 0	VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14