Lens - Paris Saint Germain

Regular Season - 18
Kickoff: 2024-01-14 18:45

Who will win?

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Lens - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Paris Saint Germain
Best odds: 1.31

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, the football world turns its eyes to a tantalizing fixture that pits the home side, Lens, against the reigning champions and table-toppers, Paris Saint Germain. With predictions favoring the visitors, the question on everyone's lips is whether Lens can defy the odds or if PSG will continue their dominance. As we delve into the match details, the key players' performances and the teams' recent form will undoubtedly be the deciding factors in this top-flight encounter.

Key Players from Lens

Lens will be relying heavily on their defensive stalwart, Deiver Andrés Machado Mena, whose rating of 6.83 is a testament to his consistent performances. With 3 goals to his name and a solid defensive record, Machado will be crucial in thwarting PSG's attacking threats. In the midfield, Adrien Thomasson stands out with a rating of 6.85. His vision and passing ability, having made 427 total passes and 16 key passes, will be vital in creating opportunities for Lens. Upfront, the attacking prowess of Morgan Bono Guilavogui will be key. With 2 goals and 11 key passes, his contribution could make the difference in unlocking PSG's defense.

Key Players from Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain, on the other hand, boasts an array of stars, including Carlos Soler Barragán, who has been instrumental in the midfield with a rating of 6.94. His 2 assists show his ability to set up his teammates for scoring opportunities. In attack, Randal Kolo Muani has been in fine form, with a rating of 7.05, 4 goals, and 2 assists to his name, making him a significant threat to any defense. Finally, the midfield maestro Fabián Ruiz Peña, with a top rating of 7.10, will be the orchestrator of PSG's play, having contributed 1 goal and 2 assists this season.

Recent Form

Lens enters the match with an impressive string of results, having won 4 of their last 5 matches. Their form at home has been particularly strong, with 5 wins in their 8 home games. However, they face a PSG side that has been almost unstoppable this season, sitting comfortably at the top of the Ligue 1 table. The Parisians have won 4 of their last 5 games and remain unbeaten away from home, which speaks volumes about their strength and consistency.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to the match. The last three encounters have all ended with the home side emerging victorious, with PSG winning twice with a scoreline of 3-1 and Lens also securing a 3-1 win in their most recent home game against the Parisian giants. These results suggest that while PSG might be the favorites, Lens have shown they can rise to the occasion, especially when playing on their home turf.

Prediction

Taking all factors into account, the prediction leans towards a Paris Saint Germain win or draw. The stats and recent performances indicate that PSG has the upper hand, especially in attacking prowess with a 62% attacking strength compared to Lens' 38%. The defense also seems to be in favor of the visitors, with PSG having a 44% defensive strength over Lens' 56%. The double chance of a draw or a PSG victory seems to be the most prudent prediction, with a 45% chance for both outcomes.

Lens will undoubtedly put up a strong fight, but the quality and depth of the PSG squad, coupled with their current form, make them the favorites to take all three points. Expect a competitive match, but ultimately, the prediction is for PSG to either win or share the spoils in a draw. The battle between Lens' key players like Machado and Guilavogui and PSG's stars like Kolo Muani and Ruiz Peña will be pivotal, but the overall might of the Parisians is likely to prevail.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

43%
57%

Attacking Potential

38%
62%

Defensive Potential

56%
44%

Poisson Distribution

37%
63%

Stregth H2H

38%
62%

Goals H2H

44%
56%

Wins the game

43%
57%

Lens - Paris Saint Germain Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21