VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach

Regular Season - 28
Kickoff: 2024-04-07 06:30

Who will win?

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VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Monchengladbach Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Borussia Monchengladbach
Best odds: 1.83

As the Bundesliga gears up for a pivotal clash at the VOLKSWAGEN ARENA this Saturday, the tension is palpable with predictions favoring a potential upset by the visiting Borussia Monchengladbach. Will VfL Wolfsburg hold their ground or will Gladbach defy the odds?

Key Players to Watch

For VfL Wolfsburg, the spotlight falls on Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás, whose attacking prowess has been evident despite the team's struggles. With a rating of 6.62 and a total of 15 shots, his ability to break through defenses could be crucial. On the defensive end, Rogério Oliveira da Silva boasts a 6.64 rating and has been a linchpin with 423 passes to his name. Additionally, Maximilian Marcus Philipp cannot be overlooked, as his forward play and goal-scoring could turn the tide for Wolfsburg.

Borussia Monchengladbach brings its own set of aces, with Joseph Michael Scally standing out in defense. His rating of 6.63 and assist record show his dual threat on the pitch. In the midfield, Nathan Ngoumou Minpole has been a revelation, contributing two goals and an assist. His vision could be the key to unlocking Wolfsburg's defense. The top performer for Gladbach, Tomáš Čvančara, with a rating of 6.68 and four goals to his name, will be the one to watch as he leads the charge upfront.

Recent Form

Wolfsburg's recent form has been a cause for concern, with a string of draws and losses (DLDDD) that sees them sitting uncomfortably at 12th in the standings. The team has struggled to find consistency, with a negative goal difference and a home record that leaves much to be desired.

Gladbach, not faring much better, is positioned at 15th with a sequence of underwhelming performances (LDLDL). However, their ability to find the back of the net more frequently than their hosts could provide a glimmer of hope as they seek to climb away from the relegation zone.

Head-to-Head History

The history between these two sides leans heavily in favor of Borussia Monchengladbach. In their last four encounters, Gladbach has come out on top three times, including a 1-0 victory on December 5, 2023, and a resounding 4-0 triumph earlier in November. The only respite for Wolfsburg was a 2-2 draw back on October 15, 2022, which suggests that Gladbach has their number.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction leans towards an away advantage. Borussia Monchengladbach is expected to either win or secure a draw, with their attacking flair likely to cause problems for Wolfsburg's defense. The prediction model gives a 45% chance for a draw and an equal 45% likelihood of an away victory, suggesting that betting on Gladbach would be a wise choice.

The advice for this match is a "Double chance: draw or Borussia Monchengladbach," emphasizing the visitors' strong chance of coming away with at least a point. With Tomáš Čvančara's goal-scoring form and Nathan Ngoumou Minpole's midfield creativity, Gladbach seems poised to upset the home side.

In conclusion, while Wolfsburg will fight to leverage their home advantage, the odds and analysis suggest that Borussia Monchengladbach is the team more likely to celebrate at the final whistle. Expect a tightly contested match, but with Gladbach's recent dominance in this fixture, they are the ones to watch.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

40%
60%

Attacking Potential

41%
59%

Defensive Potential

50%
50%

Poisson Distribution

53%
47%

Stregth H2H

15%
85%

Goals H2H

27%
73%

Wins the game

38%
62%

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14