Lens - Strasbourg

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

58'		3 - 1	Goal	F. Sotoca
43'		2 - 1	Goal	T. Delaine
30'		2 - 0	Goal	David Pereira da Costa	E. Wahi (Assist)
16'		1 - 0	Goal	E. Wahi	David Pereira da Costa (Assist)

68'		T. Delaine	Tripping
62'		David Pereira da Costa	Foul
61'		David Pereira da Costa	Foul
37'		F. Medina	Holding

88'			In:	F. Medina	Out:	M. Haïdara
82'			In:	F. Sotoca	Out:	M. Guilavogui
81'			In:	J. Chávez	Out:	P. Frankowski
77'			In:	J. Mwanga	Out:	J. Deminguet
72'			In:	T. Delaine	Out:	S. Sow
71'			In:	A. Diouf	Out:	S. Abdul Samed
71'			In:	E. Wahi	Out:	W. Saïd
71'			In:	T. Delaine	Out:	S. Sow

Lens - Strasbourg Predictions

Prediction: Lens or draw

Best odds: 2.45

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As the Ligue 1 season heats up, an intriguing encounter is set to unfold at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis this Sunday. With predictions hinting at a tight contest, the clash between Lens and Strasbourg could be pivotal in shaping the mid-table dynamics. Will the visitors defy the odds, or can the home side leverage their turf to climb up the rankings?

Key Players to Watch

Lens will be relying on the midfield prowess of Adrien Thomasson, whose vision and passing accuracy have been vital for the team's build-up play. With a rating of 6.81, Thomasson's contribution of 455 total passes and 17 key passes underlines his importance in orchestrating attacks.

At the back, Deiver Andrés Machado Mena has been a defensive linchpin for Lens. His rating of 6.83, coupled with 4 shots on target and an impressive 3 goals for a defender, showcases his threat on set-pieces and open play alike.

Leading the attack, Morgan Bono Guilavogui will be another key figure for Lens. His 6.85 rating and 2 goals this season are a testament to his ability to find the back of the net when it matters most.

Strasbourg, on the other hand, will look towards their forward Moïse Orell Dion Sahi to make an impact. With a 6.64 rating and a knack for being in the right place at the right time, his contribution could be crucial.

Emanuel Esseh Emegha, with a rating of 6.67 and a team-high 4 goals, has been a revelation for Strasbourg. His ability to turn half-chances into goals will be pivotal for the visitors.

Lastly, Lebogang Mothiba has been another bright spot in Strasbourg's attack. With 3 goals to his name and a 6.70 rating, his clinical finishing could potentially swing the game in Strasbourg's favor.

Recent Form

Lens enters the match with a mixed bag of results from their last five outings, recording two wins, a draw, and two losses. Their recent form has been somewhat resilient, with a home record that boasts five wins, two draws, and only one loss. The team's goal difference stands at +4, reflecting a balanced approach in both offense and defense.

Strasbourg, sitting just two points behind Lens, has shown a resurgence in form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. Their away form, however, has been less convincing, with two wins, three draws, and four losses. The team's goal difference of -4 suggests a vulnerability that could be exploited by their opponents.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams indicates a closely contested rivalry. The most recent encounter took place on September 29, 2023, where Lens edged out Strasbourg with a 1-0 victory. Prior to that, on April 7, 2023, Lens again triumphed with a 2-1 scoreline. However, they shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw on January 11, 2023, showcasing the unpredictable nature of this fixture.

Prediction

With the predictions leaning slightly towards Strasbourg, the match promises to be a nail-biter. The forecast suggests a "Double chance: draw or Strasbourg," with a 45% chance for either outcome. The statistical analysis, including form, attacking, and defensive strengths, indicates a very tight match, with Strasbourg having a slight edge in form and attacking prowess.

Lens will need to maximize their home advantage and the contributions of their key players like Adrien Thomasson, Deiver Andrés Machado Mena, and Morgan Bono Guilavogui to secure a positive outcome. Strasbourg will count on the likes of Moïse Orell Dion Sahi, Emanuel Esseh Emegha, and Lebogang Mothiba to continue their recent form and challenge the home side.

The match is poised to be a close encounter, with the potential for a draw or a narrow victory for Strasbourg. The final prediction points to a low-scoring affair, with the possibility of under 2.5 goals for both teams, reflecting the tight defensive units of both sides. Fans should brace themselves for a strategic battle that may well be decided by a moment of individual brilliance or a tactical masterstroke.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

53%

47%

Attacking Potential

42%

58%

Defensive Potential

60%

40%

Poisson Distribution

71%

29%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

50%

50%

Wins the game

54%

46%

Lens - Strasbourg Head to Head

10/02	Lens	3 - 1	Strasbourg
29/09	Strasbourg	0 - 1	Lens
07/04	Lens	2 - 1	Strasbourg
11/01	Strasbourg	2 - 2	Lens

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21