Valencia - Almeria

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• Substitutions

61'		2 - 2	Missed Penalty	Pepelu	Pepelu (Assist)
50'		2 - 2	Goal	Sergio Arribas	Álex Centelles (Assist)
50'		2 - 1	Goal	Léo Baptistão	Álex Centelles (Assist)
23'		2 - 0	Goal	R. Yaremchuk	Pepelu (Assist)
14'		1 - 0	Goal	Hugo Duro	Diego López (Assist)

90'		Léo Baptistão	Roughing
90'		L. Robertone	Tripping
73'		Hugo Guillamón	Roughing
72'		A. Lozano	Tripping
64'		Edgar González
62'		Cristhian Mosquera
61'		Álex Centelles	Foul
25'		Javi Guerra	Unsportsmanlike conduct
24'		R. Yaremchuk	Unsportsmanlike conduct

90'			In:	Hugo Guillamón	Out:	S. Amallah
83'			In:	Chumi	Out:	Marezi
83'			In:	Sergio Arribas	Out:	L. Robertone
70'			In:	R. Yaremchuk	Out:	Alberto Marí
70'			In:	Javi Guerra	Out:	Jesús Vázquez
61'			In:	Léo Baptistão	Out:	L. Romero
61'			In:	Gonzalo Melero	Out:	A. Lozano
34'			In:	C. Montes	Out:	I. Baba

Valencia - Almeria Predictions

Prediction: Valencia

Best odds: 1.70

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As the La Liga season heats up, Valencia and Almeria are set to face off in a pivotal match at the Estadio de Mestalla this Saturday. With predictions favoring the home team, fans are eager to see if Valencia can capitalize on their recent form to secure a victory, or if Almeria can defy the odds and stage an upset. Let's delve into the key players who could make a difference and examine both teams' recent performances before making a final prediction.

Key Players from Valencia

Valencia's success this season can be attributed in part to their attacking prowess, spearheaded by Roman Yaremchuk. Despite scoring only one goal, his presence up front has been vital, with a rating of 6.49. Yaremchuk's ability to get shots on target, with 4 out of 5 shots testing the goalkeeper, shows he could be a deciding factor in the upcoming match.

In defense, Jesús Vázquez Alcalde has been a reliable force for Valencia. With a rating of 6.58, he has contributed both in defense and in attack, scoring a goal and providing key passes, which could be crucial in building up Valencia's attacks from the back.

The midfield engine of Valencia is powered by Francisco Pérez Martínez, also known as Fran Pérez. With a 6.58 rating, his three assists and goal contributions from midfield have been significant. His 328 total passes and 13 key passes highlight his vision and playmaking abilities, making him a player to watch in the upcoming game.

Key Players from Almeria

Despite Almeria's struggles, they have some standout players who could pose a threat. Defender Kaiky Fernandes Melo has shown his potential with a rating of 6.53. His defensive work will be vital if Almeria is to keep Valencia's attackers at bay.

Another defender, Sergio Akieme Rodríguez, has also been a bright spot for Almeria. With a rating of 6.61, Akieme's contributions in defense as well as his offensive ventures, which include two goals, make him a dual threat.

Up front, Largie Ramazani has been the most promising attacker for Almeria. With a team-high rating of 6.70, his 2 goals and 4 assists show that he has the potential to disrupt Valencia's defense and will be essential for Almeria's chances to score.

Recent Form

Valencia has been in fine form recently, boasting a record of three wins and two draws in their last five games. Their ability to secure points in tight situations has been impressive, and their current 7th place standing in La Liga with 32 points speaks to their consistency this season.

On the other hand, Almeria has found the going tough, with their last five games resulting in one draw and four losses. Sitting at the bottom of the table with just 6 points, their form suggests a team struggling to find its footing in Spain's top flight.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters between these two teams have been fairly even, with the most recent match on September 23, 2023, ending in a 2-2 draw. The two previous meetings also saw a draw and a narrow win for Almeria, which indicates that despite their current form, Almeria has historically given Valencia a run for their money.

Prediction

Considering Valencia's solid form at home and Almeria's difficulties on the road, the prediction leans heavily towards a Valencia victory. The home side's balanced attack and strong defensive record at the Estadio de Mestalla, where they have conceded only 5 goals, make them the clear favorites. Almeria's relegation-threatened position and defensive frailties, having conceded 46 goals, further tilt the scales.

The match is expected to see Valencia dominate possession and chances, with predictions suggesting a comfortable margin of victory. The key players like Roman Yaremchuk, Fran Pérez, and Jesús Vázquez Alcalde are likely to be instrumental in securing the three points for Valencia.

In conclusion, the final prediction is a strong win for Valencia, with a high probability of them keeping a clean sheet. Almeria will need to put in an extraordinary performance to take anything from this game, and the likelihood of that seems slim given both teams' recent forms and stats. Winner: Valencia.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

92%

8%

Attacking Potential

69%

31%

Defensive Potential

71%

29%

Poisson Distribution

84%

16%

Stregth H2H

62%

38%

Goals H2H

52%

48%

Wins the game

72%

28%

Valencia - Almeria Head to Head

03/02	Valencia	2 - 1	Almeria
23/09	Almeria	2 - 2	Valencia
09/04	Almeria	2 - 1	Valencia
23/01	Valencia	2 - 2	Almeria

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13