Vfl Bochum - RB Leipzig

Regular Season - 24
Kickoff: 2024-03-02 13:30

Who will win?

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Vfl Bochum - RB Leipzig Predictions

Prediction: Draw or RB Leipzig
Best odds: 1.22

As the Bundesliga gears up for another enthralling weekend of football, the spotlight falls on Vonovia Ruhrstadion, where Vfl Bochum will host RB Leipzig in a clash that could have significant implications for both ends of the table. With predictions hinting at a tough outing for the home side, we delve into the key players who could tilt the scales, analyze the recent form, and revisit the head-to-head history to set the stage for what promises to be a captivating encounter.

Key Players to Watch

On the home front, Moritz Broschinski will be a pivotal figure for Vfl Bochum. The attacker has demonstrated his capability in front of goal, netting twice despite limited chances, with a rating of 6.54. His ability to find space and get shots on target could be crucial for Bochum's chance creation.

In the midfield, the presence of Matúš Bero cannot be understated. With a rating of 6.55, Bero's contribution goes beyond his single goal; his 293 passes and 5 key passes show his influence in transitioning play and setting up scoring opportunities.

Lukas Stephan Horst Daschner, another midfielder, has been involved in both assisting and scoring for Bochum. His 6.65 rating is a testament to his all-around contributions, and his knack for key passes will be vital against Leipzig's robust defense.

For the visitors, Emil Peter Forsberg, with a rating of 6.71, is expected to orchestrate the midfield. His balanced approach to attacking, evident from his 1 assist and 2 goals, makes him a threat that Bochum's defense will need to contain.

Upfront, Timo Werner brings a wealth of experience and a sharp eye for goal. His 6.71 rating alongside his 2 goals this season underline his continued importance to Leipzig's attacking prowess.

Lastly, Yussuf Yurary Poulsen stands out with the highest rating among key players at 6.80. His 3 goals and 1 assist, coupled with his 13 shots on target, make him a constant menace for opposing defenses.

Recent Form

Bochum's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a pattern of draws and a solitary win in their last five matches ("DDLWD"). This inconsistency has left them in a precarious position at 15th in the standings, with only 22 points and a -16 goal difference.

In contrast, RB Leipzig, currently sitting at 5th with 40 points, has displayed a more convincing form with two wins and a draw in their last five outings ("WDWLL"). Their goal difference of +20 speaks volumes about their attacking threat and defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an interesting narrative; the last three encounters have been tight, with a recent goalless draw on 2023-10-07, a narrow victory for Bochum (1-0) on 2023-03-18, and a dominant 4-0 win for Leipzig on 2022-10-01. This history suggests that while Leipzig has been the stronger side overall, Bochum can be resilient, especially at home.

Prediction

The predictions lean towards an away advantage, with a "Double chance: draw or RB Leipzig" being the advice. The percentages are telling: a 45% chance for either a draw or an away win, compared to a mere 10% for a home victory.

Considering the form of both teams, Leipzig's higher ranking, and the head-to-head record, the prediction favors an away win. However, Bochum's home record this season (3 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss) suggests they could make it difficult for Leipzig.

In conclusion, expect RB Leipzig to push hard for a win to solidify their European qualification hopes, with key contributions likely from Werner and Poulsen. Bochum will rely on the likes of Broschinski and Daschner to disrupt Leipzig's rhythm and snatch a result. Ultimately, the smart money might be on Leipzig to edge it, but don't discount a spirited performance from the home side in front of their fans.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

42%
58%

Attacking Potential

47%
53%

Defensive Potential

43%
57%

Poisson Distribution

51%
49%

Stregth H2H

29%
71%

Goals H2H

11%
89%

Wins the game

37%
63%

Vfl Bochum - RB Leipzig Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14