VfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg

Regular Season - 26
Kickoff: 2024-03-16 13:30

Who will win?

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VfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg Predictions

Prediction: Draw or FC Augsburg
Best odds: 1.88

As the Bundesliga gears up for another weekend of thrilling football action, the focus shifts to the Volkswagen Arena where VfL Wolfsburg is set to host FC Augsburg in a crucial match that could have significant implications for both teams. With predictions hinting at a potential upset by the visitors, let's delve into the key players who could make a difference and the recent form that might influence the outcome of this encounter.

Key Players to Watch

For VfL Wolfsburg, all eyes will be on Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás, an attacker whose presence on the pitch has been marked by a rating of 6.62. With 8 shots on target out of a total of 15, his precision could be the key to breaking Augsburg's defense. On the other end, Rogério Oliveira da Silva, a defender with a rating of 6.64, has been instrumental in maintaining the backline with 423 total passes and 6 key passes. The attacking prowess of Maximilian Marcus Philipp, with his 6.65 rating, cannot be overlooked either. Despite scoring only once, his involvement in the game's build-up will be vital for Wolfsburg.

FC Augsburg, on the other hand, will rely on the likes of Sven Michel, an attacker who has managed to find the back of the net once and provided an assist. With a rating of 6.61, his contribution upfront could be the difference-maker. In defense, Maximilian Bauer stands out with a rating of 6.65 and has been a consistent performer with 285 total passes. The midfield dynamism of Rubén Estephan Vargas Martínez, who boasts a rating of 6.68, will be crucial in linking play and creating chances, as evidenced by his 18 key passes and 1 assist.

Recent Form

Wolfsburg's recent form can be described as unsteady, with their last five matches resulting in a single win, three draws, and one loss. This inconsistency has left them lingering at the 12th spot on the table, with a negative goal difference of -8. Augsburg isn't faring much better, sitting just one place below their upcoming opponents. Their last five games have seen them secure a single victory, two draws, and two losses, with a slightly worse goal difference of -9.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides offers a glimpse into their competitive nature. Their most recent clash on October 28, 2023, saw FC Augsburg triumph with a 3-2 victory. The encounter before that, on April 1, 2023, ended in a 2-2 stalemate, while their October 8, 2022, match also concluded in a 1-1 draw. This history suggests a closely fought contest is on the horizon.

Prediction

The prediction for this match points towards a favorable outcome for FC Augsburg, with a "Double chance: draw or FC Augsburg" advice. The percentages are leaning towards the visitors, with a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win, against a mere 10% for a Wolfsburg victory. The form guide supports this, showing Augsburg's form at 73 compared to Wolfsburg's 27.

In terms of attacking and defending capabilities, Augsburg also seems to have the edge with a 61 attack rating against Wolfsburg's 39, and a 64 defense rating over Wolfsburg's 36. The poisson distribution, goals percentage, and total percentage all indicate an evenly matched game, but with a slight tilt in Augsburg's favor.

Considering all factors, the final prediction would be to expect a tightly contested match with a strong possibility of FC Augsburg either drawing or snatching a win. Wolfsburg will need to make the most of their home advantage and the talents of key players like Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás and Maximilian Marcus Philipp to disrupt Augsburg's plans. However, the visitors, with Sven Michel and Rubén Estephan Vargas Martínez in good form, might just have enough to tip the scales in their favor. Expect a strategic battle with much at stake as both teams vie for crucial points in this Bundesliga showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

17%
83%

Attacking Potential

31%
69%

Defensive Potential

31%
69%

Poisson Distribution

50%
50%

Stregth H2H

38%
62%

Goals H2H

50%
50%

Wins the game

36%
64%

VfL Wolfsburg - FC Augsburg Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14