Vfl Bochum - Bayern Munich

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

87'		3 - 2	Goal	H. Kane	M. Tel (Assist)
78'		3 - 1	Penalty	K. Stöger
44'		2 - 1	Goal	K. Schlotterbeck	K. Stöger (Assist)
38'		1 - 1	Goal	T. Asano	A. Losilla (Assist)
14'		0 - 1	Goal	J. Musiala	L. Goretzka (Assist)

78'		D. Upamecano	Elbowing
60'		Kim Min-Jae	Foul
50'		L. Goretzka	Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'		A. Losilla
45'		Bernardo	Tripping
39'		D. Upamecano	Tripping

89'			In:	T. Asano	Out:	P. Förster
80'			In:	C. Antwi-Adjei	Out:	M. Kwarteng
80'			In:	T. Müller	Out:	M. Tel
80'			In:	Raphaël Guerreiro	Out:	E. Dier
63'			In:	J. Kimmich	Out:	Bryan Zaragoza
63'			In:	E. Choupo-Moting	Out:	L. Sané
46'			In:	T. Oermann	Out:	C. Gamboa
32'			In:	N. Mazraoui	Out:	D. Upamecano

Vfl Bochum - Bayern Munich Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Bayern Munich

Best odds: 1.33

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another thrilling encounter at the Vonovia Ruhrstadion on a crisp Sunday afternoon, the spotlight falls on a David versus Goliath clash between the struggling hosts Vfl Bochum and the formidable Bayern Munich. With the predictions tilting heavily in favor of the Bavarian giants, fans are eager to see if Bochum can defy the odds or if Bayern will solidify their chase for the top spot.

Key Players

For Vfl Bochum, the midfield dynamism comes from Matúš Bero, whose contribution goes beyond his 1 goal and 5 key passes. Alongside him, Lukas Stephan Horst Daschner has shown flashes of brilliance, notching a goal and an assist, and proving to be a creative force with 6 key passes. Anthony Losilla anchors the midfield with tactical discipline, contributing both defensively and offensively with 527 passes and a goal to his name.

Bayern Munich, on the other hand, boasts an attacking arsenal that includes Jean-Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, who has found the net twice and remains a constant threat with his 10 shots on target. Youngster Mathys Henri Tel has emerged as a promising talent, contributing 3 goals and 2 assists, while Matthijs de Ligt has been a rock in defense with his commanding presence and even chipping in with a goal.

Recent Form

Vfl Bochum's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games reading DLWDL. They've shown resilience at home, losing only once in ten games, but their overall goal difference of -16 speaks to the challenges they face against high-scoring teams.

Bayern Munich, sitting comfortably in second place, has been in imperious form, with a recent record of WWWLW. Their away record is nearly as formidable as their home, with 7 wins out of 9 games on the road. They boast a staggering goal difference of +40, highlighting their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides does not bode well for Bochum. In their last three encounters, Bayern Munich has dominated, winning 7-0 and 3-0 at home, and 7-0 away at Bochum. The dates of these encounters — September 23, 2023, February 11, 2023, and August 21, 2022 — have all been days to forget for the Bochum faithful.

Prediction

The prediction for this match is a foregone conclusion for many, with Bayern Munich expected to come out as the clear winners. The statistical analysis backs this up, giving Bayern a 50% chance of victory and a staggering 73.8% total percent advantage over Bochum's 26.2%. The advice is unambiguous: "Winner: Bayern Munich."

The gulf in class is further emphasized by the Poisson distribution, which favors Bayern with a 65% chance over Bochum's 35%, and the head-to-head history, which starkly points to an 80% dominance by Bayern in recent matchups.

In conclusion, while football is a game of uncertainties, the evidence points to a comfortable win for Bayern Munich. With their array of stars like Choupo-Moting, Tel, and de Ligt, it's hard to see any other outcome. Bochum will need to muster all their courage and tactical acumen to withstand the Bayern onslaught, and even then, it may not be enough to stop the Bavarian juggernaut from rolling on toward their title aspirations.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

40%

60%

Attacking Potential

42%

58%

Defensive Potential

54%

46%

Poisson Distribution

40%

60%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

13%

87%

Wins the game

35%

65%

Vfl Bochum - Bayern Munich Head to Head

18/02	Vfl Bochum	3 - 2	Bayern Munich
23/09	Bayern Munich	7 - 0	Vfl Bochum
11/02	Bayern Munich	3 - 0	VfL BOCHUM
21/08	VfL BOCHUM	0 - 7	Bayern Munich

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14