Villarreal - Almeria

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		2 - 1	Goal	A. Sørloth	Alberto Moreno (Assist)
45'		1 - 1	Goal	Gerard Moreno	Álex Baena (Assist)
44'		0 - 1	Goal	Sergio Akieme	L. Robertone (Assist)

90'		Yeremy Pino	Unsportsmanlike conduct
89'		Arnau Puigmal	Holding
84'		Chumi	Holding
53'		Adri Embarba	Holding
26'		É. Capoue	Tripping

88'			In:	L. Suárez	Out:	I. Koné
87'			In:	Sergio Arribas	Out:	Léo Baptistão
85'			In:	Gerard Moreno	Out:	B. Brereton
85'			In:	M. Gabbia	Out:	Jorge Cuenca
75'			In:	L. Robertone	Out:	Arnau Puigmal
75'			In:	Gonzalo Melero	Out:	I. Baba
73'			In:	Álex Baena	Out:	Ilias Akhomach
66'			In:	Adri Embarba	Out:	L. Ramazani
63'			In:	É. Capoue	Out:	Alberto Moreno
62'			In:	Carlos Romero	Out:	Santi Comesaña

Villarreal - Almeria Predictions

Prediction: Villarreal or draw

Best odds: 1.16

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The Estadio de la Cerámica is set to host an intriguing La Liga clash between Villarreal and Almeria on Sunday, September 17, 2023. Both teams are struggling at the lower end of the table, but predictions suggest a potential win or draw for Villarreal.

Key Players

For Villarreal, defender Jorge Cuenca Barreno will be crucial. With a 7.03 rating, one goal to his name, and a total of 153 passes, he's shown his defensive and offensive capabilities.

In the attacking department, Alexander Sørloth stands out with two goals from five shots on target and three key passes. Midfielder Alejandro Baena Rodríguez, with a stellar 7.60 rating, six shots on target, two assists, and one goal, completes the trio of Villarreal's key players.

Almeria, on the other hand, will be relying on midfielder Sergio Arribas Calvo and defender Kaiky Fernandes Melo. Arribas has two goals from five shots on target and six key passes, while Melo has a 7.30 rating and has scored one goal.

Recent Form

Villarreal's recent form reads LLWL, with their only win coming in an away game. They've scored six goals but conceded nine, leaving them with a goal difference of -3 and a current rank of 15th in the league. Almeria, currently in the relegation zone, has fared worse with a form of LDLL, scoring four goals and conceding nine.

Head-to-Head History

In recent head-to-head encounters, Villarreal has had the upper hand. On March 4, 2023, they defeated Almeria 2-0 away from home. Prior to that, on October 23, 2022, Villarreal won 2-1 at home.

Prediction

The predictions favour a Villarreal win or draw, with a 45% chance for either outcome. The home team's form, attack, and head-to-head record are all superior, giving them the edge. However, with both teams struggling for form, a low-scoring affair might be on the cards, as suggested by the under/over prediction of -2.5 goals for both sides.

In conclusion, while Almeria will be desperate to escape the relegation zone, Villarreal's superior form and home advantage might just tilt the balance in their favour.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

75%

25%

Attacking Potential

60%

40%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

42%

58%

Stregth H2H

85%

15%

Goals H2H

79%

21%

Wins the game

65%

35%

Villarreal - Almeria Head to Head

21/04	Almeria	-	Villarreal
17/09	Villarreal	2 - 1	Almeria
04/03	Almeria	0 - 2	Villarreal
23/10	Villarreal	2 - 1	Almeria

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13