VfB Stuttgart - 1.FC Köln

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

62'		1 - 1	Goal	E. Martel	L. Maina (Assist)
53'		1 - 0	Goal	E. Millot

43'		A. Rouault
42'		A. Rouault	Roughing

90'			In:	J. Thielmann	Out:	S. Tigges
86'			In:	E. Millot	Out:	J. Leweling
72'			In:	F. Kainz	Out:	S. Adamyan
68'			In:	A. Karazor	Out:	Mahmoud Dahoud
65'			In:	A. Rouault	Out:	M. Mittelstädt
65'			In:	Jeong Woo-Yeong	Out:	S. Katompa Mvumpa
60'			In:	D. Huseinbašić	Out:	F. Alidou
60'			In:	J. Diehl	Out:	L. Maina

VfB Stuttgart - 1.FC Köln Predictions

Prediction: VfB Stuttgart

Best odds: 1.41

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another thrilling encounter, the spotlight falls on the MHPArena in Stuttgart, where VfB Stuttgart is set to host 1.FC Köln on a crisp Saturday afternoon. With predictions leaning heavily towards a home victory, the stage is set for a clash that could have significant implications for both teams' aspirations this season.

Key Players - VfB Stuttgart

At the heart of Stuttgart's formidable home form is Jamie Leweling, whose attacking prowess has been vital this season. With a rating of 6.69, he's managed to put 12 shots on target from 16 attempts, alongside 2 assists, proving to be a critical piece in the team's offensive machinery. Another key figure in the attack is Silas Katompa Mvumpa, with a rating of 6.71, contributing 3 goals and 1 assist. His ability to break through defenses could be pivotal in unlocking Köln's backline.

On the defensive end, Josha Mamadou Karaboue Vagnoman stands out with a rating of 6.87. Not only has he been solid at the back, but his offensive contributions, including 2 assists and 1 goal, have also been notable.

Key Players - 1.FC Köln

Despite Köln's struggles, Linton Maina has been a bright spot in their midfield, with a rating of 6.76. His 7 shots on target and 1 assist from the midfield could be crucial in creating chances against Stuttgart's defense. Up front, Davie Selke is the leading man with a rating of 6.95, leading the team with 5 goals. His presence in the box and ability to convert chances will be key for Köln to pose any threat.

Another attacker, Gian-Luca Waldschmidt, with a top rating of 7.02, has managed to put 12 shots on target and score 2 goals. His sharpshooting skills will be essential if Köln hopes to upset Stuttgart's defense.

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart comes into the match with an impressive home record, having won 9 out of 11 home games. Their form has been a bit of a roller coaster, with 3 wins followed by 2 losses in their last 5 games. However, their strong position in the league and a positive goal difference of +22 speak volumes about their capabilities.

On the other hand, 1.FC Köln sits precariously in the relegation zone, with a mere 3 wins in 21 matches. Their recent form hasn't inspired confidence either, with a string of draws and losses, and a worrying goal difference of -20.

Head-to-Head History

History seems to be on Stuttgart's side, with their previous encounters against Köln ending in their favor. The last match on September 30, 2023, saw Stuttgart emerge victorious with a 2-0 scoreline away from home. Earlier that year, on February 18, they dominated Köln with a convincing 3-0 win at their own ground. The match before that, on August 28, 2022, ended in a goalless draw, indicating that Stuttgart has had the upper hand in recent times.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' current form, head-to-head record, and key player performances, the prediction points towards a strong likelihood of a VfB Stuttgart win. With a 45% chance of victory for the home team and a significant edge in both attacking and defensive stats, it seems that Stuttgart is poised to consolidate their position in the Champions League spots.

The advice leans towards Stuttgart not just winning, but doing so with a comfortable margin, as indicated by the predicted goals handicap of -3.5 for the home team and -1.5 for the away team. While football is known for its unpredictability, this match appears to be a case where the stats and recent performances paint a clear picture. Expect Stuttgart to continue their pursuit of European glory, while Köln will have to dig deep to avoid sinking further into the relegation mire.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

71%

29%

Attacking Potential

76%

24%

Defensive Potential

54%

46%

Poisson Distribution

89%

11%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

79%

21%

Wins the game

77%

23%

VfB Stuttgart - 1.FC Köln Head to Head

24/02	VfB Stuttgart	1 - 1	1.FC Köln
30/09	1.FC Köln	0 - 2	VfB Stuttgart
18/02	VfB Stuttgart	3 - 0	FC Koln
28/08	FC Koln	0 - 0	VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14