Lille - Lorient

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		2 - 0	Goal	R. Cabella
37'		1 - 0	Goal	J. David	A. Gomes (Assist)

88'		S. Touré	Holding
55'		A. Pelon	Tripping
41'		T. Bakayoko	Tripping
40'		B. André	Foul
30'		T. Le Bris	Tripping

84'			In:	T. Le Bris	Out:	G. Caoki
77'			In:	Y. Yazıcı	Out:	R. Cabella
75'			In:	A. Kari	Out:	R. Openda
75'			In:	T. Bakayoko	Out:	J. Mvuka
46'			In:	A. Tosin	Out:	E. Kroupi

Lille - Lorient Predictions

Prediction: Lille or draw

Best odds: 1.09

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As the Ligue 1 season progresses, fans eagerly anticipate the clash between Lille and Lorient at the Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Predictions are tipping the scales in favor of the home team, but with football's unpredictability, could Lorient cause an upset, or will Lille strengthen their Champions League qualification hopes? Let's delve into the key players and statistics that could shape this encounter.

Key Players - Lille

Lille's attack is spearheaded by Ivan Ricardo Neves Abreu Cavaleiro, whose performance rating of 6.79 is bolstered by his sharpshooting ability, with 3 shots on target from 6 attempts and an important goal contribution. In the midfield, creativity flows through Adam Mohamed Ounas, with a rating of 6.87, Ounas has been a pivotal figure, despite scoring just once, his presence on the pitch is always felt. Yusuf Yazıcı, with a rating of 6.99, has been a talisman in the midfield, contributing 3 goals and an assist, proving to be a critical element in Lille's quest for success.

Key Players - Lorient

On the other side, Lorient's resilience is embodied by Benjamin Mendy, whose defensive rating of 6.53 highlights his role as a bulwark in the backline. The midfield dynamism comes from Julien Ponceau, rated at 6.73, his contribution of 1 goal and an assist from the heart of the park is noteworthy. The standout performer for Lorient has been Eli Junior Eric Anat Kroupi, with a rating of 6.78, Kroupi has been a key offensive threat, netting 4 goals and providing 2 assists.

Recent Form

Lille's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of DDWWD, indicating a team that is hard to beat but has struggled to turn draws into victories. With a current rank of 4th and a positive goal difference of +8, they have shown both resilience and firepower. Lorient, placed 17th, faces the specter of relegation, and their form LLDLL suggests a team in dire need of a turnaround. Their goal difference of -10 underlines the challenges they face at both ends of the pitch.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides an interesting narrative; Lorient secured a convincing 4-1 victory in their last meeting on August 27, 2023. However, prior to that, Lille won 3-1 on April 2, 2023, and Lorient edged out a 2-1 win on October 2, 2022. This history points to a competitive rivalry, with both teams having tasted success against the other.

Prediction

The prediction for this match leans heavily towards a Lille victory, with the possibility of a draw also on the cards. The statistical analysis gives Lille a 45% chance of winning and a 45% likelihood of a draw, leaving Lorient with a slim 10% chance of an away win. The form guide supports this, with Lille's form rating at 89 compared to Lorient's 11. Defensively, Lille also appears more robust with a defense rating of 82 against Lorient's 18.

Taking all factors into account, the advice would be to lean towards a "Double chance: Lille or draw." The poisson distribution, a statistical measure of scoring probability, also favors Lille with 84% against Lorient's 16%. The head-to-head record, while favoring Lorient with a 60% win rate, may not be as influential given the current form and standings.

To conclude, while football always has the potential for surprise, the data suggests that Lille has the upper hand in this encounter. With key players like Ivan Ricardo Neves Abreu Cavaleiro, Adam Mohamed Ounas, and Yusuf Yazıcı likely to make an impact, and with the support of the home crowd, Lille is predicted to either secure a win or at least come away with a point. Lorient, despite the efforts of players like Benjamin Mendy and Eli Junior Eric Anat Kroupi, will have to defy the odds to take something from this game.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

89%

11%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

82%

18%

Poisson Distribution

84%

16%

Stregth H2H

40%

60%

Goals H2H

47%

53%

Wins the game

65%

35%

Lille - Lorient Head to Head

14/01	Lille	3 - 0	Lorient
27/08	Lorient	4 - 1	Lille
02/04	Lille	3 - 1	Lorient
02/10	Lorient	2 - 1	Lille

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21