VfB Stuttgart - FSV Mainz 05

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

76'		4 - 1	Goal	L. Ajorque
73'		4 - 0	Goal	D. Undav
45'		3 - 0	Goal	J. Leweling
45'		2 - 0	Goal	M. Mittelstädt	P. Stenzel (Assist)
44'		1 - 0	Goal	M. Mittelstädt	P. Stenzel (Assist)

84'		J. Guilavogui	Roughing
82'		A. Karazor	Tripping

84'			In:	J. Guilavogui	Out:	B. Gruda
79'			In:	D. Undav	Out:	Jeong Woo-Yeong
76'			In:	A. Stiller	Out:	Mahmoud Dahoud
70'			In:	A. Hanche-Olsen	Out:	T. Krauß
62'			In:	P. Stenzel	Out:	J. Vagnoman
62'			In:	J. Leweling	Out:	S. Guirassy
61'			In:	C. Führich	Out:	A. Rouault
46'			In:	D. Kohr	Out:	L. Barreiro
46'			In:	J. Ngankam	Out:	M. Richter
46'			In:	M. Papela	Out:	Lee Jae-Sung

VfB Stuttgart - FSV Mainz 05 Predictions

Prediction: VfB Stuttgart

Best odds: 1.48

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As the Bundesliga heats up, a fascinating clash is on the horizon between VfB Stuttgart and FSV Mainz 05 at the MHPArena in Stuttgart. With the predictions heavily favoring the home team, will VfB Stuttgart solidify their Champions League aspirations, or can Mainz cause an upset despite their relegation woes?

Key Players to Watch

VfB Stuttgart boasts a squad with talent capable of making a significant impact. Silas Katompa Mvumpa, with a rating of 6.82, has been a versatile attacker for Stuttgart, notching 3 goals and providing a crucial assist this season. His ability to break down defenses will be vital in unlocking Mainz's backline.

Another Stuttgart player to keep an eye on is Luca Pfeiffer. With a rating of 7.01, Pfeiffer's presence in the attack, coupled with his 3 assists and a goal, shows his capability to both create and finish chances.

On the defensive end, Dan-Axel Zagadou stands out with a rating of 7.19. His defensive prowess and ability to play out from the back, as seen by his 1027 passes, have been instrumental in maintaining Stuttgart's solid defense.

For Mainz, Ludovic Ajorque, rated at 6.55, is an attacker who could pose a threat. Despite Mainz's struggles, Ajorque's efforts in front of goal could prove to be a lifeline for the team.

Midfielder Aymen Barkok, also with a 6.55 rating, has the ability to influence the game from the center of the park. His tenacity and vision will be crucial for Mainz to gain control in the midfield battle.

Lastly, defender Anthony Caci, with a rating of 6.75, has shown his worth by contributing 2 goals from the back. His defensive contributions and set-piece threat should not be underestimated.

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of "LLWLD," but their position at 3rd in the league with 34 points speaks volumes of their overall performance this season. Mainz, on the other hand, is languishing in the relegation zone with a form of "DDLDL," having only managed a single win all season.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head encounters, Stuttgart has had the upper hand in recent matches. They secured a comfortable 3-1 victory away from home on September 16, 2023, and an even more commanding 4-1 win on May 21, 2023. The only recent blemish for Stuttgart was a 1-1 draw at home on January 21, 2023.

Prediction

Based on current form, head-to-head history, and the statistical data provided, the prediction points towards a decisive victory for VfB Stuttgart. With a 45% chance of a home win and a 70% total percent home advantage, the odds are stacked against Mainz. The goal predictions suggest a high-scoring affair for Stuttgart, with over 3.5 goals expected for the home side and under 1.5 for the visitors.

In conclusion, the match is set to be a showcase for VfB Stuttgart's attacking prowess, with Silas Katompa Mvumpa and Luca Pfeiffer tipped to make a significant impact. For Mainz, players like Ludovic Ajorque and Aymen Barkok will need to step up to defy the odds. However, the comprehensive analysis and the strength of Stuttgart on their home turf lead to a strong prediction: Winner: VfB Stuttgart. Mainz will need to put up a formidable fight to take anything away from the MHPArena on this Bundesliga matchday.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

75%

25%

Attacking Potential

80%

20%

Defensive Potential

42%

58%

Poisson Distribution

84%

16%

Stregth H2H

85%

15%

Goals H2H

71%

29%

Wins the game

73%

27%

VfB Stuttgart - FSV Mainz 05 Head to Head

11/02	VfB Stuttgart	3 - 1	FSV Mainz 05
16/09	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 3	VfB Stuttgart
21/05	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 4	VfB Stuttgart
21/01	VfB Stuttgart	1 - 1	FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14