Villarreal - Celta Vigo

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

57'		3 - 2	Goal	J. Strand Larsen	Manu Sánchez (Assist)
52'		3 - 1	Goal	T. Douvikas
48'		3 - 0	Penalty	Dani Parejo
40'		2 - 0	Goal	A. Mandi
13'		1 - 0	Goal	Alfonso Pedraza	A. Sørloth (Assist)

84'		T. Douvikas	Foul
82'		Manu Sánchez	Tripping
76'		Santi Comesaña	Holding
75'		Álex Baena	Unsportsmanlike conduct
72'		Óscar Mingueza	Holding
47'		Kevin Vázquez

89'			In:	Ilias Akhomach	Out:	Ramon Terrats
88'			In:	Álex Baena	Out:	Manu Trigueros
86'			In:	Kevin Vázquez	Out:	Miguel Rodríguez
82'			In:	F. Cervi	Out:	J. Bamba
60'			In:	Alberto Moreno	Out:	José Luis Morales
60'			In:	Raúl Albiol	Out:	Jorge Cuenca
46'			In:	C. Starfelt	Out:	Carlos Domínguez
46'			In:	L. de la Torre	Out:	Óscar Mingueza
46'			In:	M. Ristić	Out:	Manu Sánchez
22'			In:	Alfonso Pedraza	Out:	Carlos Romero

Villarreal - Celta Vigo Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Celta Vigo

Best odds: 1.41

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As the midweek clash at Estadio de la Cerámica approaches, anticipation builds for what predictions foretell as a match leaning towards a home advantage. Will Villarreal seize the opportunity to climb up the La Liga standings, or can Celta Vigo spring a surprise to escape the relegation zone? Let's delve into the key players and recent performances to set the stage for this intriguing encounter.

Key Players

Villarreal's hopes may well rest on the shoulders of their attacking duo, José Luis Morales Nogales and Alexander Sørloth. Morales, with a rating of 6.77, has been a vital presence in the final third, contributing 4 goals and displaying a knack for getting shots on target. Sørloth, slightly edging out his teammate with a rating of 6.79, leads the team with 6 goals and has shown his playmaking ability with 8 key passes. On the defensive end, Jorge Cuenca Barreno has been a rock at the back, boasting a team-high rating of 6.98 and contributing to the team's defense with crucial clearances and interceptions.

For Celta Vigo, the onus will be on Anastasios Douvikas to lead the line. Despite a modest rating of 6.56, his 2 goals show he can find the back of the net. Midfield support comes from Williot Theo Swedberg, whose contributions will be essential in both defense and transitioning to attack. The standout performer for the visitors, however, has been Jørgen Strand Larsen, with a rating of 6.93. His 4 goals and ability to get shots on target suggest he could be a thorn in the side for Villarreal's defense.

Recent Form

Villarreal's form has been a mixed bag with a record of LDWLL in their last five matches. They've struggled to find consistency, particularly at home with only 2 wins in 9 games. Celta Vigo, sitting in the relegation zone, has fared even worse. Their last five outings have yielded DDLDL, signaling a team in dire need of a turnaround. Both teams will be desperate for points, but Villarreal's slightly better form and home advantage could be the decisive factors.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head record provides a glimmer of hope for Villarreal. The last encounter between these two at Estadio de la Cerámica on April 30, 2023, ended in a 3-1 victory for the Yellow Submarine. The match prior to that, on January 13, 2023, saw the teams share the spoils with a 1-1 draw at Celta Vigo's home ground. Historical data seems to favor Villarreal, particularly when playing in front of their own fans.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' forms, key player performances, and past encounters, the prediction leans towards a Villarreal win or draw. The home side is given a 35% chance of victory, equal to the probability of a draw, while Celta Vigo trails with a 30% chance of taking all three points. The advice suggests a "Double chance: Villarreal or draw," which seems prudent given the circumstances.

Villarreal's attack, spearheaded by the likes of Morales and Sørloth, coupled with the steadiness of Cuenca Barreno at the back, should give them the edge. Celta Vigo will rely heavily on Strand Larsen to breach the home defense, but Villarreal's overall team form and head-to-head record make them the favorites to come out on top in this match-up.

In conclusion, while football always has the potential for surprises, the data and analysis suggest that Villarreal should be able to secure at least a point in this encounter, if not all three. Fans at Estadio de la Cerámica can look forward to a match where their team is positioned to strengthen their league standing and push further away from the relegation zone.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

40%

60%

Attacking Potential

55%

45%

Defensive Potential

29%

71%

Poisson Distribution

43%

57%

Stregth H2H

62%

38%

Goals H2H

53%

47%

Wins the game

47%

53%

Villarreal - Celta Vigo Head to Head

04/05	Celta Vigo	-	Villarreal
20/12	Villarreal	3 - 2	Celta Vigo
30/04	Villarreal	3 - 1	Celta Vigo
13/01	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	Villarreal

La Liga standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	30	23	6	1	66	20	46	75
2	Barcelona	30	20	7	3	61	34	27	67
3	Girona	30	20	5	5	62	36	26	65
4	Athletic Club	30	16	8	6	50	28	22	56
5	Atletico Madrid	29	17	4	8	54	34	20	55
6	Real Sociedad	30	13	10	7	43	31	12	49
7	Real Betis	30	10	12	8	36	36	0	42
8	Valencia	29	11	8	10	32	32	0	41
9	Osasuna	30	11	6	13	36	43	-7	39
10	Villarreal	29	10	8	11	47	51	-4	38
11	Getafe	30	9	11	10	37	43	-6	38
12	Las Palmas	30	10	7	13	29	33	-4	37
13	Alaves	30	8	8	14	26	36	-10	32
14	Sevilla	30	7	10	13	37	44	-7	31
15	Mallorca	30	6	13	11	25	35	-10	31
16	Rayo Vallecano	30	6	12	12	25	38	-13	30
17	Celta Vigo	30	6	10	14	32	44	-12	28
18	Cadiz	30	4	13	13	21	40	-19	25
19	Granada CF	29	2	8	19	30	59	-29	14
20	Almeria	30	1	10	19	28	60	-32	13