VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Regular Season - 24
Kickoff: 2024-03-02 16:30

Who will win?

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VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart Predictions

Prediction: Draw or VfB Stuttgart
Best odds: 1.38

As the Bundesliga gears up for another matchday at the Volkswagen Arena, anticipation builds around a clash that pits the underdogs VfL Wolfsburg against the high-flying VfB Stuttgart. With predictions leaning towards an away win or draw, this encounter promises to be a litmus test for both sides, with key players ready to leave their mark on the game.

Key Players

For Wolfsburg, the spotlight falls on Tiago Barreiros de Melo Tomás, an attacker whose presence on the pitch has been felt despite a modest goal tally. His contribution isn’t just in finding the net; it's also about creating opportunities, as evidenced by his 8 key passes this season.

Joining him in the attack is Maximilian Marcus Philipp, who brings a blend of agility and tactical acumen. Though his stats may not be overwhelming, with a rating of 6.63, his role in orchestrating forward plays is pivotal for Wolfsburg's offensive strategy.

Defensively, Rogério Oliveira da Silva stands as a bulwark with a rating of 6.64. His defensive prowess will be crucial in containing Stuttgart's attackers and maintaining Wolfsburg's structure at the back.

Stuttgart, sitting comfortably in third, boasts their own set of aces. Jamie Leweling has been a revelation this season, with a rating of 6.69. His sharpshooting skills have seen him hit the target 12 times, alongside providing 2 assists.

Silas Katompa Mvumpa's versatility as an attacker has been a significant asset for Stuttgart. With a rating of 6.71, 3 goals, and 1 assist, his ability to break through defenses could be a game-changer.

Not to be overlooked is the defensive stalwart Josha Mamadou Karaboue Vagnoman, whose rating of 6.87 reflects his solid performances at the back. He also poses a threat on set-pieces and can contribute to the attack with timely runs and crosses.

Recent Form

Wolfsburg's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a string of draws and a loss in their last five games (DLDDD). Their inability to clinch victories has been a concern, leaving them at the 11th position with 24 points.

Stuttgart, on the other hand, has been enjoying a stellar season. Their last five matches read like a dream run (WWWWL), only marred by a single loss. With 46 points, they are in a strong position to challenge for a Champions League spot.

Head-to-Head History

The historical encounters between these two sides have been fairly even, with the most recent match on October 7, 2023, ending in a 3-1 victory for Stuttgart. Before that, Wolfsburg managed to snatch a 1-0 win on March 18, 2023. Going further back to October 1, 2022, Wolfsburg again emerged victorious with a 3-2 scoreline. This back-and-forth nature adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming match.

Prediction

The predictions suggest leaning towards Stuttgart, with a "Double chance: draw or VfB Stuttgart" being the advice. The percentages indicate a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win, leaving only a 10% chance for a Wolfsburg triumph. The form of both teams further reinforces this prediction, with Stuttgart's attackers, particularly Jamie Leweling and Silas Katompa Mvumpa, expected to put the Wolfsburg defense to the test.

Looking at the key stats, Stuttgart also holds the edge in attacking strength, with a 72% rating against Wolfsburg's 28%. Defensively, both teams are evenly matched, which could mean the deciding factor comes from the attacking prowess on display.

Taking all factors into account, the final prediction leans towards a Stuttgart win or a draw. The visitors have momentum on their side, and with their eyes set on the Champions League, they'll be eager to secure every point possible. Wolfsburg, while not to be underestimated, will need to summon a performance above their recent showings to upset the odds.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

24%
76%

Attacking Potential

30%
70%

Defensive Potential

46%
54%

Poisson Distribution

48%
52%

Stregth H2H

50%
50%

Goals H2H

43%
57%

Wins the game

40%
60%

VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart Head to Head

Bundesliga standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayer Leverkusen players, news and schedule Bayer Leverkusen 28 24 4 0 69 19 50 76
2 Bayern Munich players, news and schedule Bayern Munich 28 19 3 6 80 36 44 60
3 VfB Stuttgart players, news and schedule VfB Stuttgart 28 19 3 6 64 34 30 60
4 RB Leipzig players, news and schedule RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 64 33 31 53
5 Borussia Dortmund players, news and schedule Borussia Dortmund 28 15 8 5 55 33 22 53
6 Eintracht Frankfurt players, news and schedule Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 12 6 43 36 7 42
7 FC Augsburg players, news and schedule FC Augsburg 28 9 9 10 45 46 -1 36
8 1899 Hoffenheim players, news and schedule 1899 Hoffenheim 28 10 6 12 48 53 -5 36
9 SC Freiburg players, news and schedule SC Freiburg 28 10 6 12 40 52 -12 36
10 FC Heidenheim players, news and schedule FC Heidenheim 28 8 9 11 41 49 -8 33
11 Werder Bremen players, news and schedule Werder Bremen 28 8 7 13 36 44 -8 31
12 Union Berlin players, news and schedule Union Berlin 28 8 5 15 25 43 -18 29
13 Borussia Monchengladbach players, news and schedule Borussia Monchengladbach 27 6 10 11 46 53 -7 28
14 VfL Wolfsburg players, news and schedule VfL Wolfsburg 27 7 7 13 33 44 -11 28
15 Vfl Bochum players, news and schedule Vfl Bochum 28 5 11 12 33 58 -25 26
16 FSV Mainz 05 players, news and schedule FSV Mainz 05 28 4 11 13 26 46 -20 23
17 1.FC Köln players, news and schedule 1.FC Köln 28 4 10 14 23 49 -26 22
18 SV Darmstadt 98 players, news and schedule SV Darmstadt 98 28 2 8 18 28 71 -43 14