Vfl Bochum - Union Berlin

Regular Season - 15
Kickoff: 2023-12-16 13:30

Who will win?

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Vfl Bochum - Union Berlin Predictions

Prediction: Vfl Bochum or draw
Best odds: 1.45

As the Bundesliga gears up for another weekend of thrilling football, VfL Bochum is set to clash with Union Berlin at the Vonovia Ruhrstadion on a crisp Saturday afternoon. With predictions favoring a Bochum victory or draw, fans are eager to see if the home side can leverage their advantage to climb up from their 14th place in the standings. But with Union Berlin fighting to escape the relegation zone, this match promises to be a battle of wills and strategy.

Key Players - VfL Bochum

For Bochum, the spotlight will shine on Gonçalo Mendes Paciência, the attacker whose presence on the pitch has been marked by a 6.73 rating and a knack for creating opportunities. With 4 shots on target and a total of 8 shots, his ability to break through defenses could be pivotal. In midfield, Anthony Losilla brings consistency and vision. With a 6.82 rating, he has completed 288 passes this season, contributing to Bochum's build-up play. Finally, the attacking prowess of Takuma Asano, who boasts a 6.96 rating and has netted 4 goals, will be crucial for Bochum as they seek to capitalize on their home advantage.

Key Players - Union Berlin

Union Berlin will rely on the experience of defender Leonardo Bonucci, whose leadership at the back has been vital despite the team's struggles. With a 6.58 rating, he will be essential in organizing the defense. Upfront, Theoson-Jordan Siebatcheu, with a 6.81 rating, aims to add to his tally of 2 goals, using his 5 shots on target to challenge Bochum's defense. And not to be overlooked is Danilho Raimundo Doekhi, the defender with the highest rating of 7.01 in the team, whose contribution in both defense and build-up play cannot be underestimated.

Recent Form

VfL Bochum's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a sequence of DWDLD. Despite their struggles, they have managed a reasonable amount of draws, indicating a resilience that could serve them well in this match-up. Union Berlin, on the other hand, is in a precarious position, with a string of five losses (LLLLL) that have left them languishing at the bottom of the table. They will be desperate to turn their fortunes around and start climbing away from the dreaded relegation zone.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head history, the two teams have had closely contested matches in the past. Their most recent encounter on April 16, 2023, ended in a 1-1 draw, suggesting that there is little to separate the sides. Before that, on October 23, 2022, Bochum secured a narrow 2-1 victory at home. These results hint at a potentially tight contest with both teams having a point to prove.

Prediction

Taking into account the form of key players, recent performances, and historical encounters, the prediction leans towards a VfL Bochum win or draw. Bochum's home record, with 4 draws and only 1 loss, suggests they are tough to beat at the Vonovia Ruhrstadion. The statistical analysis, including a 45% chance for both a Bochum win and a draw, further supports this outcome. Union Berlin, with only a 10% chance to win, will need to defy the odds to come away with three points.

The advice for this match is a double chance: VfL Bochum or draw. With Bochum's form at home and Union Berlin's recent string of losses, it seems likely that the home side will at least avoid defeat. However, with the unpredictability of football, especially in a league as competitive as the Bundesliga, anything could happen on match day.

In conclusion, expect a competitive match where Bochum will look to leverage their home advantage and key players like Gonçalo Paciência and Takuma Asano to secure a positive result. Union Berlin, despite their poor form, will not go down without a fight, but the odds are stacked against them. The safe bet would be on Bochum to either win or hold Union Berlin to a draw.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%
33%

Attacking Potential

64%
36%

Defensive Potential

65%
35%

Poisson Distribution

59%
41%

Stregth H2H

38%
62%

Goals H2H

47%
53%

Wins the game

57%
43%

Vfl Bochum - Union Berlin Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14