Clermont Foot - Stade Brestois 29

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

69'		1 - 2	Goal	G. Kyei	J. Allevinah (Assist)
51'		0 - 2	Goal	P. Lees-Melou	B. Locko (Assist)
50'		0 - 1	Goal	P. Lees-Melou	B. Locko (Assist)

88'		M. Bizot
88'		E. Rashani
75'		J. Martin	Holding
74'		J. Martin	Holding
54'		R. Del Castillo	Tripping
50'		M. Caufriez	Foul
49'		M. Caufriez	Foul
44'		J. Gastien	Tripping
33'		J. Le Cardinal
7'		Mathias Pereira Lage	Tripping

90'			In:	K. Doumbia	Out:	G. Coudert
84'			In:	Mathias Pereira Lage	Out:	B. Brahimi
81'			In:	J. Gastien	Out:	Y. Magnin
76'			In:	M. Gonalons	Out:	H. Keïta
76'			In:	B. Boutobba	Out:	E. Rashani
74'			In:	R. Del Castillo	Out:	J. Le Douaron
73'			In:	M. Camara	Out:	K. Doumbia
73'			In:	H. Magnetti	Out:	J. Martin
72'			In:	M. Camara	Out:	K. Doumbia
72'			In:	R. Del Castillo	Out:	J. Le Douaron
67'			In:	A. Virginius	Out:	J. Allevinah
67'			In:	S. Nicholson	Out:	G. Kyei
66'			In:	A. Virginius	Out:	J. Allevinah
66'			In:	S. Nicholson	Out:	G. Kyei

Clermont Foot - Stade Brestois 29 Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Stade Brestois 29

Best odds: 1.31

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In an intriguing Ligue 1 clash, a struggling Clermont Foot will lock horns with a high-flying Stade Brestois 29 at the Stade Gabriel-Montpied. The predictions are tilting towards the visitors, but could there be a twist in this tale of contrasting fortunes? Let's delve into the key players, recent form, and historical encounters before arriving at a detailed forecast for this matchup.

Key Players

Clermont Foot will be heavily reliant on their attacker, Grejohn Kyei, whose performance could be pivotal. With a rating of 6.62, Kyei has managed to put 4 shots on target from a total of 11 attempts, though he has found the back of the net just once this season. The midfield support comes from Yohann Magnin, with a 6.72 rating, who has a commendable total of 384 passes this season, indicating his influence in the center of the park.

The away side boasts the talents of Mathias Pereira Lage, a midfielder with a 6.62 rating, who has been a significant presence with 2 goals to his name. Another key figure in the attack for Stade Brestois is Jérémy Le Douaron, an attacker who has a 6.72 rating and leads the team with 3 goals, thanks to his 16 shots on target. Not to be overlooked is the contribution of Steve Mounié, another forward with a 6.88 rating, who has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists, underlining his importance to the side.

Recent Form

Clermont Foot's recent form reads like a distress signal, with only one win in their last five matches (WLLDL). This run has left them languishing at the 17th spot on the table, teetering on the edge of the relegation zone. In contrast, Stade Brestois 29 has been in sublime form, with a WWWWD record in their past five outings, a streak that has propelled them to 3rd in the standings, eyeing a spot in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head History

The recent head-to-head record provides little comfort for Clermont Foot, with Stade Brestois 29 coming out on top in their last three encounters. The most recent clash on December 3, 2023, saw Brestois dominate with a 3-0 victory. The previous meetings on May 21, 2023, and October 23, 2022, also ended in favor of Stade Brestois with 2-1 and 3-1 scorelines, respectively.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form of both teams, the historical data, and the key player matchups, the prediction leans towards an away victory for Stade Brestois 29. The advice suggests a "Double chance: draw or Stade Brestois 29" with the percentages for a home win at 0%, a draw at 50%, and an away win also at 50%. The form guide shows a stark contrast, with Clermont at 28% and Stade Brestois at a commanding 72%.

In terms of attacking and defensive capabilities, Stade Brestois 29 holds a clear advantage with an attacking strength of 69% compared to Clermont's 31%, and defensively, they are rated at 78% against Clermont's 22%. This suggests that not only are Brestois likely to score, but they are also robust at the back, making it difficult for Clermont to find a breakthrough.

The poisson distribution, which is a statistical measure that can predict the probability of a given number of events happening in a fixed interval, further solidifies the prediction with an 82% chance of a Brestois win against a mere 18% for Clermont Foot.

Considering these factors, the final prediction is a victory for Stade Brestois 29, with a strong likelihood of them keeping a clean sheet. Clermont Foot will need to deliver an exceptional performance and defy the odds to come away with anything from this match.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

27%

73%

Attacking Potential

33%

67%

Defensive Potential

15%

85%

Poisson Distribution

18%

82%

Stregth H2H

7%

93%

Goals H2H

21%

79%

Wins the game

20%

80%

Clermont Foot - Stade Brestois 29 Head to Head

11/02	Clermont Foot	1 - 1	Stade Brestois 29
03/12	Stade Brestois 29	3 - 0	Clermont Foot
21/05	Stade Brestois 29	2 - 1	Clermont Foot
23/10	Clermont Foot	1 - 3	Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21