VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

63'		1 - 1	Goal	Y. Gerhardt
8'		0 - 1	Goal	N. Füllkrug

71'

Y. Gerhardt

Tripping

88'			In:	J. Wind	Out:	A. Sarr
85'			In:	N. Füllkrug	Out:	Y. Moukoko
84'			In:	N. Füllkrug	Out:	Y. Moukoko
79'			In:	J. Sancho	Out:	J. Bynoe-Gittens
79'			In:	M. Reus	Out:	S. Özcan
77'			In:	K. Behrens	Out:	L. Nmecha
46'			In:	M. Svanberg	Out:	Y. Gerhardt

VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund

Best odds: 1.48

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As the Bundesliga gears up for another thrilling encounter at the Volkswagen Arena, all eyes are set on the clash between the home side VfL Wolfsburg and the visiting heavyweights Borussia Dortmund. With predictions tilting in favor of the visitors, the question on everyone's mind is whether Wolfsburg can defy the odds or Dortmund will cement their position for Champions League promotion.

Key Players

Wolfsburg's resilience will heavily depend on their defensive stalwart Rogério Oliveira da Silva, whose rating of 6.47 reflects his contribution to the team's backline. With a total of 250 passes and a key goal to his name, his presence on the pitch is pivotal. On the attacking front, Wolfsburg will look towards Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás, with a rating of 6.59, to create opportunities and add to his tally of 1 goal and 7 key passes. Additionally, Maximilian Marcus Philipp, with a rating of 6.68, will be crucial in converting chances into goals.

Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, boasts a lineup with the likes of Youssoufa Moukoko, who, despite a 6.51 rating, is known for his agility and ability to disrupt defenses. The attacking prowess of Jamie Jermaine Bynoe-Gittens, with a rating of 6.83, his 1 assist, and his knack for finding the back of the net, will be key for Dortmund's offensive strategy. The defense will be anchored by the experienced Mats Julian Hummels, whose formidable rating of 6.95 and 2 goals from defense make him a player to watch.

Recent Form

Wolfsburg's recent form has been less than ideal, with a string of draws and losses (DDDDL) leaving them at the 11th spot on the table. With only 23 points from 20 games, their struggle to find consistency is evident. Dortmund, in contrast, has been in fine form (DWWWD), sitting comfortably at 4th place with 37 points. Their recent performances suggest they are a force to be reckoned with, as they aim to secure a Champions League group stage spot.

Head-to-Head History

Historically, Dortmund has had the upper hand in this fixture. The last three encounters have seen them winning twice, including a resounding 6-0 victory on May 7, 2023, and Wolfsburg taking one game by 2-0 on November 8, 2022. The most recent match on September 23, 2023, ended in a narrow 1-0 win for Dortmund, indicating a potentially tight contest in the upcoming match.

Prediction

The predictions suggest a strong chance for Borussia Dortmund to either win or draw this match. With a 50% probability for both a win and a draw, the double chance for Dortmund seems like a safe bet. The statistical analysis gives Dortmund the edge in form (73% to Wolfsburg's 27%), attacking strength (65% to 35%), and defensive solidity (78% to 22%). The poisson distribution also favors Dortmund with 68% over Wolfsburg's 32%.

Taking into account the recent form of both teams, the head-to-head record, and the overall statistical analysis, the advice leans towards a "Double chance: draw or Borussia Dortmund." The predicted scorelines, with Wolfsburg expected to score under 2.5 goals and Dortmund under 3.5 goals, indicate a game that might not be high-scoring but will be tactically intriguing.

In conclusion, the upcoming Bundesliga fixture between VfL Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund is set to be a captivating encounter. With key players like Rogério Oliveira da Silva, Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás, and Mats Julian Hummels taking the stage, the match promises to showcase top-tier football. Despite Wolfsburg's home advantage, the prediction leans towards a successful outing for Borussia Dortmund, either through a win or a draw, as they look to solidify their Champions League aspirations.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

24%

76%

Attacking Potential

28%

72%

Defensive Potential

14%

86%

Poisson Distribution

32%

68%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

20%

80%

Wins the game

23%

77%

VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund Head to Head

17/02	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Borussia Dortmund
23/09	Borussia Dortmund	1 - 0	VfL Wolfsburg
07/05	Borussia Dortmund	6 - 0	VfL Wolfsburg
08/11	VfL Wolfsburg	2 - 0	Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	28	24	4	0	69	19	50	76
2	Bayern Munich	28	19	3	6	80	36	44	60
3	VfB Stuttgart	28	19	3	6	64	34	30	60
4	RB Leipzig	28	16	5	7	64	33	31	53
5	Borussia Dortmund	28	15	8	5	55	33	22	53
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	12	6	43	36	7	42
7	FC Augsburg	28	9	9	10	45	46	-1	36
8	1899 Hoffenheim	28	10	6	12	48	53	-5	36
9	SC Freiburg	28	10	6	12	40	52	-12	36
10	FC Heidenheim	28	8	9	11	41	49	-8	33
11	Werder Bremen	28	8	7	13	36	44	-8	31
12	Union Berlin	28	8	5	15	25	43	-18	29
13	Borussia Monchengladbach	27	6	10	11	46	53	-7	28
14	VfL Wolfsburg	27	7	7	13	33	44	-11	28
15	Vfl Bochum	28	5	11	12	33	58	-25	26
16	FSV Mainz 05	28	4	11	13	26	46	-20	23
17	1.FC Köln	28	4	10	14	23	49	-26	22
18	SV Darmstadt 98	28	2	8	18	28	71	-43	14